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Lorca Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia — Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

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Lorca Deportiva
Lorca Deportiva
8º · 1.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 23h
vs
–
–
Ucam Murcia
Ucam Murcia
3º · 1.90 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Lorca Deportiva and Ucam Murcia meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Lorca Deportiva have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Ucam Murcia have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Lorca Deportiva and 1.26 for Ucam Murcia. The models give Lorca Deportiva a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Ucam Murcia win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Lorca Deportiva
—
Ucam Murcia
8º
Position
3º
1.30
PPG
1.90
30%
Win %
60%
1.30
Goals / game
2.20
1.10
Conceded / game
1.10
55%
BTTS %
60%
27%
Clean sheet %
40%
36%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Lorca Deportiva
Home (5)
—
Ucam Murcia
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
2.00
40%
Win %
60%
1.20
Goals / game
2.20
0.60
Conceded / game
0.80
40%
BTTS %
60%
60%
Clean sheet %
40%
20%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Lorca DeportivaHomeAwayUcam MurciaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%80%67%90%100%80%
Over 1.5 Scored36%40%33%50%60%40%
Over 2.5 Scored9%0%17%30%20%40%
Failed To Score27%20%33%10%0%20%

Goals Conceded

Lorca DeportivaHomeAwayUcam MurciaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded73%40%100%60%60%60%
Over 1.5 Conceded27%20%33%30%40%20%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%0%17%10%20%0%
Clean Sheets27%60%0%40%40%40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Lorca DeportivaUcam Murcia
Over 0.591%90%
Over 1.564%70%
Over 2.536%60%
Over 3.527%40%
Over 4.59%40%
BTTS55%60%
BTTS & Win9%30%
BTTS & Draw27%0%
BTTS & Over 2.536%60%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Lorca DeportivaUcam Murcia
Win 1st Half27%40%
Draw 1st Half36%30%
Loss 1st Half36%30%
Scored 1st Half27%50%
Conceded 1st Half36%30%
Win 2nd Half36%60%
Draw 2nd Half36%30%
Loss 2nd Half27%10%
Scored 2nd Half64%70%
Conceded 2nd Half45%40%
Over 0.5 HT64%70%
Over 1.5 HT9%60%

Recent Venue Form

Lorca Deportiva (H)
WPoblense2–0
DAtlético Baleares2–2
WCastellonense1–0
DIntercity0–0
DElche II1–1
DYeclano2–2
Ucam Murcia (A)
DOrihuela0–0
WPeña Deportiva1–0
WElche II5–1
WAtlético Baleares4–1
LCastellonense1–2
LXerez0–1

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
Lorca Deportiva
25%
0
Draws
0%
3
Ucam Murcia
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
08/02/26
Lorca Deportiva
2–0
Ucam Murcia
14/09/25
Ucam Murcia
2–1
Lorca Deportiva
20/02/21
Lorca Deportiva
1–2
Ucam Murcia
29/11/20
Ucam Murcia
1–0
Lorca Deportiva
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Castellón II10703+1321
2Deportiva Minera10622+420
3Ucam Murcia10613+1119
4Cieza10523+817
5Castellonense10523+517
6La Nucía10514+116
7Alcoyano10424-214
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Elche II10325-911
16Real Murcia II9225-88
17Peña Deportiva10217-67
18Valencia II10145-77

Team Insights

Lorca Deportiva
  • ●Lorca Deportiva have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Lorca Deportiva have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lorca Deportiva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Lorca Deportiva have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Lorca Deportiva have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Lorca Deportiva failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●73% of Lorca Deportiva's goals conceded were conceded away.
Ucam Murcia
  • ●Ucam Murcia have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Ucam Murcia have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ucam Murcia have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Ucam Murcia have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Ucam Murcia have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
DAValencia II18º1–1
WHPoblense11º2–0
LAReal Murcia II16º2–3
WALa Nucía6º3–1
LACastellón II1º1–2
WHCastellonense5º1–0
DHIntercity9º0–0
LAOrihuela12º0–1
DHElche II15º1–1
DAOrihuela12º0–0
WHMallorca II13º5–1
LHCieza4º2–4
WAPeña Deportiva17º1–0
WHAlcoyano7º2–0
WAElche II15º5–1
LHIntercity9º1–2
WHValencia II18º1–0
LACastellonense5º1–2

Season Schedule

Lorca Deportiva
DAValencia II1–1
WHPoblense2–0
LAReal Murcia II2–3
DHAtlético Baleares2–2
WALa Nucía3–1
LACastellón II1–2
–HMallorca II15/11
–APeña Deportiva22/11
–AAlcoyano28/11
Ucam Murcia
DAOrihuela0–0
WHMallorca II5–1
LHCieza2–4
WAPeña Deportiva1–0
WHAlcoyano2–0
WAElche II5–1
–AReal Murcia II15/11
–HYeclano22/11
–ALa Nucía29/11

Top Scorers

Lorca Deportiva
J. Naranjo5 ⚽
D. Talaveron3 ⚽
M. Garcia2 ⚽
J. Bravo1 ⚽
J. Pedrosa1 ⚽
S. Fernandez1 ⚽
Ucam Murcia
J. Carrillo9 ⚽
D. Aquino8 ⚽
A. Punal1 ⚽
A. Soto1 ⚽
K. El Kounni1 ⚽
M. Castillo1 ⚽

Cards Given

Lorca Deportiva
M. Garcia1 🟨
W. Ibanez1 🟨
Ucam Murcia
J. Aguilera1 🟨