SC Freiburg vs Bayern München — Bundesliga
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SC Freiburg and Bayern München meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. SC Freiburg have recorded 11 wins from 12 matches this season (92% win rate), averaging 3.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Bayern München have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 3.13 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 93%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.56 for SC Freiburg and 1.83 for Bayern München. The models give SC Freiburg a 44% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Bayern München win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| SC Freiburg | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 93% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 75% | 87% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 50% | 53% | 80% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| SC Freiburg | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 63% | 75% | 73% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 13% | 25% | 27% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 38% | 25% | 27% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SC Freiburg | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 47% |
| BTTS | 67% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 58% | 53% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SC Freiburg | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 100% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 82% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 7% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 91% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 73% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | SC Freiburg | Bayern München | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 96% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 89% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 78% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 78% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 56% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 22% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | SC Freiburg | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 9.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 88% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 25% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 33% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●SC Freiburg have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●SC Freiburg have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●SC Freiburg have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●SC Freiburg have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●79% of SC Freiburg's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Bayern München have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Bayern München's goals have been scored at home.