Aubagne vs Orleans — Ligue 3
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Aubagne and Orleans meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Aubagne have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Orleans have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 0.92 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 31%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Aubagne and 1.25 for Orleans. The models give Aubagne a 31% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Orleans win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
AubagneOrleansHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aubagne | Home | Away | Orleans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 60% | 50% | 62% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 20% | 33% | 31% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 40% | 50% | 38% | 60% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Aubagne | Home | Away | Orleans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 80% | 83% | 69% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 40% | 33% | 31% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 33% | 15% | 20% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 20% | 17% | 31% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aubagne | Orleans | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 8% |
| BTTS | 45% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aubagne | Orleans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Aubagne (H)
Concarneau1–2
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0
Bastia0–1
Thionville Lusitanos0–3Bastia1–1
Caen3–1Orleans (A)Bastia1–1
Amiens0–2
Le Puy Foot1–1
Fleury 912–0Concarneau2–0
Auxerre2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
OrleansAubagneOrleansAubagne| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 |  Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy Foot | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville Lusitanos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Gobelins | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 |  Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 4 |
Team Insights
Aubagne- ●Aubagne failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Orleans- ●Orleans have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Orleans have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●89% of Orleans's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
AubagneLa Roche VF1–3Fleury 912–1Rouen0–1Concarneau1–2Gobelins0–0Bourg-en-bresse 012–0Le Puy Foot17/10Versailles31/10Amiens07/11OrleansBastia1–1Cannes0–0Amiens0–2Versailles0–4Le Puy Foot1–1La Roche VF0–1Quevilly17/10Villefranche31/10Valenciennes05/11Top Scorers
AubagneOrleansCards Given
AubagneOrleans