Marbella vs Ciudad de Lucena — Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
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Marbella and Ciudad de Lucena meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Marbella have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Ciudad de Lucena have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Marbella and 1.19 for Ciudad de Lucena. The models give Marbella a 34% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Ciudad de Lucena win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
MarbellaCiudad de LucenaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marbella | Home | Away | Ciudad de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 30% | 50% | 0% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 50% | 0% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 70% | 50% | 100% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Marbella | Home | Away | Ciudad de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 75% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 33% | 25% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marbella | Ciudad de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 9% |
| BTTS | 30% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marbella | Ciudad de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 70% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 10% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 64% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 20% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 30% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Marbella (H)
Las Palmas II2–1
Mijas Las Lagunas0–0
Estepona0–0
Real Betis II0–2
Atlético Central4–1
Sanluqueño2–2Ciudad de (A)Estepona2–2
Xerez1–0
Antoniano3–0Mijas Las Lagunas1–1
Linares Deportivo1–1
Cádiz II0–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Recreativo Huelva | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 | Ciudad de Lucena | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 |  Don Benito | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 |  Badajoz | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Betis II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Sevilla Atletico | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Linares Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 |  Puente Genil | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 | Xerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 | Estepona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Sanluqueño | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Tenerife II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Marbella | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Antoniano | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Tamaraceite | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Las Palmas II | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Marbella- ●Marbella have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Marbella have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Marbella failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●100% of Marbella's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Marbella's points have been earned at home.
- ●Marbella have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Ciudad de- ●Ciudad de Lucena have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Ciudad de Lucena have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ciudad de Lucena have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ciudad de Lucena have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ciudad de Lucena have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ciudad de Lucena have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ciudad de Lucena failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ciudad de Lucena have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ciudad de Lucena have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MarbellaLas Palmas II2–1Mijas Las Lagunas0–0Xerez0–1Estepona0–0Badajoz0–1Real Betis II0–2Tamaraceite15/11Don Benito22/11Recreativo Huelva29/11Ciudad deBadajoz1–1Sanluqueño2–1Estepona2–2Xerez1–0Don Benito4–2Puente Genil1–0Las Palmas II15/11Real Betis II22/11Tamaraceite29/11Top Scorers
MarbellaCiudad deCards Given
MarbellaCiudad de