Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 8

Numancia

1º · 2.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 0h

–

Navalcarnero

8º · 1.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 9d 20h

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Numancia and Navalcarnero meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Numancia have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 0.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 14%; and clean sheets in 71% of games. Navalcarnero have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 20%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Numancia and 0.99 for Navalcarnero. The models give Numancia a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Navalcarnero win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Numancia

—

Navalcarnero

1º

Position

8º

2.33

PPG

1.33

67%

Win %

33%

1.33

Goals / game

1.33

0.00

Conceded / game

1.33

29%

BTTS %

70%

71%

Clean sheet %

20%

14%

Over 2.5 %

70%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Numancia

Home (1)

—

Navalcarnero

Away (2)

3.00

PPG

0.50

100%

Win %

2.00

Goals / game

1.00

0.00

Conceded / game

1.50

33%

BTTS %

50%

67%

Clean sheet %

33%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Numancia	Home	Away	Navalcarnero	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	71%	100%	50%	90%	100%	83%
Over 1.5 Scored	43%	67%	25%	70%	50%	83%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	30%	25%	33%
Failed To Score	29%	0%	50%	10%	0%	17%

Goals Conceded

	Numancia	Home	Away	Navalcarnero	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	29%	33%	25%	80%	100%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	30%	25%	33%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	10%	25%	0%
Clean Sheets	71%	67%	75%	20%	0%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Numancia	Navalcarnero
Over 0.5	71%	100%
Over 1.5	57%	90%
Over 2.5	14%	70%
Over 3.5	0%	60%
Over 4.5	0%	0%
BTTS	29%	70%
BTTS & Win	14%	30%
BTTS & Draw	14%	30%
BTTS & Over 2.5	14%	60%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Numancia	Navalcarnero
Win 1st Half	43%	40%
Draw 1st Half	57%	30%
Loss 1st Half	0%	30%
Scored 1st Half	57%	40%
Conceded 1st Half	14%	30%
Win 2nd Half	43%	50%
Draw 2nd Half	57%	20%
Loss 2nd Half	0%	30%
Scored 2nd Half	57%	70%
Conceded 2nd Half	14%	60%
Over 0.5 HT	57%	70%
Over 1.5 HT	14%	40%

Recent Venue Form

Numancia (H)

Guadalajara1–0

A Madrid III2–0

Zaragoza2–1

Poblense0–1

Marino de Luanco1–0

Real Ávila2–1

Navalcarnero (A)

Recreativo Huelva2–2

RSD Alcalá3–1

Saguntino4–0

Atlético Tordesillas2–2

CF Talavera2–0

Real Valladolid II0–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

Numancia

50%

Draws

50%

Navalcarnero

100%

Over 1.5

2/2

Over 2.5

0/2

Over 3.5

0/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

25/02/24

Navalcarnero

1–1

Numancia

15/10/23

Numancia

2–0

Navalcarnero

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	A Madrid III	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Numancia	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Salamanca UDS	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	CF Talavera	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Real Valladolid II	6	3	1	2	+7	10
7	SS Reyes	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Guadalajara	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Gimnástica Segoviana	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Navalcarnero	6	2	2	2	0	8
11	RSD Alcalá	6	2	1	3	0	7
12	Real Ávila	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Atlético Tordesillas	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Atlético Paso	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Calvo Sotelo	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Albacete II	6	1	2	3	-12	5
17	Real Madrid III	6	0	4	2	-3	4
18	Getafe II	6	0	3	3	-5	3
19	Atlético Astorga	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Calamocha	0	0	0	0	0	0