Thionville Lusitanos vs Valenciennes — Ligue 3
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Thionville Lusitanos and Valenciennes meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 16 January 2027. Thionville Lusitanos have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.87 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Valenciennes have won 26% of their 19 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Thionville Lusitanos and 1.32 for Valenciennes. The models give Thionville Lusitanos a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Valenciennes win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Thionville Lusitanos—
Valenciennes11º
Position
15º
1.33
PPG
0.83
33%
Win %
17%
1.42
Goals / game
1.08
1.42
Conceded / game
1.58
53%
BTTS %
63%
33%
Clean sheet %
26%
60%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Thionville Lusitanos
Home (6)
—
Valenciennes
Away (6)
1.17
PPG
0.17
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.83
2.00
Conceded / game
2.17
71%
BTTS %
60%
14%
Clean sheet %
20%
71%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | Valenciennes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 86% | 88% | 84% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 29% | 63% | 47% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 14% | 38% | 16% | 22% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | Valenciennes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 86% | 50% | 74% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 71% | 13% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 29% | 0% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 14% | 50% | 26% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Thionville Lusitanos | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 53% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 37% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Thionville Lusitanos | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Thionville Lusitanos (H)W
Cannes1–0
Cannes1–0L
Versailles1–2
Versailles1–2L
La Roche VF1–2
La Roche VF1–2L
Rouen0–4
Rouen0–4D
Gobelins1–1
Gobelins1–1W
Caen4–3
Caen4–3Valenciennes (A)D
La Neuvillette2–2
La Neuvillette2–2LCannes1–2
Cannes1–2LVersailles0–1
Versailles0–1LLa Roche VF2–3
La Roche VF2–3DRouen1–1
Rouen1–1LGobelins1–2
Gobelins1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Thionville Lusitanos
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Valenciennes
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
22/12/24Valenciennes
Thionville Lusitanos
2–2Valenciennes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rouen | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Caen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | Versailles | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 |  Amiens | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Concarneau | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 7 | Cannes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |  Le Puy Foot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Gobelins | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Quevilly | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 |  Fleury 91 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Bastia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Thionville Lusitanos- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Thionville Lusitanos's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Valenciennes- ●Valenciennes have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Valenciennes have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Valenciennes have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Valenciennes have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Valenciennes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Valenciennes's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Valenciennes's points have been earned at home.
- ●Valenciennes have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Thionville LusitanosWHCannes1–0
Cannes1–0DAAmiens1–1
Amiens1–1LHVersailles1–2
Versailles1–2LALe Puy Foot0–1
Le Puy Foot0–1LHLa Roche VF1–2
La Roche VF1–2DAFleury 911–1
Fleury 911–1–AOrleans23/11
Orleans23/11–HQuevilly05/12
Quevilly05/12–AVillefranche12/12
Villefranche12/12ValenciennesDHOrleans2–2
Orleans2–2LACannes1–2
Cannes1–2DHAmiens1–1
Amiens1–1LAVersailles0–1
Versailles0–1WHLe Puy Foot2–1
Le Puy Foot2–1LALa Roche VF2–3
La Roche VF2–3–AQuevilly21/11
Quevilly21/11–HVillefranche05/12
Villefranche05/12–ABastia12/12
Bastia12/12Top Scorers
Thionville LusitanosK. Bouhmidi5 ⚽
K. Tubio3 ⚽
D. Luvualu3 ⚽
S. Kalambayi Mukuta3 ⚽
J. Moustaid2 ⚽
F. Gobitaka2 ⚽
ValenciennesM. Rouai5 ⚽
V. Marcel4 ⚽
R. Ekra4 ⚽
J. Ndiaye3 ⚽
G. Courtet2 ⚽
C. Abi2 ⚽
Cards Given
Thionville LusitanosM. Aljic6 🟨
B. Diarra5 🟨
S. Kilic4 🟨
D. Luvualu4 🟨
S. Bouzar3 🟨
J. Atangana3 🟨
ValenciennesD. Goprou5 🟨
M. Zogba5 🟨
T. Marechal4 🟨
M. Rouai3 🟨
C. Rocchia3 🟨
D. Diomande2 🟨