Nacional vs SC Braga — Primeira Liga
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Nacional and SC Braga meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Nacional have recorded 1 wins from 14 matches this season (7% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. SC Braga have won 55% of their 20 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 35%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Nacional and 1.61 for SC Braga. The models give Nacional a 28% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an SC Braga win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Nacional—
SC Braga16º
Position
9º
0.50
PPG
1.57
13%
Win %
43%
1.13
Goals / game
1.14
2.25
Conceded / game
1.14
50%
BTTS %
35%
14%
Clean sheet %
60%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.4
Avg corners
4.6
10.9
Avg shots
11.8
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.5
11.1
Avg fouls
13.3
49.9%
Avg possession
57.2%
Home vs Away
Nacional
Home (4)
—
SC Braga
Away (4)
0.75
PPG
1.25
25%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
1.25
2.50
Conceded / game
1.25
57%
BTTS %
36%
29%
Clean sheet %
55%
71%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.4
Avg corners
4.6
10.9
Avg shots
11.8
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.5
49.9%
Avg possession
57.2%
Goals Scored
| Nacional | Home | Away | SC Braga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 71% | 43% | 80% | 100% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 29% | 35% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 14% | 0% | 15% | 11% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 29% | 57% | 20% | 0% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Nacional | Home | Away | SC Braga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 71% | 100% | 40% | 33% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 71% | 57% | 30% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 57% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 29% | 0% | 60% | 67% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nacional | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 5% |
| BTTS | 50% | 35% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nacional | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 65% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 6% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 24% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Nacional (H)L
Famalicao0–4
Famalicao0–4L
Alverca1–3
Alverca1–3L
Estrela2–3
Estrela2–3W
Estoril2–0
Estoril2–0D
Leganes0–0
Leganes0–0D
Leixoes3–3
Leixoes3–3SC Braga (A)L
FC Copenhagen0–3
FC Copenhagen0–3D
Santa Clara0–0
Santa Clara0–0LEstrela1–2
Estrela1–2WAlverca2–1
Alverca2–1D
Austria Vienna0–0
Austria Vienna0–0D
Dinamo Minsk0–0
Dinamo Minsk0–0Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
71 games
7.5
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Nacional | SC Braga | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 58% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 33% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 33% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 25% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 8% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 8% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 8% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 8% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nacional | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 17% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
4
Nacional
15%
4
Draws
15%
18
SC Braga
69%
88%
Over 1.5
23/26
73%
Over 2.5
19/26
42%
Over 3.5
11/26
62%
BTTS
16/26
28/02/26SC Braga
Nacional
1–2SC Braga23/11/25Nacional
SC Braga
4–2Nacional28/09/25Nacional
SC Braga
0–1Nacional21/02/25Nacional
SC Braga
1–0Nacional20/09/24SC Braga
Nacional
0–3SC Braga22/12/23SC Braga
Nacional
1–3SC Braga25/04/23Nacional
SC Braga
2–2Nacional12/04/23SC Braga
Nacional
0–5SC Braga28/02/21SC Braga
Nacional
1–2SC Braga17/10/20Nacional
SC Braga
2–1Nacional18/01/19SC Braga
Nacional
0–3SC Braga12/08/18Nacional
SC Braga
4–2Nacional14/05/17Nacional
SC Braga
4–0Nacional07/01/17SC Braga
Nacional
0–0SC Braga17/01/16SC Braga
Nacional
2–3SC Braga16/08/15Nacional
SC Braga
2–1Nacional21/02/15Nacional
SC Braga
3–1Nacional20/09/14SC Braga
Nacional
1–1SC Braga08/03/14Nacional
SC Braga
2–1Nacional06/10/13SC Braga
Nacional
3–0SC Braga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
Nacional- ●Nacional have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Nacional have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Nacional have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nacional have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Nacional have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nacional have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
SC Braga- ●SC Braga have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●SC Braga have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
NacionalLARio Ave2–3
Rio Ave2–3LHFamalicao0–4
Famalicao0–4LHAlverca1–3
Alverca1–3LASporting CP0–2
Sporting CP0–2LHEstrela2–3
Estrela2–3LAVitória SC0–1
Vitória SC0–1–HSC Braga25/10
SC Braga25/10–AArouca01/11
Arouca01/11–HAcademico Viseu07/11
Academico Viseu07/11SC BragaLHGIL Vicente1–2
GIL Vicente1–2LHSporting CP1–3
Sporting CP1–3DASanta Clara0–0
Santa Clara0–0WHEstoril1–0
Estoril1–0LAEstrela1–2
Estrela1–2WAAlverca2–1
Alverca2–1–ANacional25/10
Nacional25/10–HFamalicao01/11
Famalicao01/11–ARio Ave08/11
Rio Ave08/11Top Scorers
NacionalN. Kader2 ⚽
Liziero1 ⚽
M. Baeza1 ⚽
Matchoi Djaló1 ⚽
Pablo Ruan1 ⚽
Wesley Gasolina1 ⚽
SC BragaP. Victor3 ⚽
Pau Victor3 ⚽
R. Horta3 ⚽
F. Navarro2 ⚽
D. Rodrigues2 ⚽
Vitor Carvalho1 ⚽
Cards Given
NacionalZe Vitor2 🟨
F. Soares2 🟨
Matheus dos Santos Dias2 🟨
Markus Jensen1 🟨
Matheus Dias1 🟨
D. Dongmo1 🟨
SC BragaJoão Moutinho2 🟨
P. Victor2 🟨
Adrian Bajrami2 🟨
Jean-Baptiste Gorby2 🟨
F. Navarro2 🟨
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera1 🟨