Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga
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Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Werder Bremen have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.07 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. SC Paderborn 07 have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.59 for Werder Bremen and 1.37 for SC Paderborn 07. The models give Werder Bremen a 55% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an SC Paderborn 07 win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Werder Bremen—
SC Paderborn 077º
Position
15º
1.60
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
0.60
2.00
Conceded / game
1.40
57%
BTTS %
45%
29%
Clean sheet %
27%
64%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.5
Avg corners
5.3
15.0
Avg shots
15.8
6.3
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.5
11.5
Avg fouls
9.8
48.0%
Avg possession
50.2%
Home vs Away
Werder Bremen
Home (2)
—
SC Paderborn 07
Away (2)
3.00
PPG
0.50
100%
Win %
0%
3.00
Goals / game
0.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.50
50%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Clean sheet %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.5
Avg corners
5.3
15.0
Avg shots
15.8
6.3
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.5
48.0%
Avg possession
50.2%
Goals Scored
| Werder Bremen | Home | Away | SC Paderborn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 83% | 75% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 83% | 50% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 33% | 38% | 36% | 60% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 17% | 25% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Werder Bremen | Home | Away | SC Paderborn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 73% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 63% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 27% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Werder Bremen | SC Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 18% |
| BTTS | 57% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Werder Bremen | SC Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 62% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Werder Bremen (H)W
FC Augsburg3–2
FC Augsburg3–2W
RB Leipzig3–1
RB Leipzig3–1L
Auxerre0–1
Auxerre0–1DSC Paderborn 072–2
SC Paderborn 072–2W
VfL Bochum2–0
VfL Bochum2–0W
Fagiano Okayama2–0
Fagiano Okayama2–0SC Paderborn (A)W
DC United1–0
DC United1–0L
Borussia Dortmund0–3
Borussia Dortmund0–3D
FSV Mainz 050–0
FSV Mainz 050–0W
Phönix Lübeck4–2
Phönix Lübeck4–2DWerder Bremen2–2
Werder Bremen2–2W
VfL Osnabrück2–0
VfL Osnabrück2–0Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
10.8
45 games
12.0
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Werder Bremen | SC Paderborn | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 100% | 96% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 83% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 17% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Werder Bremen | SC Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 6.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 83% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
4
Werder Bremen
44%
3
Draws
33%
2
SC Paderborn
22%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
78%
Over 3.5
7/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
08/08/26SC Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen
2–2SC Paderborn 0730/10/24Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
0–1Werder Bremen19/10/22Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
2–2Werder Bremen22/01/22Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
3–4Werder Bremen15/08/21SC Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen
1–4SC Paderborn 0713/06/20Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
1–5Werder Bremen08/12/19SC Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen
0–1SC Paderborn 0726/04/15Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
2–2Werder Bremen29/11/14SC Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen
4–0SC Paderborn 07| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Team Insights
Werder Bremen- ●Werder Bremen have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Werder Bremen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Werder Bremen have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Werder Bremen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●70% of Werder Bremen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Werder Bremen's points have been earned at home.
SC Paderborn—
Season Schedule
Werder BremenDABorussia Dortmund2–2
Borussia Dortmund2–2WHFC Augsburg3–2
FC Augsburg3–2DA1. FC Köln1–1
1. FC Köln1–1WHRB Leipzig3–1
RB Leipzig3–1LASC Freiburg1–4
SC Freiburg1–4–HSC Paderborn 0717/10
SC Paderborn 0717/10–AFSV Mainz 0524/10
FSV Mainz 0524/10–H1899 Hoffenheim31/10
1899 Hoffenheim31/10SC PaderbornLHVfB Stuttgart0–2
VfB Stuttgart0–2WH1899 Hoffenheim3–1
1899 Hoffenheim3–1LABorussia Dortmund0–3
Borussia Dortmund0–3LHSC Freiburg0–1
SC Freiburg0–1DAFSV Mainz 050–0
FSV Mainz 050–0–AWerder Bremen17/10
Werder Bremen17/10–HHamburger SV24/10
Hamburger SV24/10–ABorussia Mönchengladbach31/10
Borussia Mönchengladbach31/10Top Scorers
Werder BremenNiclas Füllkrug4 ⚽
J. Stage3 ⚽
P. Erevbenagie3 ⚽
Marco Grüll2 ⚽
J. Njinmah2 ⚽
Chuki2 ⚽
SC Paderborn2 ⚽
S. Marino2 ⚽
S. Michel2 ⚽
G. Vidovic2 ⚽
S. Klaas1 ⚽
Stefano Marino1 ⚽
Cards Given
Werder Bremen2 🟨
Daniel Thioune1 🟨
Dariusz Stalmach1 🟨
Iván San José Cantalejo1 🟨
J. Njinmah1 🟨
Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares1 🟨
SC Paderborn2 🟨
Jano Ter-Horst1 🟨
Laurin Curda1 🟨
Laurin Ulrich1 🟨
M. Hansen1 🟨
M. Schubert1 🟨