Bellinzona vs Luzern II — 1. Liga Promotion
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Bellinzona and Luzern II meet in the 1. Liga Promotion 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Bellinzona have recorded 1 wins from 13 matches this season (8% win rate), averaging 0.69 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Luzern II have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Bellinzona and 1.93 for Luzern II. The models give Bellinzona a 36% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Luzern II win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Bellinzona—
Luzern II18º
Position
17º
0.45
PPG
0.64
9%
Win %
18%
0.64
Goals / game
1.36
2.18
Conceded / game
2.45
46%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
62%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bellinzona
Home (5)
—
Luzern II
Away (6)
0.80
PPG
1.17
20%
Win %
33%
1.20
Goals / game
1.83
2.40
Conceded / game
1.67
60%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
29%
80%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bellinzona | Home | Away | Luzern II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 46% | 60% | 38% | 67% | 40% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 60% | 0% | 58% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 54% | 40% | 63% | 33% | 60% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Bellinzona | Home | Away | Luzern II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 83% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 80% | 63% | 58% | 80% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 40% | 50% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bellinzona | Luzern II | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 42% |
| BTTS | 46% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bellinzona | Luzern II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 77% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 15% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 85% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 73% |
Recent Venue Form
Bellinzona (H)L
Zürich II0–4
Zürich II0–4D
Breitenrain2–2
Breitenrain2–2W
Kreuzlingen2–1
Kreuzlingen2–1L
Basel II2–3
Basel II2–3L
Bavois0–2
Bavois0–2L
FC WIL 19002–4
FC WIL 19002–4Luzern II (A)LBasel II2–3
Basel II2–3WBavois1–0
Bavois1–0LBreitenrain0–1
Breitenrain0–1D
Young Boys II2–2
Young Boys II2–2L
Lugano II3–4
Lugano II3–4W
YF Juventus3–0
YF Juventus3–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Biel-Bienne | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 2 |  FC Schaffhausen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 25 |
| 3 |  Cham | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 |  Bulle | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Paradiso | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 | YF Juventus | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 |  Grand-Saconnex | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 | Basel II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  Amical Saint-Prex | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | Kreuzlingen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Zürich II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Breitenrain | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 |  Brühl | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Young Boys II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Bavois | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
Team Insights
Bellinzona- ●Bellinzona have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Bellinzona have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
Luzern II- ●Luzern II have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Luzern II have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Luzern II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Luzern II have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Luzern II have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●Luzern II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Luzern II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Luzern II have lost 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Luzern II have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Luzern II's goals have been scored away.
- ●100% of Luzern II's points have been earned away.
- ●Luzern II have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BellinzonaLAYF Juventus0–2
YF Juventus0–2LHZürich II0–4
Zürich II0–4DHBreitenrain2–2
Breitenrain2–2LAGrand-Saconnex0–3
Grand-Saconnex0–3WHKreuzlingen2–1
Kreuzlingen2–1LAParadiso0–4
Paradiso0–4–HBrühl21/10
Brühl21/10–ALugano II25/10
Lugano II25/10–HBulle01/11
Bulle01/11Luzern IILHFC Schaffhausen0–8
FC Schaffhausen0–8LABasel II2–3
Basel II2–3LHAmical Saint-Prex2–3
Amical Saint-Prex2–3WABavois1–0
Bavois1–0LHBiel-Bienne0–1
Biel-Bienne0–1LABreitenrain0–1
Breitenrain0–1–HParadiso24/10
Paradiso24/10–ACham28/10
Cham28/10–AKreuzlingen31/10
Kreuzlingen31/10Top Scorers
BellinzonaG. Kyeremateng2 ⚽
Y. Aymon2 ⚽
M. Shkodriqi1 ⚽
S. Ahmeti1 ⚽
T. Centinaro1 ⚽
Luzern IIP. Muff5 ⚽
D. Rujkovci2 ⚽
G. Caputo2 ⚽
C. D. Roosli1 ⚽
S. Meyer1 ⚽
S. Wyss1 ⚽
Cards Given
BellinzonaG. Zaic2 🟨
Luzern IIE. Mahic1 🟨