Alverca vs Arouca — Primeira Liga
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Alverca and Arouca meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Alverca have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Arouca have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Alverca and 1.23 for Arouca. The models give Alverca a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Arouca win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alverca | Home | Away | Arouca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 100% | 57% | 64% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 29% | 36% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 29% | 14% | 25% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 0% | 43% | 36% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Alverca | Home | Away | Arouca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 57% | 86% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 29% | 43% | 43% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 43% | 14% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alverca | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 7% |
| BTTS | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alverca | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 18% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Alverca | Arouca | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 38% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 38% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 13% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 13% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 13% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Alverca | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 50% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Alverca have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Alverca have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Alverca have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Alverca have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of Alverca's goals have been scored away.
- ●Arouca have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●73% of Arouca's goals have been scored at home.

