SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga
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SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 29 November 2026. SC Freiburg have recorded 14 wins from 18 matches this season (78% win rate), averaging 2.67 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. RB Leipzig have won 58% of their 19 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.65 for SC Freiburg and 1.39 for RB Leipzig. The models give SC Freiburg a 57% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an RB Leipzig win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
SC Freiburg—
RB Leipzig3º
Position
4º
2.00
PPG
1.88
63%
Win %
63%
2.25
Goals / game
2.75
1.25
Conceded / game
1.38
72%
BTTS %
42%
22%
Clean sheet %
47%
89%
Over 2.5 %
74%
6.1
Avg corners
5.8
17.6
Avg shots
17.0
5.9
Avg shots on target
6.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.2
10.1
Avg fouls
10.7
54.5%
Avg possession
53.4%
Home vs Away
SC Freiburg
Home (4)
—
RB Leipzig
Away (4)
2.25
PPG
0.75
75%
Win %
25%
3.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.25
Conceded / game
2.75
73%
BTTS %
67%
27%
Clean sheet %
17%
91%
Over 2.5 %
75%
6.1
Avg corners
5.8
17.6
Avg shots
17.0
5.9
Avg shots on target
6.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.2
54.5%
Avg possession
53.4%
Goals Scored
| SC Freiburg | Home | Away | RB Leipzig | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 86% | 89% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 78% | 91% | 57% | 47% | 71% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 56% | 73% | 29% | 32% | 71% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| SC Freiburg | Home | Away | RB Leipzig | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 73% | 86% | 53% | 0% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 36% | 43% | 42% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 9% | 14% | 32% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 27% | 14% | 47% | 100% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 61% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 32% |
| BTTS | 72% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 56% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 72% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 32% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 16% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 82% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 71% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 5% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 82% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
SC Freiburg (H)W
VfL Wolfsburg3–2
VfL Wolfsburg3–2L
Bayern München1–3
Bayern München1–3W
FK Jablonec3–2
FK Jablonec3–2W
FC Schalke 042–1
FC Schalke 042–1W
FC Luzern4–2
FC Luzern4–2W
Borussia Mönchengladbach5–0
Borussia Mönchengladbach5–0RB Leipzig (A)WFC Schalke 042–0
FC Schalke 042–0W
Rot-Weiß Essen2–1
Rot-Weiß Essen2–1L
Real Madrid1–4
Real Madrid1–4LBayern München1–6
Bayern München1–6L
Bayer Leverkusen0–2
Bayer Leverkusen0–2L
Como1–4
Como1–4Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.7
72 games
11.7
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 92% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 92% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 85% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 69% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 54% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 54% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 46% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 31% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.1 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 79% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 36% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 69% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
5
SC Freiburg
21%
6
Draws
25%
13
RB Leipzig
54%
92%
Over 1.5
22/24
67%
Over 2.5
16/24
38%
Over 3.5
9/24
71%
BTTS
17/24
16/05/26RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
4–1RB Leipzig14/01/26SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
2–0SC Freiburg08/03/25RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
0–0RB Leipzig26/10/24SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
3–1SC Freiburg06/04/24RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1–4RB Leipzig12/11/23SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
3–1SC Freiburg06/05/23RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
0–1RB Leipzig02/05/23RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1–5RB Leipzig09/11/22SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
3–1SC Freiburg21/05/22RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1–1RB Leipzig05/03/22SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1–1SC Freiburg16/10/21RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1–1RB Leipzig06/03/21RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
0–3RB Leipzig07/11/20SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
3–0SC Freiburg16/05/20SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1–1SC Freiburg26/10/19RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2–1RB Leipzig27/04/19SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
2–1SC Freiburg08/12/18RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
3–0RB Leipzig20/01/18RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2–1RB Leipzig27/08/17SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4–1SC Freiburg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
SC Freiburg- ●SC Freiburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●SC Freiburg have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●SC Freiburg have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●SC Freiburg have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of SC Freiburg's goals have been scored at home.
- ●SC Freiburg have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
RB Leipzig- ●RB Leipzig have won their last 2 matches.
- ●RB Leipzig have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●RB Leipzig have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●RB Leipzig have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●RB Leipzig have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●82% of RB Leipzig's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of RB Leipzig's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of RB Leipzig's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
SC FreiburgWAFC Augsburg2–1
FC Augsburg2–1LHBayern München1–3
Bayern München1–3LABayer Leverkusen1–2
Bayer Leverkusen1–2WHFC Schalke 042–1
FC Schalke 042–1DAEintracht Frankfurt2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt2–2WHBorussia Mönchengladbach5–0
Borussia Mönchengladbach5–0–HUnion Berlin08/11
Union Berlin08/11–ASV Elversberg21/11
SV Elversberg21/11–HRB Leipzig29/11
RB Leipzig29/11RB LeipzigWAFC Schalke 042–0
FC Schalke 042–0WHSV Elversberg4–0
SV Elversberg4–0LABayern München1–6
Bayern München1–6WHEintracht Frankfurt6–0
Eintracht Frankfurt6–0LABayer Leverkusen0–2
Bayer Leverkusen0–2WHHamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0–HFC Augsburg07/11
FC Augsburg07/11–AUnion Berlin21/11
Union Berlin21/11–ASC Freiburg29/11
SC Freiburg29/11Top Scorers
SC FreiburgI. Matanovic4 ⚽
Y. Suzuki3 ⚽
Keisuke Goto3 ⚽
Maximilian Eggestein3 ⚽
Igor Matanovic2 ⚽
D. Scherhant2 ⚽
RB LeipzigTidiam Gomis4 ⚽
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz4 ⚽
Christopher Nkunku4 ⚽
R. Baku3 ⚽
Antonio Nusa3 ⚽
Christoph Baumgartner3 ⚽
Cards Given
SC FreiburgYuito Suzuki4 🟨
Maximilian Eggestein3 🟨
Matthias Ginter2 🟨
Lucas Höler2 🟨
P. Osterhage2 🟨
Jan-Niklas Beste1 🟨
RB LeipzigNeil El Aynaoui3 🟨
Rocco Reitz2 🟨
Antonio Nusa2 🟨
Nicolas Seiwald2 🟨
Christopher Nkunku1 🟨
Benjamin Henrichs1 🟨