Vitória SC vs Maritimo — Primeira Liga
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Vitória SC and Maritimo meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Vitória SC have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Maritimo have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Vitória SC and 1.24 for Maritimo. The models give Vitória SC a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Maritimo win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Vitória SC—
Maritimo15º
Position
11º
0.63
PPG
1.00
13%
Win %
25%
0.63
Goals / game
1.13
1.25
Conceded / game
1.75
38%
BTTS %
60%
44%
Clean sheet %
27%
31%
Over 2.5 %
53%
5.8
Avg corners
2.9
17.8
Avg shots
10.0
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.3
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
15.8
Avg fouls
15.4
53.5%
Avg possession
44.6%
Home vs Away
Vitória SC
Home (4)
—
Maritimo
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
1.25
0.50
Conceded / game
1.75
33%
BTTS %
100%
56%
Clean sheet %
0%
22%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.8
Avg corners
2.9
17.8
Avg shots
10.0
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.3
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
53.5%
Avg possession
44.6%
Goals Scored
| Vitória SC | Home | Away | Maritimo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 78% | 71% | 80% | 70% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 44% | 29% | 33% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 22% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 22% | 29% | 20% | 30% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Vitória SC | Home | Away | Maritimo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 44% | 71% | 73% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 43% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 56% | 29% | 27% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vitória SC | Maritimo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 7% |
| BTTS | 38% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vitória SC | Maritimo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 47% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Vitória SC (H)D
Moreirense1–1
Moreirense1–1D
Casa Pia0–0
Casa Pia0–0W
Nacional1–0
Nacional1–0L
Arouca0–1
Arouca0–1W
Chaves2–0
Chaves2–0D
Nottingham Forest1–1
Nottingham Forest1–1Maritimo (A)W
Alcochetense2–1
Alcochetense2–1D
GIL Vicente1–1
GIL Vicente1–1LMoreirense1–3
Moreirense1–3LArouca1–2
Arouca1–2W
Famalicao2–1
Famalicao2–1L
Penafiel0–1
Penafiel0–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
71 games
7.4
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Vitória SC | Maritimo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 63% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 38% | 63% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 13% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 0% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 0% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 0% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vitória SC | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 2.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 63% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
14
Vitória SC
54%
4
Draws
15%
8
Maritimo
31%
54%
Over 1.5
14/26
38%
Over 2.5
10/26
15%
Over 3.5
4/26
35%
BTTS
9/26
29/04/23Vitória SC
Maritimo
1–2Vitória SC13/11/22Maritimo
Vitória SC
1–0Maritimo13/03/22Vitória SC
Maritimo
0–1Vitória SC22/10/21Maritimo
Vitória SC
2–1Maritimo16/05/21Vitória SC
Maritimo
0–0Vitória SC31/01/21Maritimo
Vitória SC
1–0Maritimo19/07/20Maritimo
Vitória SC
1–0Maritimo12/01/20Vitória SC
Maritimo
0–0Vitória SC04/03/19Maritimo
Vitória SC
1–0Maritimo06/10/18Vitória SC
Maritimo
1–3Vitória SC24/02/18Vitória SC
Maritimo
3–2Vitória SC24/09/17Maritimo
Vitória SC
2–1Maritimo28/01/17Maritimo
Vitória SC
0–0Maritimo20/08/16Vitória SC
Maritimo
0–2Vitória SC17/04/16Vitória SC
Maritimo
3–0Vitória SC12/12/15Maritimo
Vitória SC
3–4Maritimo27/02/15Maritimo
Vitória SC
1–0Maritimo28/09/14Vitória SC
Maritimo
4–0Vitória SC10/03/14Vitória SC
Maritimo
2–1Vitória SC07/10/13Maritimo
Vitória SC
1–0Maritimo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
Vitória SC- ●Vitória SC have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Vitória SC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Vitória SC have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●80% of Vitória SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Maritimo- ●Maritimo have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Maritimo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Maritimo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Maritimo have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vitória SCLABenfica0–2
Benfica0–2DHMoreirense1–1
Moreirense1–1LAAcademico Viseu1–2
Academico Viseu1–2DHCasa Pia0–0
Casa Pia0–0LASC Braga0–1
SC Braga0–1WHNacional1–0
Nacional1–0–HMaritimo23/10
Maritimo23/10–AGIL Vicente02/11
GIL Vicente02/11–HFC Porto08/11
FC Porto08/11MaritimoLHFC Porto1–2
FC Porto1–2DAGIL Vicente1–1
GIL Vicente1–1LAMoreirense1–3
Moreirense1–3LHBenfica0–3
Benfica0–3LAArouca1–2
Arouca1–2DHAcademico Viseu2–2
Academico Viseu2–2–AVitória SC23/10
Vitória SC23/10–HSanta Clara01/11
Santa Clara01/11–AEstoril08/11
Estoril08/11Top Scorers
Vitória SC2 ⚽
Maga2 ⚽
Samu2 ⚽
Gustavo1 ⚽
Zeega1 ⚽
A. Ndoye1 ⚽
MaritimoM. Boakye2 ⚽
S. Bouzaidi2 ⚽
Israel Isaac Ayuma1 ⚽
A. Butzke1 ⚽
P. Henrique1 ⚽
Raphael Guzzo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Vitória SCM. Nogueira2 🟨
Toni Borevković2 🟨
Gustavo Silva2 🟨
G. Nogueira2 🟨
Balieiro Thiago2 🟨
Tony Strata2 🟨
MaritimoRaphael Guzzo3 🟨
Igor Julião2 🟨
Igor Juliao2 🟨
Rodri Andrade2 🟨
M. Tejon1 🟨
M. Dominguez1 🟨