Valenciennes vs Aubagne — Ligue 3
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Stade du Hainaut·Valenciennes·France·24,926
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Valenciennes and Aubagne meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 23 January 2027. Valenciennes have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Aubagne have won 14% of their 14 matches, with 0.64 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Valenciennes and 0.88 for Aubagne. The models give Valenciennes a 52% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Aubagne win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Valenciennes—
Aubagne15º
Position
17º
0.83
PPG
0.58
17%
Win %
17%
1.08
Goals / game
0.50
1.58
Conceded / game
1.58
63%
BTTS %
36%
26%
Clean sheet %
14%
58%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Valenciennes
Home (6)
—
Aubagne
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
0.67
33%
Win %
17%
1.33
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
67%
BTTS %
43%
33%
Clean sheet %
14%
56%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Valenciennes | Home | Away | Aubagne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 89% | 80% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 56% | 40% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 22% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 11% | 20% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Valenciennes | Home | Away | Aubagne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 67% | 80% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 11% | 20% | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 33% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Valenciennes | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 7% |
| BTTS | 63% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 37% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Valenciennes | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 7% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 21% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Valenciennes (H)D
Orleans2–2
Orleans2–2D
Amiens1–1
Amiens1–1W
Le Puy Foot2–1
Le Puy Foot2–1L
Fleury 911–2
Fleury 911–2D
Concarneau0–0
Concarneau0–0W
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0Aubagne (A)L
Versailles0–4
Versailles0–4L
La Roche VF1–3
La Roche VF1–3WFleury 912–1
Fleury 912–1L
Rouen0–1
Rouen0–1D
Gobelins0–0
Gobelins0–0L
Caen0–1
Caen0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Valenciennes
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Aubagne
0%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
27/03/26Aubagne
Valenciennes
0–0Aubagne21/10/25Valenciennes
Aubagne
1–1Valenciennes16/05/25Valenciennes
Aubagne
0–3Valenciennes16/08/24Aubagne
Valenciennes
1–0Aubagne| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rouen | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Caen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | Versailles | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 | Amiens | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 | Concarneau | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 7 |  Cannes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Le Puy Foot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Gobelins | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Quevilly | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Fleury 91 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Bastia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Orleans | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 17 | Aubagne | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Valenciennes- ●Valenciennes have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Valenciennes have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Valenciennes have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Valenciennes have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Valenciennes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Valenciennes's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Valenciennes's points have been earned at home.
- ●Valenciennes have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Aubagne- ●Aubagne have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Aubagne have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Aubagne failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Aubagne have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aubagne have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aubagne failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Aubagne have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Aubagne failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Aubagne have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
ValenciennesDHOrleans2–2
Orleans2–2LACannes1–2
Cannes1–2DHAmiens1–1
Amiens1–1LAVersailles0–1
Versailles0–1WHLe Puy Foot2–1
Le Puy Foot2–1LALa Roche VF2–3
La Roche VF2–3–AQuevilly21/11
Quevilly21/11–HVillefranche05/12
Villefranche05/12–ABastia12/12
Bastia12/12AubagneLHAmiens0–2
Amiens0–2LAVersailles0–4
Versailles0–4LHLe Puy Foot0–1
Le Puy Foot0–1LALa Roche VF1–3
La Roche VF1–3WAFleury 912–1
Fleury 912–1LARouen0–1
Rouen0–1–ACannes21/11
Cannes21/11–HOrleans05/12
Orleans05/12–AQuevilly12/12
Quevilly12/12Top Scorers
ValenciennesM. Rouai5 ⚽
V. Marcel4 ⚽
R. Ekra4 ⚽
J. Ndiaye3 ⚽
G. Courtet2 ⚽
C. Abi2 ⚽
AubagneY. Zemoura2 ⚽
W. Bouaziz2 ⚽
J. Sahraoui1 ⚽
A. Faiz1 ⚽
1 ⚽
M. Nehari1 ⚽
Cards Given
ValenciennesD. Goprou5 🟨
M. Zogba5 🟨
T. Marechal4 🟨
M. Rouai3 🟨
C. Rocchia3 🟨
D. Diomande2 🟨
AubagneB. Doukansy5 🟨
A. Tafni4 🟨
R. Valme3 🟨
A. Bellebrahim3 🟨
M. Nehari3 🟨
A. Sadi2 🟨