Casa Pia vs Sporting CP — Primeira Liga
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Casa Pia and Sporting CP meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Casa Pia have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Sporting CP have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 2.93 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.84 for Casa Pia and 2.19 for Sporting CP. The models give Casa Pia a 12% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Sporting CP win at 68%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Casa Pia—
Sporting CP16º
Position
3º
0.78
PPG
2.25
22%
Win %
63%
0.56
Goals / game
2.50
1.89
Conceded / game
1.13
31%
BTTS %
67%
23%
Clean sheet %
33%
38%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.1
Avg corners
4.2
9.7
Avg shots
11.7
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
12.2
Avg fouls
11.0
43.2%
Avg possession
57.2%
Home vs Away
Casa Pia
Home (4)
—
Sporting CP
Away (4)
0.00
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
50%
0.25
Goals / game
2.50
3.25
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.1
Avg corners
4.2
9.7
Avg shots
11.7
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
43.2%
Avg possession
57.2%
Goals Scored
| Casa Pia | Home | Away | Sporting CP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 46% | 25% | 56% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 0% | 44% | 93% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 53% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 54% | 75% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Casa Pia | Home | Away | Sporting CP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 50% | 22% | 27% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 50% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Casa Pia | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 54% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 33% |
| BTTS | 31% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Casa Pia | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Casa Pia (H)L
Santa Clara0–1
Santa Clara0–1L
FC Porto1–4
FC Porto1–4L
Moreirense0–1
Moreirense0–1L
Benfica0–7
Benfica0–7W
Torreense2–0
Torreense2–0D
Rio Ave1–1
Rio Ave1–1Sporting CP (A)W
Lens2–0
Lens2–0W
SC Braga3–1
SC Braga3–1D
Famalicao1–1
Famalicao1–1WRio Ave4–0
Rio Ave4–0D
Estrela2–2
Estrela2–2WRio Ave4–1
Rio Ave4–1Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
7.2
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Casa Pia | Sporting CP | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 55% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 45% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 36% | 49% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 18% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 18% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 9% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 0% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Casa Pia | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 27% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
0
Casa Pia
0%
0
Draws
0%
9
Sporting CP
100%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
16/01/26Casa Pia
Sporting CP
3–0Casa Pia08/08/25Sporting CP
Casa Pia
0–2Sporting CP09/03/25Sporting CP
Casa Pia
1–3Sporting CP05/10/24Casa Pia
Sporting CP
2–0Casa Pia29/01/24Casa Pia
Sporting CP
8–0Casa Pia18/08/23Sporting CP
Casa Pia
1–2Sporting CP09/04/23Sporting CP
Casa Pia
3–4Sporting CP22/10/22Casa Pia
Sporting CP
3–1Casa Pia22/12/21Sporting CP
Casa Pia
1–2Sporting CP| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 14 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
Casa Pia- ●Casa Pia have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Casa Pia have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Casa Pia have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●76% of Casa Pia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Casa Pia's points have been earned away.
Sporting CP- ●Sporting CP have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Sporting CP have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Sporting CP have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sporting CP have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sporting CP have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sporting CP have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sporting CP have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Casa PiaWAEstrela2–0
Estrela2–0LHSanta Clara0–1
Santa Clara0–1WAEstoril2–1
Estoril2–1LHFC Porto1–4
FC Porto1–4DAVitória SC0–0
Vitória SC0–0LHMoreirense0–1
Moreirense0–1–HSporting CP30/10
Sporting CP30/10–AAlverca07/11
Alverca07/11–HSC Braga30/11
SC Braga30/11Sporting CPWASC Braga3–1
SC Braga3–1DHArouca2–2
Arouca2–2DAFamalicao1–1
Famalicao1–1WHNacional2–0
Nacional2–0WARio Ave4–0
Rio Ave4–0WHAlverca3–1
Alverca3–1–HAcademico Viseu25/10
Academico Viseu25/10–ACasa Pia30/10
Casa Pia30/10–HMoreirense07/11
Moreirense07/11Top Scorers
Casa Pia2 ⚽
Henrique Araújo1 ⚽
João Rego1 ⚽
Benjamin Pauwels1 ⚽
S. Perez1 ⚽
Selvi Clua1 ⚽
Sporting CPLuis Suárez8 ⚽
R. Nel3 ⚽
L. Suarez3 ⚽
G. Catamo3 ⚽
F. Ioannidis3 ⚽
I. Doumbia2 ⚽
Cards Given
Casa PiaDavid Sousa3 🟨
Kaly3 🟨
S. Perez2 🟨
Ivan Mandic2 🟨
Andre Geraldes2 🟨
Alassana Jatta1 🟨
Sporting CPLuis Suárez3 🟨
Sergi Altimira2 🟨
G. Catamo2 🟨
L. Suarez2 🟨
Maximiliano Araujo2 🟨
Geny Catamo1 🟨