Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga
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Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Bayern München have recorded 11 wins from 15 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 3.13 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 93%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Borussia Dortmund have won 64% of their 14 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 3.30 for Bayern München and 1.71 for Borussia Dortmund. The models give Bayern München a 64% win probability, with a draw at 18% and an Borussia Dortmund win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 81% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bayern München | Home | Away | Borussia Dortmund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 90% | 93% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 80% | 64% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 53% | 80% | 40% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Bayern München | Home | Away | Borussia Dortmund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 60% | 80% | 64% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 40% | 20% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 93% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 47% | 29% |
| BTTS | 73% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 53% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 88% | 96% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 88% | 89% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 75% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 78% | 63% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 56% | 63% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 38% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 25% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bayern München | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 9.1 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 50% |
Head to Head · 49 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Bayern München have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Bayern München's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Borussia Dortmund have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of Borussia Dortmund's goals have been scored at home.