La Roche VF vs Bastia — Ligue 3
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La Roche VF and Bastia meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 16 January 2027. La Roche VF have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Bastia have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for La Roche VF and 1.02 for Bastia. The models give La Roche VF a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Bastia win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
La Roche VF—
Bastia1º
Position
11º
2.18
PPG
1.36
64%
Win %
36%
1.64
Goals / game
0.91
0.91
Conceded / game
1.09
69%
BTTS %
46%
31%
Clean sheet %
31%
46%
Over 2.5 %
23%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
La Roche VF
Home (6)
—
Bastia
Away (5)
2.33
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
60%
2.17
Goals / game
0.80
1.17
Conceded / game
0.40
83%
BTTS %
43%
17%
Clean sheet %
43%
50%
Over 2.5 %
14%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| La Roche | Home | Away | Bastia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 86% | 77% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 67% | 29% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| La Roche | Home | Away | Bastia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 83% | 57% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 33% | 29% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 17% | 43% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| La Roche | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS | 69% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| La Roche | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 8% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 77% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
La Roche (H)W
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
Aubagne3–1
Aubagne3–1W
Valenciennes3–2
Valenciennes3–2D
Quevilly1–1
Quevilly1–1D
Cannes1–1
Cannes1–1W
Versailles3–2
Versailles3–2Bastia (A)D
Concarneau1–1
Concarneau1–1L
Gobelins0–1
Gobelins0–1WBourg-en-bresse 011–0
Bourg-en-bresse 011–0W
Caen1–0
Caen1–0WAubagne1–0
Aubagne1–0DAubagne1–1
Aubagne1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 | Versailles | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
| 4 | Caen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Cannes | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Concarneau | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 | Gobelins | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Bastia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Aubagne | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 5 |
Team Insights
La Roche- ●La Roche VF have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●La Roche VF have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●La Roche VF have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●La Roche VF failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●La Roche VF have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●La Roche VF have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●La Roche VF have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●72% of La Roche VF's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of La Roche VF's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Bastia- ●Bastia have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bastia have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bastia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bastia have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Bastia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Bastia's points have been earned away.
- ●Bastia have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
La RocheWHBourg-en-bresse 012–0
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0LACaen1–2
Caen1–2WHAubagne3–1
Aubagne3–1WAThionville Lusitanos2–1
Thionville Lusitanos2–1WHValenciennes3–2
Valenciennes3–2DAVillefranche0–0
Villefranche0–0–AGobelins07/11
Gobelins07/11–HConcarneau21/11
Concarneau21/11–ARouen05/12
Rouen05/12BastiaWHQuevilly2–0
Quevilly2–0DAConcarneau1–1
Concarneau1–1DHOrleans1–1
Orleans1–1LAGobelins0–1
Gobelins0–1DHCannes1–1
Cannes1–1WABourg-en-bresse 011–0
Bourg-en-bresse 011–0–ARouen07/11
Rouen07/11–HVillefranche21/11
Villefranche21/11–AFleury 9105/12
Fleury 9105/12Top Scorers
La RocheM. Samb6 ⚽
M. M. Samb5 ⚽
M. Ndiaye3 ⚽
A. Araujo2 ⚽
M. Vrignon2 ⚽
D. Bangoura1 ⚽
BastiaC. Rodrigues4 ⚽
J. Sebas2 ⚽
E. Garnier2 ⚽
A. Zaouai2 ⚽
R. Beliandjou1 ⚽
C. Melieres1 ⚽
Cards Given
La RocheT. Allemand3 🟨
M. Ndiaye3 🟨
M. Rabuel3 🟨
M. Vrignon2 🟨
E. Gassama2 🟨
D. Bangoura2 🟨
BastiaI. Monnier6 🟨
C. Melieres5 🟨
G. Akueson4 🟨
N. Douce4 🟨
L. Belal3 🟨
N. Zilliox3 🟨