Bellinzona vs Brühl — 1. Liga Promotion
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Bellinzona and Brühl meet in the 1. Liga Promotion 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Bellinzona have recorded 1 wins from 13 matches this season (8% win rate), averaging 0.69 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Brühl have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Bellinzona and 1.59 for Brühl. The models give Bellinzona a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Brühl win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bellinzona | Home | Away | Brühl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 46% | 60% | 38% | 63% | 75% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 60% | 0% | 37% | 50% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 50% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 54% | 40% | 63% | 37% | 25% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Bellinzona | Home | Away | Brühl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 74% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 80% | 63% | 53% | 38% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 40% | 50% | 32% | 13% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 25% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bellinzona | Brühl | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 26% |
| BTTS | 46% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 32% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bellinzona | Brühl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 77% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 15% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 85% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 25 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 | |
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Bellinzona have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Bellinzona have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Brühl have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Brühl have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Brühl failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●77% of Brühl's goals have been scored at home.