Guadalajara vs Real Ávila — Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
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Guadalajara and Real Ávila meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Guadalajara have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Real Ávila have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Guadalajara and 1.27 for Real Ávila. The models give Guadalajara a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Real Ávila win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Guadalajara—
Real Ávila10º
Position
12º
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.33
2.00
Conceded / game
1.67
73%
BTTS %
46%
0%
Clean sheet %
31%
73%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
4.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Guadalajara
Home (2)
—
Real Ávila
Away (2)
1.50
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
100%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
100%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
4.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Guadalajara | Home | Away | Real Ávila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 100% | 40% | 77% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 100% | 20% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 0% | 60% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Guadalajara | Home | Away | Real Ávila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 69% | 57% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 67% | 20% | 46% | 14% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 50% | 20% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guadalajara | Real Ávila | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 0% |
| BTTS | 73% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guadalajara | Real Ávila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 60% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 80% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Guadalajara (H)D
Navalcarnero2–2
Navalcarnero2–2D
Real Valladolid II4–4
Real Valladolid II4–4W
Getafe II4–1
Getafe II4–1D
Gimnástica Segoviana3–3
Gimnástica Segoviana3–3W
RSD Alcalá2–1
RSD Alcalá2–1L
Salamanca UDS2–3
Salamanca UDS2–3Real Ávila (A)L
Atlético Paso0–3
Atlético Paso0–3LReal Valladolid II1–2
Real Valladolid II1–2L
SS Reyes0–3
SS Reyes0–3LNavalcarnero1–2
Navalcarnero1–2L
A Madrid III1–2
A Madrid III1–2W
Atlético Tordesillas2–0
Atlético Tordesillas2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Numancia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Salamanca UDS | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 3 | SS Reyes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 |  Conquense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 | A Madrid III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Valladolid II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 | Navalcarnero | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  CF Talavera | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Guadalajara | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albacete II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 12 |
| 11 |  Real Madrid III | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Atlético Tordesillas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | RSD Alcalá | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Atlético Paso | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Getafe II | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Real Ávila | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Calvo Sotelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 19 |  Atlético Astorga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Calamocha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Guadalajara- ●Guadalajara have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Guadalajara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Guadalajara have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Guadalajara have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Guadalajara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Guadalajara have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Guadalajara failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Guadalajara have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●85% of Guadalajara's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Guadalajara's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Guadalajara have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Real Ávila- ●Real Ávila have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Ávila have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Real Ávila failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Ávila have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Ávila failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Ávila have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Ávila failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Real Ávila failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Real Ávila have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Real Ávila's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Real Ávila's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Real Ávila's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
GuadalajaraDHNavalcarnero2–2
Navalcarnero2–2WACalvo Sotelo2–1
Calvo Sotelo2–1DHReal Valladolid II4–4
Real Valladolid II4–4LAAtlético Tordesillas0–3
Atlético Tordesillas0–3WHGetafe II4–1
Getafe II4–1DAReal Madrid III1–1
Real Madrid III1–1–AConquense15/11
Conquense15/11–AAlbacete II22/11
Albacete II22/11–HAtlético Paso29/11
Atlético Paso29/11Real ÁvilaLHSalamanca UDS1–3
Salamanca UDS1–3LHReal Madrid III0–1
Real Madrid III0–1LAAtlético Paso0–3
Atlético Paso0–3LAReal Valladolid II1–2
Real Valladolid II1–2DHNumancia1–1
Numancia1–1LASS Reyes0–3
SS Reyes0–3–AGimnástica Segoviana15/11
Gimnástica Segoviana15/11–HConquense22/11
Conquense22/11–ARSD Alcalá29/11
RSD Alcalá29/11Top Scorers
GuadalajaraRoni6 ⚽
S. Miguelez4 ⚽
M. Bautista2 ⚽
F. C. Bonilla Martinez2 ⚽
B. Barry1 ⚽
V. Morillo1 ⚽
Real ÁvilaD. Fustos3 ⚽
M. Ndiaye3 ⚽
Castri2 ⚽
A. Molina2 ⚽
A. Millan1 ⚽
J. Molina1 ⚽
Cards Given
GuadalajaraB. Barry1 🟨
Real ÁvilaB. Aniekan1 🟨
Castri1 🟨
D. Gonzalez1 🟨
F. Garrido Diaz1 🟨
J. del Amo1 🟨