Hamburger SV vs Bayern München — Bundesliga
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Hamburger SV and Bayern München meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Hamburger SV have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Bayern München have won 71% of their 17 matches, with 3.24 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 94%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Hamburger SV and 2.01 for Bayern München. The models give Hamburger SV a 27% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Bayern München win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Hamburger SV—
Bayern München10º
Position
2º
1.29
PPG
2.33
43%
Win %
67%
0.86
Goals / game
3.67
2.29
Conceded / game
0.83
50%
BTTS %
76%
21%
Clean sheet %
24%
71%
Over 2.5 %
94%
3.4
Avg corners
8.7
10.5
Avg shots
22.5
3.6
Avg shots on target
9.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
0.9
14.0
Avg fouls
9.7
41.3%
Avg possession
65.4%
Home vs Away
Hamburger SV
Home (3)
—
Bayern München
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
1.67
67%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.33
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
80%
33%
Clean sheet %
20%
67%
Over 2.5 %
90%
3.4
Avg corners
8.7
10.5
Avg shots
22.5
3.6
Avg shots on target
9.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
0.9
41.3%
Avg possession
65.4%
Goals Scored
| Hamburger SV | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 83% | 63% | 94% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 63% | 88% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 0% | 38% | 53% | 71% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 17% | 38% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Hamburger SV | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 67% | 88% | 76% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 14% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 17% | 25% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 33% | 13% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hamburger SV | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 47% |
| BTTS | 50% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 53% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 76% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hamburger SV | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 59% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Hamburger SV (H)W
VfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0W
FC Copenhagen2–0
FC Copenhagen2–0W
1. FC Köln2–1
1. FC Köln2–1L
FSV Mainz 050–5
FSV Mainz 050–5D
Lille2–2
Lille2–2L
Everton1–2
Everton1–2Bayern München (A)D
Viking3–3
Viking3–3D
FC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2W
SV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1D
FC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0W
VfL Osnabrück4–1
VfL Osnabrück4–1W
Borussia Dortmund2–1
Borussia Dortmund2–1Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.7
61 games
11.9
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Hamburger SV | Bayern München | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 100% | 87% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 82% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 73% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 73% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 55% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 27% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 27% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Hamburger SV | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 8.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 36% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
0
Hamburger SV
0%
4
Draws
20%
16
Bayern München
80%
80%
Over 1.5
16/20
75%
Over 2.5
15/20
65%
Over 3.5
13/20
35%
BTTS
7/20
31/01/26Bayern München
Hamburger SV
2–2Bayern München13/09/25Hamburger SV
Bayern München
5–0Hamburger SV10/03/18Hamburger SV
Bayern München
6–0Hamburger SV21/10/17Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–1Bayern München25/02/17Hamburger SV
Bayern München
8–0Hamburger SV24/09/16Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–1Bayern München22/01/16Bayern München
Hamburger SV
1–2Bayern München14/08/15Hamburger SV
Bayern München
5–0Hamburger SV14/02/15Hamburger SV
Bayern München
8–0Hamburger SV29/10/14Bayern München
Hamburger SV
1–3Bayern München20/09/14Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–0Bayern München03/05/14Bayern München
Hamburger SV
1–4Bayern München12/02/14Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–5Bayern München14/12/13Hamburger SV
Bayern München
3–1Hamburger SV30/03/13Hamburger SV
Bayern München
9–2Hamburger SV03/11/12Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–3Bayern München04/02/12Bayern München
Hamburger SV
1–1Bayern München20/08/11Hamburger SV
Bayern München
5–0Hamburger SV12/03/11Hamburger SV
Bayern München
6–0Hamburger SV22/10/10Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–0Bayern München| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |
Team Insights
Hamburger SV- ●Hamburger SV have won their last 2 home matches.
Bayern München- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Bayern München have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●82% of Bayern München's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Hamburger SVLASC Paderborn 070–1
SC Paderborn 070–1WHVfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0WA1899 Hoffenheim3–2
1899 Hoffenheim3–2WH1. FC Köln2–1
1. FC Köln2–1LARB Leipzig0–5
RB Leipzig0–5LHFSV Mainz 050–5
FSV Mainz 050–5–AEintracht Frankfurt01/11
Eintracht Frankfurt01/11–HBorussia Mönchengladbach06/11
Borussia Mönchengladbach06/11–AWerder Bremen22/11
Werder Bremen22/11Bayern MünchenWHRB Leipzig6–1
RB Leipzig6–1DAFC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2WHUnion Berlin7–0
Union Berlin7–0WASV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1DAFC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0WHVfB Stuttgart5–1
VfB Stuttgart5–1–ASC Freiburg25/10
SC Freiburg25/10–HBorussia Dortmund31/10
Borussia Dortmund31/10–AFSV Mainz 0507/11
FSV Mainz 0507/11Top Scorers
Hamburger SVA. Gronbaek5 ⚽
Yussuf Poulsen2 ⚽
Miro Muheim2 ⚽
P. Daka2 ⚽
N. Remberg1 ⚽
Nicolás Capaldo1 ⚽
Bayern MünchenHarry Kane10 ⚽
Michael Olise7 ⚽
Luis Díaz4 ⚽
L. Diaz4 ⚽
F. Chavez3 ⚽
N. Brown3 ⚽
Cards Given
Hamburger SVShafiq Nandja2 🟨
Nicolás Capaldo2 🟨
Albert Grönbaek1 🟨
D. Heuer Fernandes1 🟨
J. Torunarigha1 🟨
Albert Sambi Lokonga1 🟨
Bayern MünchenKonrad Laimer2 🟨
Michael Olise2 🟨
Dayot Upamecano2 🟨
H. Ito1 🟨
Kim Min-Jae1 🟨
Ismael Saibari1 🟨