MatchPulse

Lugano II vs Bellinzona — 1. Liga Promotion

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Lugano II
Lugano II
15º · 0.82 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
vs
–
–
Bellinzona
Bellinzona
18º · 0.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 15d 1h
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Lugano II and Bellinzona meet in the 1. Liga Promotion 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Lugano II have recorded 3 wins from 15 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Bellinzona have won 8% of their 13 matches, with 0.69 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.95 for Lugano II and 1.29 for Bellinzona. The models give Lugano II a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Bellinzona win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Lugano II
—
Bellinzona
15º
Position
18º
0.82
PPG
0.45
27%
Win %
9%
1.55
Goals / game
0.64
2.27
Conceded / game
2.18
60%
BTTS %
46%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Lugano II
Home (6)
—
Bellinzona
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
0.17
50%
Win %
0%
2.17
Goals / game
0.17
2.17
Conceded / game
2.00
63%
BTTS %
38%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Lugano IIHomeAwayBellinzonaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%75%57%46%60%38%
Over 1.5 Scored33%50%14%23%60%0%
Over 2.5 Scored20%38%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score33%25%43%54%40%63%

Goals Conceded

Lugano IIHomeAwayBellinzonaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded87%88%86%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded60%63%57%69%80%63%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%38%29%46%40%50%
Clean Sheets13%13%14%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Lugano IIBellinzona
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.567%85%
Over 2.567%62%
Over 3.540%46%
Over 4.533%15%
BTTS60%46%
BTTS & Win13%8%
BTTS & Draw0%15%
BTTS & Over 2.560%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%23%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Lugano IIBellinzona
Win 1st Half27%15%
Draw 1st Half33%38%
Loss 1st Half40%46%
Scored 1st Half53%46%
Conceded 1st Half67%69%
Win 2nd Half7%0%
Draw 2nd Half47%23%
Loss 2nd Half47%77%
Scored 2nd Half33%15%
Conceded 2nd Half60%85%
Over 0.5 HT80%85%
Over 1.5 HT47%62%

Recent Venue Form

Lugano II (H)
LKreuzlingen2–3
LCham0–1
WBasel II3–0
WBavois3–2
WLuzern II4–3
LBulle1–4
Bellinzona (A)
LYF Juventus0–2
LGrand-Saconnex0–3
LParadiso0–4
DCham1–1
LFC Schaffhausen0–1
LRotkreuz1–4

Head to Head · 1 matches

0
Lugano II
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Bellinzona
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
17/08/22
Bellinzona
2–1
Lugano II
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Biel-Bienne11821+1326
2FC Schaffhausen11812+1625
3Cham11713+522
4Bulle11632+821
5Paradiso11623+1120
6YF Juventus11614+219
7Grand-Saconnex11605+418
8Basel II11515016
9Amical Saint-Prex11515-616
10Kreuzlingen11434+115
11Zürich II11434015
12Breitenrain11434-215
13Brühl11425-214
14Young Boys II11326-911
15Lugano II11308-89
16Bavois11227-48
17Luzern II11218-127
18Bellinzona11128-175

Team Insights

Lugano II
  • ●Lugano II have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Lugano II have lost their last 4 matches.
  • ●Lugano II have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Lugano II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Lugano II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Lugano II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Lugano II have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●76% of Lugano II's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●100% of Lugano II's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Lugano II have scored 76% of their goals in the first half.
Bellinzona
  • ●Bellinzona have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Bellinzona have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Bellinzona have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Bellinzona have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Bellinzona have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
LHKreuzlingen10º2–3
LAParadiso5º0–1
LHCham3º0–1
LAFC Schaffhausen2º1–2
WHBasel II8º3–0
WHBavois16º3–2
LABiel-Bienne1º2–5
WHLuzern II17º4–3
LAYoung Boys II14º1–3
LAYF Juventus6º0–2
LHZürich II11º0–4
DHBreitenrain12º2–2
LAGrand-Saconnex7º0–3
WHKreuzlingen10º2–1
LAParadiso5º0–4
DACham3º1–1
LAFC Schaffhausen2º0–1
LHBasel II8º2–3
LARotkreuz1–4

Season Schedule

Lugano II
LHKreuzlingen2–3
LAParadiso0–1
LHCham0–1
LAFC Schaffhausen1–2
WHBasel II3–0
LAAmical Saint-Prex0–1
–AGrand-Saconnex17/10
–HBellinzona25/10
–AZürich II31/10
Bellinzona
LAYF Juventus0–2
LHZürich II0–4
DHBreitenrain2–2
LAGrand-Saconnex0–3
WHKreuzlingen2–1
LAParadiso0–4
–HBrühl21/10
–ALugano II25/10
–HBulle01/11

Top Scorers

Lugano II
A. Davis2 ⚽
C. Raffa2 ⚽
G. Ajdin2 ⚽
L. Rueger2 ⚽
2 ⚽
B. Zurmuhle1 ⚽
Bellinzona
G. Kyeremateng2 ⚽
Y. Aymon2 ⚽
M. Shkodriqi1 ⚽
S. Ahmeti1 ⚽
T. Centinaro1 ⚽

Cards Given

Lugano II
R. Frizzi1 🟨
Bellinzona
G. Zaic2 🟨