Rouen vs Bastia — Ligue 3
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Rouen and Bastia meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Rouen have recorded 9 wins from 14 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 57% of games. Bastia have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Rouen and 0.79 for Bastia. The models give Rouen a 49% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Bastia win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 38%.
Season Statistics
Rouen—
Bastia2º
Position
11º
2.09
PPG
1.36
64%
Win %
36%
1.82
Goals / game
0.91
0.82
Conceded / game
1.09
43%
BTTS %
46%
57%
Clean sheet %
31%
50%
Over 2.5 %
23%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Rouen
Home (6)
—
Bastia
Away (5)
2.33
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
60%
1.50
Goals / game
0.80
0.33
Conceded / game
0.40
29%
BTTS %
43%
71%
Clean sheet %
43%
29%
Over 2.5 %
14%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Rouen | Home | Away | Bastia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 86% | 100% | 77% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 43% | 57% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 14% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 14% | 0% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Rouen | Home | Away | Bastia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 43% | 29% | 57% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 43% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 29% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 57% | 71% | 43% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rouen | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 15% |
| BTTS | 43% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rouen | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 7% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 14% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 8% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 77% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Rouen (H)W
Concarneau2–1
Concarneau2–1W
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
Aubagne1–0
Aubagne1–0D
Valenciennes1–1
Valenciennes1–1W
Quevilly3–0
Quevilly3–0D
Cannes0–0
Cannes0–0Bastia (A)DConcarneau1–1
Concarneau1–1L
Gobelins0–1
Gobelins0–1WBourg-en-bresse 011–0
Bourg-en-bresse 011–0W
Caen1–0
Caen1–0WAubagne1–0
Aubagne1–0DAubagne1–1
Aubagne1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Rouen
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Bastia
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
22/07/23Bastia
Rouen
0–2Bastia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 | Rouen | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
| 4 | Caen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Cannes | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Concarneau | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 | Gobelins | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Bastia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Aubagne | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 5 |
Team Insights
Rouen- ●Rouen have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Rouen have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rouen have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rouen have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rouen have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rouen have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rouen have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Rouen have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Rouen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Rouen have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Bastia- ●Bastia have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bastia have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bastia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bastia have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Bastia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Bastia's points have been earned away.
- ●Bastia have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RouenWHConcarneau2–1
Concarneau2–1LAGobelins1–3
Gobelins1–3WHBourg-en-bresse 012–0
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0LACaen2–3
Caen2–3WHAubagne1–0
Aubagne1–0WAThionville Lusitanos4–0
Thionville Lusitanos4–0–HBastia07/11
Bastia07/11–AFleury 9121/11
Fleury 9121/11–HLa Roche VF05/12
La Roche VF05/12BastiaWHQuevilly2–0
Quevilly2–0DAConcarneau1–1
Concarneau1–1DHOrleans1–1
Orleans1–1LAGobelins0–1
Gobelins0–1DHCannes1–1
Cannes1–1WABourg-en-bresse 011–0
Bourg-en-bresse 011–0–ARouen07/11
Rouen07/11–HVillefranche21/11
Villefranche21/11–AFleury 9105/12
Fleury 9105/12Top Scorers
RouenM. Tchokounte8 ⚽
S. Traore3 ⚽
B. Camara3 ⚽
C. Bassin2 ⚽
I. Karamoko2 ⚽
W. Pacius1 ⚽
BastiaC. Rodrigues4 ⚽
J. Sebas2 ⚽
E. Garnier2 ⚽
A. Zaouai2 ⚽
R. Beliandjou1 ⚽
C. Melieres1 ⚽
Cards Given
RouenZ. Lamgahez3 🟨
C. Bassin3 🟨
N. Sommer3 🟨
J. Gaspar2 🟨
F. Mendy2 🟨
I. Karamoko2 🟨
BastiaI. Monnier6 🟨
C. Melieres5 🟨
G. Akueson4 🟨
N. Douce4 🟨
L. Belal3 🟨
N. Zilliox3 🟨