FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München — Bundesliga
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FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. FSV Mainz 05 have recorded 11 wins from 15 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 4.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 87%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Bayern München have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 3.13 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 93%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.07 for Bayern München. The models give FSV Mainz 05 a 31% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Bayern München win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
FSV Mainz 05—
Bayern München8º
Position
3º
1.40
PPG
2.20
40%
Win %
60%
2.60
Goals / game
3.20
2.00
Conceded / game
0.80
40%
BTTS %
73%
60%
Clean sheet %
27%
87%
Over 2.5 %
93%
5.6
Avg corners
9.1
19.4
Avg shots
22.9
6.0
Avg shots on target
8.9
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.0
12.6
Avg fouls
8.6
50.4%
Avg possession
68.3%
Home vs Away
FSV Mainz 05
Home (3)
—
Bayern München
Away (3)
0.33
PPG
1.67
0%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.33
2.33
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
80%
50%
Clean sheet %
20%
75%
Over 2.5 %
90%
5.6
Avg corners
9.1
19.4
Avg shots
22.9
6.0
Avg shots on target
8.9
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.0
50.4%
Avg possession
68.3%
Goals Scored
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 88% | 100% | 93% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 80% | 63% | 100% | 87% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 73% | 50% | 100% | 53% | 80% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 13% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 29% | 73% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 27% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 71% | 27% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FSV Mainz | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 87% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 53% | 47% |
| BTTS | 40% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 53% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 47% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FSV Mainz | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 7% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 93% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 87% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
FSV Mainz (H)L
Bayer Leverkusen3–4
Bayer Leverkusen3–4L
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3D
SC Paderborn 070–0
SC Paderborn 070–0W
Bournemouth2–1
Bournemouth2–1W
Paris FC4–0
Paris FC4–0W
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–0Bayern München (A)D
Viking3–3
Viking3–3D
FC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2W
SV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1D
FC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0W
VfL Osnabrück4–1
VfL Osnabrück4–1W
Borussia Dortmund2–1
Borussia Dortmund2–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
10.8
45 games
12.1
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | FSV Mainz | Bayern München | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 96% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 8 | 80% | 89% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 78% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 78% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 56% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 22% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FSV Mainz | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 9.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 33% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
7
FSV Mainz
21%
3
Draws
9%
24
Bayern München
71%
97%
Over 1.5
33/34
88%
Over 2.5
30/34
59%
Over 3.5
20/34
68%
BTTS
23/34
25/04/26Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
3–4Bayern München14/12/25FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
2–2FSV Mainz 0526/04/25FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
3–0FSV Mainz 0514/12/24Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
2–1Bayern München30/10/24Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
0–4Bayern München09/03/24FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
8–1FSV Mainz 0521/10/23Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
1–3Bayern München22/04/23Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
3–1Bayern München01/02/23Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
0–4Bayern München29/10/22FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
6–2FSV Mainz 0530/04/22Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
3–1Bayern München11/12/21FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
2–1FSV Mainz 0524/04/21Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
2–1Bayern München03/01/21FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
5–2FSV Mainz 0501/02/20Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
1–3Bayern München31/08/19FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
6–1FSV Mainz 0517/03/19FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
6–0FSV Mainz 0527/10/18Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
1–2Bayern München03/02/18Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
0–2Bayern München16/09/17FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
4–0FSV Mainz 05| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Team Insights
FSV Mainz- ●FSV Mainz 05 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of FSV Mainz 05's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of FSV Mainz 05's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●86% of FSV Mainz 05's points have been earned away.
Bayern München- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Bayern München have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Bayern München's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FSV MainzLHBayer Leverkusen3–4
Bayer Leverkusen3–4WABorussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3LHEintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3WAHamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0DHSC Paderborn 070–0
SC Paderborn 070–0–AFC Schalke 0417/10
FC Schalke 0417/10–HWerder Bremen24/10
Werder Bremen24/10–ASV Elversberg30/10
SV Elversberg30/10Bayern MünchenDAFC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2WHUnion Berlin7–0
Union Berlin7–0WASV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1DAFC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0WHVfB Stuttgart5–1
VfB Stuttgart5–1–HRB Leipzig17/10
RB Leipzig17/10–ASC Freiburg25/10
SC Freiburg25/10–HBorussia Dortmund31/10
Borussia Dortmund31/10Top Scorers
FSV MainzP. Tietz10 ⚽
R. Konigsdorffer7 ⚽
S. Becker5 ⚽
N. Weiper5 ⚽
Phillip Tietz4 ⚽
W. Boving4 ⚽
Bayern MünchenHarry Kane8 ⚽
Michael Olise6 ⚽
L. Diaz4 ⚽
F. Chavez3 ⚽
N. Brown3 ⚽
Ismael Saibari2 ⚽
Cards Given
FSV MainzPhillipp Mwene2 🟨
Sheraldo Becker2 🟨
Kacper Potulski1 🟨
Lee Jae-Sung1 🟨
P. Mwene1 🟨
Phillip Tietz1 🟨
Bayern MünchenMichael Olise2 🟨
Dayot Upamecano2 🟨
H. Ito1 🟨
Kim Min-Jae1 🟨
Konrad Laimer1 🟨
Ismael Saibari1 🟨