SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga
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SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05 meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 30 October 2026. SV Elversberg have recorded 9 wins from 15 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. FSV Mainz 05 have won 77% of their 13 matches, with 4.38 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 85%, and clean sheets at 62%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.09 for SV Elversberg and 2.45 for FSV Mainz 05. The models give SV Elversberg a 38% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an FSV Mainz 05 win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 82% and BTTS at 78%.
Season Statistics
SV Elversberg—
FSV Mainz 057º
Position
6º
1.75
PPG
1.75
50%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
2.50
1.75
Conceded / game
1.50
73%
BTTS %
38%
20%
Clean sheet %
62%
67%
Over 2.5 %
85%
3.6
Avg corners
6.0
11.2
Avg shots
18.5
4.8
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
11.0
Avg fouls
13.0
46.0%
Avg possession
51.3%
Home vs Away
SV Elversberg
Home (2)
—
FSV Mainz 05
Away (2)
1.50
PPG
3.00
50%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
4.50
2.00
Conceded / game
1.50
100%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Clean sheet %
67%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
3.6
Avg corners
6.0
11.2
Avg shots
18.5
4.8
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
46.0%
Avg possession
51.3%
Goals Scored
| SV Elversberg | Home | Away | FSV Mainz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 83% | 92% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 67% | 50% | 77% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 53% | 67% | 50% | 69% | 43% | 100% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| SV Elversberg | Home | Away | FSV Mainz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 75% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 67% | 50% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 25% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 25% | 62% | 57% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SV Elversberg | FSV Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 | 47% | 54% |
| BTTS | 73% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 47% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 46% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SV Elversberg | FSV Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 77% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 69% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 92% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 23% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 85% |
Recent Venue Form
SV Elversberg (H)L
Bayern München1–2
Bayern München1–2W
Bayer Leverkusen3–2
Bayer Leverkusen3–2W
Lorient4–1
Lorient4–1W
Preußen Münster3–0
Preußen Münster3–0W
SC Paderborn 075–1
SC Paderborn 075–1W
Karlsruher SC3–0
Karlsruher SC3–0FSV Mainz (A)W
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3W
Hamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0W
Krieschow9–0
Krieschow9–0D
Udinese3–3
Udinese3–3W
Eisbachtal10–0
Eisbachtal10–0W
Pfeddersheim11–0
Pfeddersheim11–0Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
10.9
36 games
10.3
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | SV Elversberg | FSV Mainz | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 8 | 40% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 25% | 56% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 25% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | SV Elversberg | FSV Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.4 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 50% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
SV Elversberg
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
FSV Mainz
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
12/08/23FSV Mainz 05
SV Elversberg
0–1FSV Mainz 0508/08/21FSV Mainz 05
SV Elversberg
2–2FSV Mainz 05| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
SV Elversberg—
FSV Mainz- ●FSV Mainz 05 have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●90% of FSV Mainz 05's goals have been scored away.
- ●86% of FSV Mainz 05's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
SV ElversbergDAFC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0LHBayern München1–2
Bayern München1–2WABorussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3WHBayer Leverkusen3–2
Bayer Leverkusen3–2–AUnion Berlin10/10
Union Berlin10/10–HFC Augsburg17/10
FC Augsburg17/10–ARB Leipzig24/10
RB Leipzig24/10FSV MainzWABorussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3LHEintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3WAHamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0DHSC Paderborn 070–0
SC Paderborn 070–0–HBayer Leverkusen10/10
Bayer Leverkusen10/10–AFC Schalke 0417/10
FC Schalke 0417/10–HWerder Bremen24/10
Werder Bremen24/10Top Scorers
SV ElversbergL. Schnellbacher4 ⚽
D. Mokwa Ntusu4 ⚽
Maurice Krattenmacher3 ⚽
F. Keidel2 ⚽
F. Onyeka2 ⚽
C. Campbell2 ⚽
FSV MainzP. Tietz10 ⚽
R. Konigsdorffer7 ⚽
S. Becker5 ⚽
N. Weiper5 ⚽
Phillip Tietz4 ⚽
W. Boving4 ⚽
Cards Given
SV ElversbergFelix Keidel2 🟨
C. Campbell1 🟨
F. Keidel1 🟨
Francis Onyeka1 🟨
M. Rohr1 🟨
N. Darvich1 🟨
FSV MainzPhillipp Mwene2 🟨
Anthony Caci1 🟨
Kacper Potulski1 🟨
P. Mwene1 🟨
Ransford Konigsdorffer1 🟨
S. Becker1 🟨