Thionville Lusitanos vs Bastia — Ligue 3
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Thionville Lusitanos and Bastia meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 23 January 2027. Thionville Lusitanos have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.87 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Bastia have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 21%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Thionville Lusitanos and 1.25 for Bastia. The models give Thionville Lusitanos a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Bastia win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Thionville LusitanosBastiaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | Bastia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 86% | 88% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 29% | 63% | 21% | 33% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 14% | 38% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 14% | 13% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | Bastia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 86% | 50% | 71% | 83% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 71% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 29% | 0% | 21% | 33% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 14% | 50% | 29% | 17% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 21% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 53% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 7% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 71% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Thionville Lusitanos (H)
Cannes1–0
Versailles1–2
La Roche VF1–2
Rouen0–4
Gobelins1–1
Caen4–3Bastia (A)Rouen0–2
Concarneau1–1Gobelins0–1
Bourg-en-bresse 011–0Caen1–0
Aubagne1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rouen | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Caen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | Versailles | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 |  Amiens | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 | Concarneau | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 7 | Cannes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |  Le Puy Foot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Gobelins | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Quevilly | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 |  Fleury 91 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 13 | Bastia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 17 | Aubagne | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Thionville Lusitanos- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Thionville Lusitanos's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Bastia- ●Bastia have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bastia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bastia have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Bastia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Bastia's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Thionville LusitanosCannes1–0Amiens1–1Versailles1–2Le Puy Foot0–1La Roche VF1–2Fleury 911–1Orleans23/11Quevilly05/12Villefranche12/12BastiaRouen0–2Quevilly2–0Concarneau1–1Orleans1–1Gobelins0–1Cannes1–1Villefranche21/11Fleury 9105/12Valenciennes12/12Top Scorers
Thionville LusitanosBastiaCards Given
Thionville LusitanosBastia