Benfica vs Alverca — Primeira Liga
← BackUnlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Benfica and Alverca meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Benfica have recorded 11 wins from 15 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 3.20 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 87%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Alverca have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.25 for Benfica and 1.32 for Alverca. The models give Benfica a 63% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Alverca win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Benfica | Home | Away | Alverca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 91% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 80% | 89% | 67% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 60% | 56% | 67% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Benfica | Home | Away | Alverca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 78% | 50% | 64% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 22% | 17% | 36% | 29% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 22% | 50% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Benfica | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 87% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Benfica | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 87% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Benfica | Alverca | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 33% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 33% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 33% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Benfica | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.4 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 90% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 80% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 40% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 10% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 10% | 17% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 | |
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +2 | 10 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 | |
| 13 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 4 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 2 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Benfica have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Benfica have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Benfica have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Benfica have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Benfica have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Benfica have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Benfica's goals have been scored away.
- ●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Alverca have scored in each of their last 5 matches.

