Basconia vs Sestao River — Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
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Basconia and Sestao River meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Basconia have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Sestao River have won 65% of their 17 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Basconia and 1.35 for Sestao River. The models give Basconia a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sestao River win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Basconia—
Sestao River11º
Position
1º
1.25
PPG
2.38
25%
Win %
75%
1.63
Goals / game
1.13
1.75
Conceded / game
0.38
100%
BTTS %
41%
0%
Clean sheet %
41%
80%
Over 2.5 %
35%
0.0
Avg corners
7.0
0.0
Avg shots
17.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
9.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
19.0
0.0%
Avg possession
39.0%
Home vs Away
Basconia
Home (4)
—
Sestao River
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
2.25
25%
Win %
75%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.75
Conceded / game
0.75
100%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
38%
75%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
7.0
0.0
Avg shots
17.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
9.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
39.0%
Goals Scored
| Basconia | Home | Away | Sestao River | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 76% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 33% | 47% | 56% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 33% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Basconia | Home | Away | Sestao River | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 59% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 75% | 67% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 41% | 44% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Basconia | Sestao River | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 12% |
| BTTS | 100% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 50% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 80% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Basconia | Sestao River | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Basconia (H)D
Portugalete2–2
Portugalete2–2D
Llanera1–1
Llanera1–1D
Arosa2–2
Arosa2–2W
Atlético Astorga3–2
Atlético Astorga3–2W
Ejea5–1
Ejea5–1D
Gernika0–0
Gernika0–0Sestao River (A)W
Marino de Luanco1–0
Marino de Luanco1–0WGernika2–1
Gernika2–1L
Compostela0–2
Compostela0–2W
Comillas2–1
Comillas2–1D
Badalona II2–2
Badalona II2–2W
Racing Santander II1–0
Racing Santander II1–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Basconia | Sestao River |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 12.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Basconia
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Sestao River
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
100%
Over 3.5
3/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
18/04/26Basconia
Sestao River
2–2Basconia20/12/25Sestao River
Basconia
3–1Sestao River03/11/19Sestao River
Basconia
2–3Sestao River| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao River | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Alavés II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  Bergantiños | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Eibar II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Compostela | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Amorebieta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ourense CF | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Portugalete | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Real Oviedo II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Gernika | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 11 | Basconia | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Coruxo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atlético Astorga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arosa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Marino de Luanco | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanera | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Racing Santander II | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 |  Arenteiro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Gimnástica Torrelavega | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Basconia- ●Basconia have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Basconia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Basconia have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Basconia have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Basconia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Basconia have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Basconia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Basconia have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Sestao River- ●Sestao River have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sestao River have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Sestao River have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sestao River have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sestao River have won their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
BasconiaDHPortugalete2–2
Portugalete2–2LARacing Santander II1–3
Racing Santander II1–3DAEibar II1–1
Eibar II1–1DHLlanera1–1
Llanera1–1WAMarino de Luanco2–1
Marino de Luanco2–1DHArosa2–2
Arosa2–2–ACompostela01/11
Compostela01/11–HAmorebieta07/11
Amorebieta07/11–HDeportivo Alavés II15/11
Deportivo Alavés II15/11Sestao RiverWHArosa1–0
Arosa1–0WAMarino de Luanco1–0
Marino de Luanco1–0DHGimnástica Torrelavega0–0
Gimnástica Torrelavega0–0WAGernika2–1
Gernika2–1WHAtlético Astorga2–0
Atlético Astorga2–0LACompostela0–2
Compostela0–2–ACoruxo01/11
Coruxo01/11–HDeportivo Alavés II08/11
Deportivo Alavés II08/11–ABergantiños15/11
Bergantiños15/11Top Scorers
BasconiaA. Torrico3 ⚽
X. Gomez3 ⚽
3 ⚽
I. Sainz1 ⚽
M. Goni1 ⚽
O. Unamuno1 ⚽
Sestao RiverA. Castillo Marcilla3 ⚽
A. B. Laka2 ⚽
A. Bengoetxea2 ⚽
Andoni Ugarte2 ⚽
A. Carrion2 ⚽
G. Zorrilla2 ⚽
Cards Given
BasconiaSestao RiverJ. Castaneda1 🟨
M. Zearreta1 🟨