Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga
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Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Union Berlin have recorded 6 wins from 17 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 2.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Borussia Dortmund have won 64% of their 14 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.25 for Union Berlin and 1.97 for Borussia Dortmund. The models give Union Berlin a 36% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Borussia Dortmund win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Union Berlin—
Borussia Dortmund16º
Position
2º
0.80
PPG
2.60
20%
Win %
80%
1.00
Goals / game
2.20
3.40
Conceded / game
0.80
71%
BTTS %
57%
12%
Clean sheet %
36%
71%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.7
Avg corners
7.0
13.7
Avg shots
17.3
6.0
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.5
Avg fouls
11.4
43.7%
Avg possession
54.1%
Home vs Away
Union Berlin
Home (3)
—
Borussia Dortmund
Away (2)
1.33
PPG
3.00
33%
Win %
100%
1.67
Goals / game
2.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
83%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Clean sheet %
38%
83%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.7
Avg corners
7.0
13.7
Avg shots
17.3
6.0
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
43.7%
Avg possession
54.1%
Goals Scored
| Union Berlin | Home | Away | Borussia Dortmund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 73% | 93% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 67% | 27% | 64% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 33% | 18% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 27% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Union Berlin | Home | Away | Borussia Dortmund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 83% | 91% | 64% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 83% | 64% | 50% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 50% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 17% | 9% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 29% |
| BTTS | 71% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 82% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Union Berlin (H)W
SV Elversberg1–0
SV Elversberg1–0L
FC Schalke 041–3
FC Schalke 041–3D
Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
Eintracht Frankfurt3–3L
Ipswich2–4
Ipswich2–4W
Aris3–2
Aris3–2D
Cagliari2–2
Cagliari2–2Borussia Dortmund (A)W
VfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0W
1899 Hoffenheim3–2
1899 Hoffenheim3–2W
HEBC5–0
HEBC5–0W
Arsenal3–2
Arsenal3–2W
FC Tokyo1–0
FC Tokyo1–0L
Cerezo Osaka0–1
Cerezo Osaka0–1Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
10.8
45 games
11.8
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 88% | 96% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 88% | 89% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 75% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 63% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 63% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 38% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 25% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.2 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
4
Union Berlin
25%
1
Draws
6%
11
Borussia Dortmund
69%
100%
Over 1.5
16/16
81%
Over 2.5
13/16
44%
Over 3.5
7/16
50%
BTTS
8/16
24/01/26Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
0–3Borussia Dortmund31/08/25Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
3–0Union Berlin22/02/25Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
6–0Union Berlin05/10/24Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
2–1Borussia Dortmund02/03/24Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
0–2Borussia Dortmund07/10/23Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
4–2Union Berlin08/04/23Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
2–1Union Berlin16/10/22Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
2–0Borussia Dortmund13/02/22Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
0–3Borussia Dortmund19/09/21Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
4–2Union Berlin21/04/21Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
2–0Union Berlin18/12/20Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
2–1Borussia Dortmund01/02/20Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
5–0Union Berlin31/08/19Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
3–1Borussia Dortmund31/10/18Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
3–2Union Berlin26/10/16Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
2–2Union Berlin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Team Insights
Union Berlin- ●Union Berlin have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●65% of Union Berlin's goals conceded were conceded away.
Borussia Dortmund- ●Borussia Dortmund have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of Borussia Dortmund's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Union BerlinWHSV Elversberg1–0
SV Elversberg1–0LABayern München0–7
Bayern München0–7LHFC Schalke 041–3
FC Schalke 041–3LABayer Leverkusen0–4
Bayer Leverkusen0–4DHEintracht Frankfurt3–3
Eintracht Frankfurt3–3–HBorussia Dortmund17/10
Borussia Dortmund17/10–AFC Augsburg24/10
FC Augsburg24/10–H1. FC Köln01/11
1. FC Köln01/11Borussia DortmundDHWerder Bremen2–2
Werder Bremen2–2WAVfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0WHSC Paderborn 073–0
SC Paderborn 073–0WA1899 Hoffenheim3–2
1899 Hoffenheim3–2WHHamburger SV2–0
Hamburger SV2–0–AUnion Berlin17/10
Union Berlin17/10–HEintracht Frankfurt24/10
Eintracht Frankfurt24/10–ABayern München31/10
Bayern München31/10Top Scorers
Union BerlinM. Ljubicic6 ⚽
Z. Van Den Bosch3 ⚽
A. Kemlein3 ⚽
T. Rothe3 ⚽
I. Ansah3 ⚽
A. Ilic2 ⚽
Borussia DortmundS. Guirassy3 ⚽
Serhou Guirassy3 ⚽
Fábio Silva3 ⚽
Felix Nmecha2 ⚽
F. Silva2 ⚽
Daniel Svensson2 ⚽
Cards Given
Union BerlinFelix Uduokhai3 🟨
Z. Van Den Bosch2 🟨
M. Aebischer2 🟨
Janik Haberer1 🟨
Livan Burcu1 🟨
Marin Ljubičić1 🟨
Borussia DortmundR. Ritter3 🟨
Jobe Bellingham2 🟨
Joey Veerman2 🟨
J. RIedl1 🟨
J. Ryerson1 🟨
Felix Nmecha1 🟨