Germany · Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

Union Berlin

17º · 0.86 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h

–

RB Leipzig

5º · 1.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h

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Union Berlin and RB Leipzig meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Union Berlin have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. RB Leipzig have won 53% of their 17 matches, with 2.24 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 47%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.33 for Union Berlin and 1.43 for RB Leipzig. The models give Union Berlin a 48% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an RB Leipzig win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 68%.

Season Statistics

Union Berlin

—

RB Leipzig

17º

Position

5º

0.86

PPG

1.71

14%

Win %

57%

0.86

Goals / game

2.86

2.57

Conceded / game

1.57

68%

BTTS %

41%

16%

Clean sheet %

47%

63%

Over 2.5 %

76%

4.3

Avg corners

5.5

12.4

Avg shots

17.5

4.6

Avg shots on target

6.5

2.6

Avg yellow cards

1.2

12.1

Avg fouls

10.3

41.4%

Avg possession

51.9%

Home vs Away

Union Berlin

Home (4)

—

RB Leipzig

Away (3)

1.25

PPG

0.00

25%

Win %

1.25

Goals / game

0.67

1.50

Conceded / game

3.67

71%

BTTS %

70%

29%

Clean sheet %

10%

71%

Over 2.5 %

80%

4.3

Avg corners

5.5

12.4

Avg shots

17.5

4.6

Avg shots on target

6.5

2.6

Avg yellow cards

1.2

41.4%

Avg possession

51.9%

Goals Scored

	Union Berlin	Home	Away	RB Leipzig	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	79%	86%	75%	88%	100%	80%
Over 1.5 Scored	37%	57%	25%	41%	71%	20%
Over 2.5 Scored	21%	29%	17%	35%	71%	10%
Failed To Score	21%	14%	25%	12%	0%	20%

Goals Conceded

	Union Berlin	Home	Away	RB Leipzig	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	84%	71%	92%	53%	0%	90%
Over 1.5 Conceded	63%	71%	58%	47%	0%	80%
Over 2.5 Conceded	26%	43%	17%	35%	0%	60%
Clean Sheets	16%	29%	8%	47%	100%	10%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Over 0.5	95%	100%
Over 1.5	84%	88%
Over 2.5	63%	76%
Over 3.5	47%	65%
Over 4.5	32%	35%
BTTS	68%	41%
BTTS & Win	21%	6%
BTTS & Draw	26%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	53%	41%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	35%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Win 1st Half	26%	41%
Draw 1st Half	42%	18%
Loss 1st Half	32%	41%
Scored 1st Half	53%	47%
Conceded 1st Half	53%	47%
Win 2nd Half	21%	47%
Draw 2nd Half	37%	6%
Loss 2nd Half	42%	47%
Scored 2nd Half	53%	76%
Conceded 2nd Half	79%	47%
Over 0.5 HT	74%	88%
Over 1.5 HT	47%	35%

Recent Venue Form

Union Berlin (H)

Borussia Dortmund0–0

SV Elversberg1–0

FC Schalke 041–3

Eintracht Frankfurt3–3

Ipswich2–4

Aris3–2

RB Leipzig (A)

Real Madrid1–4

Bayern München1–6

Bayer Leverkusen0–2

Como1–4

Werder Bremen1–3

Eintracht Trier6–0

Number of Corners

10.1

Corners / Match

8 games

League Avg

10.7

61 games

11.8

Corners / Match

11 games

Match Corners	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig	League Avg
Over 6	88%	91%	93%
Over 7	75%	91%	87%
Over 8	75%	82%	77%
Over 9	63%	64%	62%
Over 10	38%	55%	51%
Over 11	25%	55%	41%
Over 12	13%	55%	30%
Over 13	13%	36%	18%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Corners Earned / Match	4.3	5.5
Corners Against / Match	5.9	6.3
Over 2.5 Corners For	63%	91%
Over 3.5 Corners For	63%	73%
Over 4.5 Corners For	50%	64%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	88%	73%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	75%	73%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	75%	73%

Head to Head · 19 matches

Union Berlin

37%

Draws

16%

RB Leipzig

47%

84%

Over 1.5

16/19

74%

Over 2.5

14/19

26%

Over 3.5

5/19

63%

BTTS

12/19

24/04/26

RB Leipzig

3–1

Union Berlin

12/12/25

Union Berlin

3–1

RB Leipzig

01/02/25

Union Berlin

0–0

RB Leipzig

14/09/24

RB Leipzig

0–0

Union Berlin

04/02/24

RB Leipzig

2–0

Union Berlin

03/09/23

Union Berlin

0–3

RB Leipzig

11/02/23

RB Leipzig

1–2

Union Berlin

20/08/22

Union Berlin

2–1

RB Leipzig

23/04/22

RB Leipzig

1–2

Union Berlin

20/04/22

RB Leipzig

2–1

Union Berlin

03/12/21

Union Berlin

2–1

RB Leipzig

22/05/21

Union Berlin

2–1

RB Leipzig

20/01/21

RB Leipzig

1–0

Union Berlin

18/01/20

RB Leipzig

3–1

Union Berlin

18/08/19

Union Berlin

0–4

RB Leipzig

19/02/16

RB Leipzig

3–0

Union Berlin

28/08/15

Union Berlin

1–1

RB Leipzig

01/03/15

RB Leipzig

3–2

Union Berlin

21/09/14

Union Berlin

2–1

RB Leipzig

Bundesliga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Bayern München	6	4	2	0	+17	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	+9	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	2	3	2	+4	9
10	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	-10	9
11	1. FC Köln	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	SC Paderborn 07	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	2	0	4	-3	6
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	-3	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	-12	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	1	0	6	-11	3

Team Insights

Union Berlin

●Union Berlin have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
●Union Berlin have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●67% of Union Berlin's goals conceded were conceded away.
●83% of Union Berlin's points have been earned at home.

RB Leipzig

●RB Leipzig have won their last 4 home matches.
●RB Leipzig have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
●RB Leipzig have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●RB Leipzig have lost their last 3 away matches.
●RB Leipzig have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●90% of RB Leipzig's goals have been scored at home.
●100% of RB Leipzig's goals conceded were conceded away.
●100% of RB Leipzig's points have been earned at home.