Bastia vs Villefranche — Ligue 3
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Bastia and Villefranche meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Bastia have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Villefranche have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Bastia and 1.34 for Villefranche. The models give Bastia a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Villefranche win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
BastiaVillefrancheHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bastia | Home | Away | Villefranche | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 50% | 83% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 50% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Bastia | Home | Away | Villefranche | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 100% | 50% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 75% | 17% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 50% | 17% | 44% | 0% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bastia | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 44% |
| BTTS | 40% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bastia | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 80% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Bastia (H)
Cannes1–1
Amiens0–3
Versailles2–3
Le Puy Foot0–2
Le Mans0–2
Saint Etienne2–0Villefranche (A)Le Puy Foot1–4
Fleury 911–6
Concarneau0–2
Bourg-en-bresse 012–3
Grenoble2–5Concarneau2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
VillefrancheBastia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rouen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  Caen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 |  La Roche VF | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Concarneau | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Amiens | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 | Cannes | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 | Versailles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Le Puy Foot | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Bastia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Gobelins | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Quevilly | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Fleury 91 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aubagne | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Bastia- ●Bastia have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●90% of Bastia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●90% of Bastia's points have been earned away.
- ●Bastia have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Villefranche- ●Villefranche have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Villefranche have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Villefranche have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●79% of Villefranche's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
BastiaGobelins0–1Cannes1–1Bourg-en-bresse 011–0Amiens0–3Caen1–0Versailles2–3Orleans01/10Concarneau17/10Quevilly31/10VillefrancheVersailles1–2Le Puy Foot1–4La Roche VF0–0Fleury 911–6Rouen0–2Concarneau0–2Amiens03/10Cannes17/10Orleans31/10Top Scorers
BastiaVillefrancheCards Given
BastiaVillefranche