Bavois vs Bellinzona — 1. Liga Promotion
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Bavois and Bellinzona meet in the 1. Liga Promotion 2026 season on 13 February 2027. Bavois have recorded 6 wins from 20 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Bellinzona have won 20% of their 15 matches, with 0.87 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Bavois and 1.00 for Bellinzona. The models give Bavois a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bellinzona win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bavois | Home | Away | Bellinzona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 56% | 55% | 53% | 71% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 44% | 36% | 33% | 71% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 44% | 45% | 47% | 29% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Bavois | Home | Away | Bellinzona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 73% | 87% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 44% | 45% | 60% | 57% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 11% | 18% | 40% | 29% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 27% | 13% | 29% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bavois | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS | 35% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bavois | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 25 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 24 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +7 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 19 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 19 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 19 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 17 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -7 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 8 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 8 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Bavois have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Bavois have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Bavois failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bavois have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bavois failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bavois failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bavois have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Bavois's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Bellinzona have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●89% of Bellinzona's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Bellinzona's points have been earned at home.
- ●Bellinzona have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.