Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly — Ligue 3
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Thionville Lusitanos and Quevilly meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Thionville Lusitanos have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Quevilly have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 0.93 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Thionville Lusitanos and 1.25 for Quevilly. The models give Thionville Lusitanos a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Quevilly win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | Quevilly | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 80% | 86% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 40% | 71% | 21% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 20% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 20% | 14% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | Quevilly | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 100% | 43% | 86% | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 80% | 14% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 40% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 0% | 57% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Thionville Lusitanos | Quevilly | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 7% |
| BTTS | 50% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Thionville Lusitanos | Quevilly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 21 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +7 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +5 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●71% of Thionville Lusitanos's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Thionville Lusitanos's points have been earned away.
- ●Quevilly have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Quevilly have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Quevilly have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Quevilly failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Quevilly's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Quevilly's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Quevilly's points have been earned at home.
- ●Quevilly have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.