Orleans vs Thionville Lusitanos — Ligue 3
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Orleans and Thionville Lusitanos meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Orleans have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Thionville Lusitanos have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 2.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.89 for Orleans and 1.55 for Thionville Lusitanos. The models give Orleans a 29% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Thionville Lusitanos win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Orleans | Home | Away | Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 40% | 71% | 91% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 57% | 64% | 40% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 36% | 20% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 60% | 29% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Orleans | Home | Away | Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 71% | 64% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 29% | 45% | 80% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 20% | 14% | 18% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 40% | 29% | 36% | 0% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Orleans | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 18% |
| BTTS | 33% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 36% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Orleans | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 | |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Orleans have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Orleans have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●70% of Orleans's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●88% of Orleans's points have been earned away.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●77% of Thionville Lusitanos's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Thionville Lusitanos's points have been earned away.