VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin — Bundesliga
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VfB Stuttgart and Union Berlin meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 12 December 2026. VfB Stuttgart have recorded 14 wins from 23 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 2.70 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Union Berlin have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.52 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.33 for Union Berlin. The models give VfB Stuttgart a 62% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Union Berlin win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
VfB Stuttgart—
Union Berlin11º
Position
16º
1.13
PPG
0.88
38%
Win %
13%
1.75
Goals / game
0.88
1.88
Conceded / game
2.38
48%
BTTS %
67%
35%
Clean sheet %
14%
70%
Over 2.5 %
62%
6.3
Avg corners
4.0
16.9
Avg shots
12.1
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.8
11.3
Avg fouls
12.4
57.2%
Avg possession
41.3%
Home vs Away
VfB Stuttgart
Home (3)
—
Union Berlin
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
0.33
33%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.33
1.67
Conceded / game
4.00
70%
BTTS %
62%
20%
Clean sheet %
8%
80%
Over 2.5 %
62%
6.3
Avg corners
4.0
16.9
Avg shots
12.1
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.8
57.2%
Avg possession
41.3%
Goals Scored
| VfB Stuttgart | Home | Away | Union Berlin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 90% | 77% | 76% | 88% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 80% | 54% | 33% | 50% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 52% | 60% | 46% | 19% | 25% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 10% | 23% | 24% | 13% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| VfB Stuttgart | Home | Away | Union Berlin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 80% | 54% | 86% | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 30% | 31% | 62% | 63% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 10% | 8% | 29% | 38% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 20% | 46% | 14% | 25% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| VfB Stuttgart | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 33% |
| BTTS | 48% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| VfB Stuttgart | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 65% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 81% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
VfB Stuttgart (H)L
Borussia Mönchengladbach2–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach2–3D
Atletico Madrid1–1
Atletico Madrid1–1W
SpVgg Greuther Fürth5–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth5–0W
1. FC Heidenheim3–0
1. FC Heidenheim3–0L
Borussia Dortmund0–1
Borussia Dortmund0–1W
Viking3–1
Viking3–1Union Berlin (A)L
1. FC Köln0–5
1. FC Köln0–5D
FC Augsburg1–1
FC Augsburg1–1W
HNK Rijeka1–0
HNK Rijeka1–0L
Bayern München0–7
Bayern München0–7L
Bayer Leverkusen0–4
Bayer Leverkusen0–4W
Eintracht Braunschweig4–2
Eintracht Braunschweig4–2Number of Corners
11.8
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.7
72 games
9.6
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | VfB Stuttgart | Union Berlin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 90% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 70% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 93% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 79% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 64% | 30% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 57% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 10% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 10% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | VfB Stuttgart | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 71% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 86% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 70% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
5
VfB Stuttgart
29%
8
Draws
47%
4
Union Berlin
24%
82%
Over 1.5
14/17
53%
Over 2.5
9/17
29%
Over 3.5
5/17
65%
BTTS
11/17
18/01/26Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
1–1Union Berlin23/08/25VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
2–1VfB Stuttgart19/04/25VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
4–4VfB Stuttgart06/12/24Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
3–2Union Berlin08/03/24Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
2–0Union Berlin31/10/23Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
1–0Union Berlin21/10/23VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
0–3VfB Stuttgart01/04/23VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
3–0VfB Stuttgart09/10/22Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
0–1Union Berlin12/03/22VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
1–1VfB Stuttgart24/10/21Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
1–1Union Berlin17/04/21VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
2–1VfB Stuttgart15/12/20Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
2–2Union Berlin27/05/19VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
0–0VfB Stuttgart23/05/19Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
2–2Union Berlin24/04/17Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
3–1Union Berlin20/11/16VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
1–1VfB Stuttgart| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
VfB Stuttgart- ●VfB Stuttgart failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of VfB Stuttgart's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●67% of VfB Stuttgart's points have been earned away.
Union Berlin- ●Union Berlin have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Union Berlin have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●86% of Union Berlin's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
VfB StuttgartWABayer Leverkusen4–2
Bayer Leverkusen4–2LHBorussia Mönchengladbach2–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach2–3LAHamburger SV0–1
Hamburger SV0–1WASC Paderborn 072–0
SC Paderborn 072–0LHBorussia Dortmund0–1
Borussia Dortmund0–1LA1899 Hoffenheim1–2
1899 Hoffenheim1–2–HWerder Bremen07/11
Werder Bremen07/11–AFC Schalke 0421/11
FC Schalke 0421/11–HEintracht Frankfurt28/11
Eintracht Frankfurt28/11Union BerlinDH1. FC Köln1–1
1. FC Köln1–1DAFC Augsburg1–1
FC Augsburg1–1DHBorussia Dortmund0–0
Borussia Dortmund0–0WHSV Elversberg1–0
SV Elversberg1–0LABayern München0–7
Bayern München0–7LHFC Schalke 041–3
FC Schalke 041–3–ASC Freiburg08/11
SC Freiburg08/11–HRB Leipzig21/11
RB Leipzig21/11–AFSV Mainz 0528/11
FSV Mainz 0528/11Top Scorers
VfB StuttgartErmedin Demirović9 ⚽
7 ⚽
L. Jovanovic4 ⚽
J. Milosevic3 ⚽
D. Pejcinovic3 ⚽
C. Fuhrich3 ⚽
Union BerlinM. Ljubicic6 ⚽
Z. Van Den Bosch3 ⚽
A. Kemlein3 ⚽
T. Rothe3 ⚽
I. Ansah3 ⚽
A. Ilic2 ⚽
Cards Given
VfB StuttgartAtakan Karazor3 🟨
Ermedin Demirović2 🟨
Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot2 🟨
Maximilian Mittelstädt2 🟨
Ramon Hendriks2 🟨
Deniz Undav1 🟨
Union BerlinFelix Uduokhai4 🟨
Janik Haberer3 🟨
Livan Burcu2 🟨
Aljoscha Kemlein2 🟨
Leopold Querfeld2 🟨
M. Aebischer2 🟨