Luzern II vs Lugano II — 1. Liga Promotion
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Luzern II and Lugano II meet in the 1. Liga Promotion 2026 season on 27 February 2027. Luzern II have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 2.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Lugano II have won 21% of their 19 matches, with 1.26 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Luzern II and 1.80 for Lugano II. The models give Luzern II a 47% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Lugano II win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Luzern II—
Lugano II15º
Position
16º
0.93
PPG
0.87
27%
Win %
27%
1.73
Goals / game
1.47
2.27
Conceded / game
2.60
63%
BTTS %
68%
13%
Clean sheet %
11%
75%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Luzern II
Home (7)
—
Lugano II
Away (7)
0.43
PPG
0.43
14%
Win %
14%
1.43
Goals / game
1.00
2.86
Conceded / game
2.71
57%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
11%
71%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Luzern II | Home | Away | Lugano II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 57% | 89% | 74% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 43% | 78% | 32% | 40% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 14% | 44% | 16% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 43% | 11% | 26% | 20% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Luzern II | Home | Away | Lugano II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 78% | 89% | 90% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 71% | 56% | 58% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 43% | 22% | 37% | 40% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 22% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luzern II | Lugano II | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 37% |
| BTTS | 63% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luzern II | Lugano II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 68% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 73% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Luzern II (H)W
Grand-Saconnex5–1
Grand-Saconnex5–1L
Paradiso1–2
Paradiso1–2L
FC Schaffhausen0–8
FC Schaffhausen0–8L
Amical Saint-Prex2–3
Amical Saint-Prex2–3L
Biel-Bienne0–1
Biel-Bienne0–1L
Bulle2–3
Bulle2–3Lugano II (A)L
Zürich II1–6
Zürich II1–6WGrand-Saconnex2–1
Grand-Saconnex2–1LParadiso0–1
Paradiso0–1LFC Schaffhausen1–2
FC Schaffhausen1–2LAmical Saint-Prex0–1
Amical Saint-Prex0–1LBiel-Bienne2–5
Biel-Bienne2–5Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Luzern II
29%
4
Draws
57%
1
Lugano II
14%
100%
Over 1.5
7/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
57%
Over 3.5
4/7
100%
BTTS
7/7
15/08/26Luzern II
Lugano II
4–3Luzern II21/03/26Lugano II
Luzern II
4–2Lugano II17/09/25Luzern II
Lugano II
2–2Luzern II29/03/25Lugano II
Luzern II
1–1Lugano II21/09/24Luzern II
Lugano II
1–1Luzern II25/05/24Luzern II
Lugano II
1–2Luzern II18/11/23Lugano II
Luzern II
4–4Lugano II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulle | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +14 | 33 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 32 |
| 3 |  Cham | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 30 |
| 4 | Biel-Bienne | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 5 | Paradiso | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 25 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  Brühl | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  YF Juventus | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 | Zürich II | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 |  Breitenrain | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Basel II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Amical Saint-Prex | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 19 |
| 13 |  Kreuzlingen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Young Boys II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Luzern II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Lugano II | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -17 | 13 |
| 17 |  Bavois | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Bellinzona | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
Team Insights
Luzern II- ●Luzern II have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Luzern II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Luzern II have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Luzern II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luzern II have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Luzern II have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Luzern II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Luzern II failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luzern II have lost 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luzern II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Luzern II have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Luzern II have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Luzern II's goals have been scored away.
- ●79% of Luzern II's points have been earned away.
Lugano II- ●Lugano II have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lugano II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Lugano II have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lugano II have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lugano II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Lugano II failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lugano II have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lugano II have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lugano II failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lugano II have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lugano II have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●68% of Lugano II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Lugano II's points have been earned at home.
- ●Lugano II have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Luzern IIWHGrand-Saconnex5–1
Grand-Saconnex5–1WAKreuzlingen3–2
Kreuzlingen3–2DACham2–2
Cham2–2LHParadiso1–2
Paradiso1–2LHFC Schaffhausen0–8
FC Schaffhausen0–8LABasel II2–3
Basel II2–3–ABellinzona15/11
Bellinzona15/11–HZürich II21/11
Zürich II21/11–HYF Juventus13/02
YF Juventus13/02Lugano IILHYF Juventus1–6
YF Juventus1–6LAZürich II1–6
Zürich II1–6DHBellinzona1–1
Bellinzona1–1WAGrand-Saconnex2–1
Grand-Saconnex2–1LHKreuzlingen2–3
Kreuzlingen2–3LAParadiso0–1
Paradiso0–1–ABrühl14/11
Brühl14/11–HBreitenrain22/11
Breitenrain22/11–ABulle13/02
Bulle13/02Top Scorers
Luzern IIP. Muff6 ⚽
D. Rujkovci2 ⚽
S. Meyer2 ⚽
G. Caputo2 ⚽
C. D. Roosli1 ⚽
S. Wyss1 ⚽
Lugano IIC. Raffa5 ⚽
A. Davis2 ⚽
L. Rueger2 ⚽
R. Frizzi2 ⚽
2 ⚽
G. Ajdin2 ⚽
Cards Given
Luzern IIE. Mahic1 🟨
Lugano IIR. Frizzi1 🟨