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Estoril vs Moreirense — Primeira Liga

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Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9
Estoril
Estoril
18º · 0.25 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
vs
–
–
Moreirense
Moreirense
12º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 0h
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota·Estoril·Portugal·8,015
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Estoril and Moreirense meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Estoril have recorded 1 wins from 13 matches this season (8% win rate), averaging 0.69 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Moreirense have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Estoril and 1.12 for Moreirense. The models give Estoril a 35% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Moreirense win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 45%.

Season Statistics

Estoril
—
Moreirense
18º
Position
12º
0.25
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.88
46%
BTTS %
57%
23%
Clean sheet %
14%
31%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.9
Avg corners
2.4
13.0
Avg shots
7.9
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.8
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.6
11.0
Avg fouls
13.8
46.5%
Avg possession
36.1%

Home vs Away

Estoril
Home (4)
—
Moreirense
Away (4)
0.50
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
0.75
1.25
Conceded / game
1.75
33%
BTTS %
63%
50%
Clean sheet %
13%
33%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.9
Avg corners
2.4
13.0
Avg shots
7.9
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.8
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.6
46.5%
Avg possession
36.1%

Goals Scored

EstorilHomeAwayMoreirenseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored54%50%57%71%67%75%
Over 1.5 Scored8%17%0%36%67%13%
Over 2.5 Scored8%17%0%7%17%0%
Failed To Score46%50%43%29%33%25%

Goals Conceded

EstorilHomeAwayMoreirenseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded77%50%100%86%83%88%
Over 1.5 Conceded46%33%57%57%50%63%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%14%17%13%
Clean Sheets23%50%0%14%17%13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

EstorilMoreirense
Over 0.585%100%
Over 1.577%79%
Over 2.531%64%
Over 3.50%43%
Over 4.50%0%
BTTS46%57%
BTTS & Win0%7%
BTTS & Draw23%29%
BTTS & Over 2.523%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

EstorilMoreirense
Win 1st Half0%27%
Draw 1st Half55%45%
Loss 1st Half45%27%
Scored 1st Half0%45%
Conceded 1st Half45%45%
Win 2nd Half18%9%
Draw 2nd Half45%45%
Loss 2nd Half36%45%
Scored 2nd Half55%45%
Conceded 2nd Half64%73%
Over 0.5 HT45%73%
Over 1.5 HT0%36%

Recent Venue Form

Estoril (H)
LCasa Pia1–2
DArouca0–0
LRio Ave0–2
DFamalicao1–1
DTorreense0–0
WAtlético CP3–0
Moreirense (A)
LAVS0–1
DVitória SC1–1
LFC Porto1–2
WCasa Pia1–0
LArouca0–4
LFelgueiras 19321–2

Number of Corners

9.6
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
7.3
Corners / Match
8 games
Match CornersEstorilMoreirenseLeague Avg
Over 688%63%74%
Over 788%50%61%
Over 875%25%49%
Over 950%25%41%
Over 1038%0%29%
Over 1113%0%20%
Over 1213%0%13%
Over 130%0%12%

Team Corners

Team CornersEstorilMoreirense
Corners Earned / Match4.92.4
Corners Against / Match4.84.9
Over 2.5 Corners For75%63%
Over 3.5 Corners For75%25%
Over 4.5 Corners For63%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against88%88%
Over 3.5 Corners Against63%63%
Over 4.5 Corners Against38%63%

Head to Head · 18 matches

6
Estoril
33%
7
Draws
39%
5
Moreirense
28%
83%
Over 1.5
15/18
39%
Over 2.5
7/18
28%
Over 3.5
5/18
61%
BTTS
11/18
20/04/26
Moreirense
1–0
Estoril
07/12/25
Estoril
3–3
Moreirense
11/05/25
Moreirense
2–2
Estoril
28/12/24
Estoril
2–2
Moreirense
18/05/24
Moreirense
2–1
Estoril
13/01/24
Estoril
1–3
Moreirense
07/05/22
Estoril
1–0
Moreirense
28/12/21
Moreirense
1–0
Estoril
12/02/18
Moreirense
1–2
Estoril
10/09/17
Estoril
0–2
Moreirense
18/02/17
Moreirense
1–1
Estoril
17/09/16
Estoril
2–0
Moreirense
23/01/16
Moreirense
1–3
Estoril
23/08/15
Estoril
2–0
Moreirense
17/05/15
Moreirense
1–1
Estoril
09/01/15
Estoril
1–1
Moreirense
30/03/13
Moreirense
1–1
Estoril
11/11/12
Estoril
2–0
Moreirense
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto9900+1727
2Benfica8611+1719
3Sporting CP8530+1118
4Santa Clara8530+818
5Arouca9522+517
6Academico Viseu8422+114
7GIL Vicente9423+114
8Alverca9324011
9SC Braga8323-111
10Estrela9243-310
11Vitória SC922508
12Moreirense8224-78
13Maritimo9225-108
14Famalicao8143-17
15Rio Ave8215-97
16Casa Pia9216-127
17Nacional8116-94
18Estoril8026-82

Team Insights

Estoril
  • ●Estoril have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
  • ●Estoril have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Estoril have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Estoril have lost their last 4 away matches.
Moreirense
  • ●Moreirense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●63% of Moreirense's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Moreirense have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
EstorilEstoril
DASalgueiros1–1
LAAcademico Viseu6º1–2
LHCasa Pia16º1–2
LASC Braga9º0–1
DHArouca5º0–0
LABenfica2º1–2
LHRio Ave15º0–2
LANacional17º0–2
DHFamalicao14º1–1
DACF Os Belenenses1–1
MoreirenseMoreirense
LAAVS0–1
LHGIL Vicente7º0–1
DAVitória SC11º1–1
WHMaritimo13º3–1
LHBenfica2º0–4
LAFC Porto1º1–2
WACasa Pia16º1–0
LAArouca5º0–4
DHSC Braga9º2–2
LAFelgueiras 19321–2

Season Schedule

Estoril
LAAcademico Viseu1–2
LHCasa Pia1–2
LASC Braga0–1
DHArouca0–0
LABenfica1–2
LHRio Ave0–2
–HMoreirense25/10
–AFC Porto31/10
–HMaritimo08/11
Moreirense
LHGIL Vicente0–1
DAVitória SC1–1
WHMaritimo3–1
LHBenfica0–4
LAFC Porto1–2
WACasa Pia1–0
–AEstoril25/10
–HEstrela31/10
–ASporting CP07/11

Top Scorers

Estoril
Y. Begraoui2 ⚽
R. Guitane2 ⚽
J. Holsgrove1 ⚽
Rafik Guitane1 ⚽
Ricard Sanchez Sendra1 ⚽
F. Medrano1 ⚽
Moreirense
2 ⚽
Dinis Pinto1 ⚽
J. Veloso1 ⚽
Kiko1 ⚽
Alexandre Parsemain1 ⚽
Manuel Mendonça1 ⚽

Cards Given

Estoril
Francisco Reis Ferreira3 🟨
Xeka3 🟨
Jordan Arnolin2 🟨
João Carvalho2 🟨
I. Sierra1 🟨
F. Medrano1 🟨
Moreirense
Guilherme Liberato3 🟨
N. John2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
Gilberto Batista2 🟨
Maracas2 🟨
Dinis Pinto1 🟨