FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen — Bundesliga
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MEWA ARENA·Mainz·Germany·34,034
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FSV Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. FSV Mainz 05 have recorded 12 wins from 16 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 4.00 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 63% of games. Werder Bremen have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.15 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.75 for Werder Bremen. The models give FSV Mainz 05 a 50% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Werder Bremen win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
FSV Mainz 05—
Werder Bremen5º
Position
8º
1.67
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
38%
BTTS %
60%
63%
Clean sheet %
27%
81%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.8
Avg corners
4.6
17.8
Avg shots
15.4
6.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.1
13.8
Avg fouls
11.4
51.0%
Avg possession
49.9%
Home vs Away
FSV Mainz 05
Home (3)
—
Werder Bremen
Away (3)
0.33
PPG
0.67
0%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
1.33
2.33
Conceded / game
2.33
50%
BTTS %
63%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.8
Avg corners
4.6
17.8
Avg shots
15.4
6.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.1
51.0%
Avg possession
49.9%
Goals Scored
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | Werder Bremen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 88% | 100% | 80% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 63% | 88% | 67% | 86% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 69% | 50% | 88% | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 13% | 0% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | Werder Bremen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 50% | 25% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 53% | 43% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 63% | 50% | 75% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FSV Mainz | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS | 38% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 44% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FSV Mainz | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 81% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 64% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 81% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
FSV Mainz (H)L
Bayer Leverkusen3–4
Bayer Leverkusen3–4L
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3D
SC Paderborn 070–0
SC Paderborn 070–0W
Bournemouth2–1
Bournemouth2–1W
Paris FC4–0
Paris FC4–0W
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–0Werder Bremen (A)D
Borussia Dortmund2–2
Borussia Dortmund2–2L
Twente0–7
Twente0–7D
1. FC Köln1–1
1. FC Köln1–1L
SC Freiburg1–4
SC Freiburg1–4W
Lüneburger SK Hansa3–0
Lüneburger SK Hansa3–0W
Energie Cottbus4–2
Energie Cottbus4–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
10.7
54 games
9.7
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | FSV Mainz | Werder Bremen | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 86% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 86% | 87% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 71% | 76% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 57% | 61% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 29% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 14% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FSV Mainz | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 57% |
Head to Head · 30 matches
11
FSV Mainz
37%
7
Draws
23%
12
Werder Bremen
40%
83%
Over 1.5
25/30
57%
Over 2.5
17/30
30%
Over 3.5
9/30
57%
BTTS
17/30
15/03/26FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
0–2FSV Mainz 0501/11/25Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
1–1Werder Bremen31/01/25FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
1–0FSV Mainz 0515/09/24Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
1–2Werder Bremen03/02/24Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0–1Werder Bremen02/09/23FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
4–0FSV Mainz 0508/04/23Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
2–2Werder Bremen15/10/22FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
0–2FSV Mainz 0521/04/21FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
0–1FSV Mainz 0519/12/20Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0–1Werder Bremen20/06/20Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
3–1Werder Bremen17/12/19FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
0–5FSV Mainz 0530/03/19FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
3–1FSV Mainz 0504/11/18Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
2–1Werder Bremen12/05/18Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
1–2Werder Bremen16/12/17FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2–2FSV Mainz 0518/02/17Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0–2Werder Bremen21/09/16FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
1–2FSV Mainz 0519/03/16FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
1–1FSV Mainz 0524/10/15Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
1–3Werder Bremen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 |  SV Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |  RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |  FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
FSV Mainz- ●FSV Mainz 05 have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●71% of FSV Mainz 05's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of FSV Mainz 05's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●90% of FSV Mainz 05's points have been earned away.
Werder Bremen- ●Werder Bremen have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Werder Bremen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Werder Bremen have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Werder Bremen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Werder Bremen have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Werder Bremen have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of Werder Bremen's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Werder Bremen's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
FSV MainzWAFC Schalke 041–0
FC Schalke 041–0LHBayer Leverkusen3–4
Bayer Leverkusen3–4WABorussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3LHEintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3WAHamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0DHSC Paderborn 070–0
SC Paderborn 070–0–HWerder Bremen24/10
Werder Bremen24/10–ASV Elversberg30/10
SV Elversberg30/10–HBayern München07/11
Bayern München07/11Werder BremenDHSC Paderborn 072–2
SC Paderborn 072–2DABorussia Dortmund2–2
Borussia Dortmund2–2WHFC Augsburg3–2
FC Augsburg3–2DA1. FC Köln1–1
1. FC Köln1–1WHRB Leipzig3–1
RB Leipzig3–1LASC Freiburg1–4
SC Freiburg1–4–AFSV Mainz 0524/10
FSV Mainz 0524/10–H1899 Hoffenheim31/10
1899 Hoffenheim31/10–AVfB Stuttgart07/11
VfB Stuttgart07/11Top Scorers
FSV MainzP. Tietz10 ⚽
R. Konigsdorffer7 ⚽
S. Becker5 ⚽
N. Weiper5 ⚽
Phillip Tietz5 ⚽
W. Boving4 ⚽
Werder BremenNiclas Füllkrug6 ⚽
J. Stage3 ⚽
P. Erevbenagie3 ⚽
Marco Grüll2 ⚽
J. Njinmah2 ⚽
Chuki2 ⚽
Cards Given
FSV MainzSheraldo Becker2 🟨
Phillipp Mwene2 🟨
Kacper Potulski1 🟨
Lee Jae-Sung1 🟨
Nadiem Amiri1 🟨
Kaishu Sano1 🟨
Werder Bremen2 🟨
Daniel Thioune1 🟨
Dariusz Stalmach1 🟨
Iván San José Cantalejo1 🟨
J. Njinmah1 🟨
Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares1 🟨