Bastia vs Villefranche — Ligue 3
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Bastia and Villefranche meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Bastia have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 21%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Villefranche have won 15% of their 13 matches, with 0.92 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Bastia and 1.15 for Villefranche. The models give Bastia a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Villefranche win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bastia | Home | Away | Villefranche | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 62% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 13% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Bastia | Home | Away | Villefranche | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 83% | 63% | 85% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 50% | 25% | 69% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 33% | 13% | 38% | 0% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 17% | 38% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bastia | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 21% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 31% |
| BTTS | 43% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 14% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bastia | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 7% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 71% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 69% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 85% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 22 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +11 | 20 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +6 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | |
| 14 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 | |
| 18 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Bastia have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bastia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bastia have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Bastia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Bastia's points have been earned away.
- ●Villefranche failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Villefranche failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Villefranche failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Villefranche failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Villefranche have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Villefranche's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Villefranche's points have been earned at home.
- ●Villefranche have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.