Navalcarnero vs Calvo Sotelo — Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
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Navalcarnero and Calvo Sotelo meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Navalcarnero have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Calvo Sotelo have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Navalcarnero and 1.12 for Calvo Sotelo. The models give Navalcarnero a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Calvo Sotelo win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Navalcarnero | Home | Away | Calvo Sotelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 88% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 60% | 75% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 13% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Navalcarnero | Home | Away | Calvo Sotelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 20% | 38% | 67% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Navalcarnero | Calvo Sotelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 77% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Navalcarnero | Calvo Sotelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -12 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 5 | |
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Navalcarnero have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Navalcarnero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Navalcarnero have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Navalcarnero have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Navalcarnero have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Navalcarnero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Navalcarnero have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Navalcarnero failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Calvo Sotelo have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Calvo Sotelo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Calvo Sotelo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Calvo Sotelo have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●83% of Calvo Sotelo's points have been earned at home.