Basel II vs Bellinzona — 1. Liga Promotion
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Basel II and Bellinzona meet in the 1. Liga Promotion 2026 season on 27 February 2027. Basel II have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Bellinzona have won 18% of their 17 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.01 for Basel II and 1.17 for Bellinzona. The models give Basel II a 59% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Bellinzona win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Basel II—
Bellinzona11º
Position
18º
1.33
PPG
0.64
40%
Win %
14%
1.73
Goals / game
0.71
1.87
Conceded / game
1.86
71%
BTTS %
41%
12%
Clean sheet %
12%
82%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Basel II
Home (7)
—
Bellinzona
Away (7)
1.43
PPG
0.29
43%
Win %
0%
2.14
Goals / game
0.29
1.71
Conceded / game
1.86
86%
BTTS %
44%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Basel II | Home | Away | Bellinzona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 70% | 56% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 71% | 60% | 33% | 63% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 43% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 30% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Basel II | Home | Away | Bellinzona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 86% | 90% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 82% | 71% | 90% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 14% | 30% | 39% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Basel II | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 17% |
| BTTS | 71% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Basel II | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 12% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 59% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Basel II (H)D
FC Schaffhausen2–2
FC Schaffhausen2–2W
Bavois3–1
Bavois3–1W
Luzern II3–2
Luzern II3–2L
Bulle1–2
Bulle1–2W
Brühl3–0
Brühl3–0L
Zürich II2–3
Zürich II2–3Bellinzona (A)L
Young Boys II2–3
Young Boys II2–3D
Lugano II1–1
Lugano II1–1L
YF Juventus0–2
YF Juventus0–2L
Grand-Saconnex0–3
Grand-Saconnex0–3L
Paradiso0–4
Paradiso0–4D
Cham1–1
Cham1–1Head to Head · 7 matches
4
Basel II
57%
1
Draws
14%
2
Bellinzona
29%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
18/08/26Basel II
Bellinzona
2–3Basel II20/02/22Basel II
Bellinzona
2–0Basel II28/08/21Bellinzona
Basel II
2–1Bellinzona24/04/21Bellinzona
Basel II
2–1Bellinzona12/10/19Basel II
Bellinzona
1–3Basel II11/11/18Basel II
Bellinzona
0–0Basel II04/08/18Bellinzona
Basel II
0–2Bellinzona| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulle | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 33 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 32 |
| 3 | Cham | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 30 |
| 4 |  Biel-Bienne | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 5 | Paradiso | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 25 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 | Brühl | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 | YF Juventus | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 | Zürich II | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 |  Breitenrain | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Basel II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |  Amical Saint-Prex | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 19 |
| 13 |  Kreuzlingen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Young Boys II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Luzern II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Lugano II | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -17 | 13 |
| 17 | Bavois | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
Team Insights
Basel II- ●Basel II have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Basel II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Basel II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Basel II have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Basel II have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Basel II have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Basel II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Basel II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Basel II have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Basel II failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Basel II have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
Bellinzona- ●Bellinzona have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●67% of Bellinzona's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Bellinzona's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Basel IIDHFC Schaffhausen2–2
FC Schaffhausen2–2LABreitenrain0–2
Breitenrain0–2LAAmical Saint-Prex0–2
Amical Saint-Prex0–2WHBavois3–1
Bavois3–1DABiel-Bienne2–2
Biel-Bienne2–2WHLuzern II3–2
Luzern II3–2–ACham14/11
Cham14/11–HParadiso21/11
Paradiso21/11–HKreuzlingen13/02
Kreuzlingen13/02BellinzonaLAYoung Boys II2–3
Young Boys II2–3LHBulle0–1
Bulle0–1DALugano II1–1
Lugano II1–1WHBrühl2–0
Brühl2–0LAYF Juventus0–2
YF Juventus0–2LHZürich II0–4
Zürich II0–4–HLuzern II15/11
Luzern II15/11–ABiel-Bienne22/11
Biel-Bienne22/11–ABavois13/02
Bavois13/02Top Scorers
Basel IIR. Rushiti6 ⚽
Y. Hansal3 ⚽
M. Uruejoma3 ⚽
Y. Marchand3 ⚽
3 ⚽
J. Borer2 ⚽
BellinzonaY. Aymon3 ⚽
G. Kyeremateng2 ⚽
M. Shkodriqi2 ⚽
P. Ceppelini2 ⚽
A. Rexhepaj1 ⚽
S. Ahmeti1 ⚽
Cards Given
Basel IIBellinzonaG. Zaic2 🟨