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Moreirense vs Estrela — Primeira Liga

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Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10
Moreirense
Moreirense
11º · 1.17 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 46d 20h
vs
–
–
Estrela
Estrela
6º · 1.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 46d 21h
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Moreirense and Estrela meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Moreirense have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Estrela have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Moreirense and 1.94 for Estrela. The models give Moreirense a 37% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Estrela win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.

Season Statistics

Moreirense
—
Estrela
11º
Position
6º
1.17
PPG
1.67
33%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
2.33
2.17
Conceded / game
2.00
64%
BTTS %
69%
18%
Clean sheet %
25%
82%
Over 2.5 %
56%
2.5
Avg corners
3.8
7.3
Avg shots
12.7
2.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
14.2
Avg fouls
11.5
36.2%
Avg possession
47.8%

Home vs Away

Moreirense
Home (3)
—
Estrela
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
1.67
33%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
2.67
2.33
Conceded / game
2.33
60%
BTTS %
80%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
80%
Over 2.5 %
60%
2.5
Avg corners
3.8
7.3
Avg shots
12.7
2.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
36.2%
Avg possession
47.8%

Goals Scored

MoreirenseHomeAwayEstrelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%80%83%88%91%80%
Over 1.5 Scored45%80%17%56%55%60%
Over 2.5 Scored9%20%0%19%9%40%
Failed To Score18%20%17%13%9%20%

Goals Conceded

MoreirenseHomeAwayEstrelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%80%83%75%73%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded73%60%83%50%45%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%20%17%13%9%20%
Clean Sheets18%20%17%25%27%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MoreirenseEstrela
Over 0.5100%94%
Over 1.591%88%
Over 2.582%56%
Over 3.555%38%
Over 4.50%19%
BTTS64%69%
BTTS & Win9%19%
BTTS & Draw27%44%
BTTS & Over 2.564%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MoreirenseEstrela
Win 1st Half38%17%
Draw 1st Half38%67%
Loss 1st Half25%17%
Scored 1st Half63%50%
Conceded 1st Half50%50%
Win 2nd Half13%50%
Draw 2nd Half38%42%
Loss 2nd Half50%8%
Scored 2nd Half50%75%
Conceded 2nd Half75%58%
Over 0.5 HT88%67%
Over 1.5 HT50%33%

Recent Venue Form

Moreirense (H)
WMaritimo3–1
LBenfica0–4
DSC Braga2–2
WAmarante2–0
DAVS2–2
DAVS0–0
Estrela (A)
DRio Ave3–3
WNacional3–2
DAlverca2–2
DMachico0–0
DMaritimo1–1
DSC Braga2–2

Number of Corners

8.0
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
8.6
53 games
8.5
Corners / Match
6 games
Match CornersMoreirenseEstrelaLeague Avg
Over 667%83%72%
Over 767%67%60%
Over 833%67%47%
Over 933%33%36%
Over 100%17%25%
Over 110%17%23%
Over 120%17%15%
Over 130%17%13%

Team Corners

Team CornersMoreirenseEstrela
Corners Earned / Match2.53.8
Corners Against / Match5.54.7
Over 2.5 Corners For67%83%
Over 3.5 Corners For17%67%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%67%
Over 2.5 Corners Against83%83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against83%83%
Over 4.5 Corners Against83%33%

Head to Head · 9 matches

4
Moreirense
44%
4
Draws
44%
1
Estrela
11%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
02/05/26
Moreirense
3–2
Estrela
20/12/25
Estrela
0–0
Moreirense
02/03/25
Moreirense
1–1
Estrela
28/09/24
Estrela
2–1
Moreirense
07/04/24
Moreirense
2–2
Estrela
11/11/23
Estrela
0–1
Moreirense
06/05/23
Estrela
2–4
Moreirense
31/12/22
Moreirense
0–0
Estrela
27/11/22
Moreirense
4–2
Estrela
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto6600+1318
2Benfica6510+1716
3Sporting CP6420+914
4Santa Clara6420+714
5Arouca6312+310
6Estrela6240+210
7SC Braga5311+210
8Academico Viseu6222-28
9GIL Vicente521207
10Maritimo6213-47
11Moreirense6213-67
12Alverca6123-35
13Famalicao6042-24
14Vitória SC6114-34
15Nacional6114-44
16Rio Ave6114-94
17Estoril6024-62
18Casa Pia6015-141

Team Insights

Moreirense

—

Estrela
  • ●Estrela have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Estrela have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Estrela have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Estrela have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Estrela have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Estrela have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Estrela have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
MoreirenseMoreirense
WHMaritimo10º3–1
LHBenfica2º0–4
LAFC Porto1º1–2
WACasa Pia18º1–0
LAArouca5º0–4
DHSC Braga7º2–2
LAFelgueiras 19321–2
WHAmarante2–0
DAGIL Vicente2–2
LASanta Clara1–2
EstrelaEstrela
DARio Ave16º3–3
LHOvarense1º0–3
WHSC Braga7º2–1
DHFamalicao13º2–2
WANacional15º3–2
DAAlverca12º2–2
DAMachico2º0–0
DHSporting CP3º2–2
WHAl-Nassr4–2
DAMaritimo1–1

Season Schedule

Moreirense
WHMaritimo3–1
LHBenfica0–4
LAFC Porto1–2
WACasa Pia1–0
LAArouca0–4
DHSC Braga2–2
–AVitória SC20/09
–HGIL Vicente09/10
–AEstoril25/10
Estrela
DARio Ave3–3
WHSC Braga2–1
DHFamalicao2–2
WANacional3–2
DAAlverca2–2
DHSporting CP2–2
–HAcademico Viseu20/09
–AArouca11/10
–HCasa Pia24/10

Top Scorers

Moreirense
2 ⚽
Dinis Pinto1 ⚽
J. Veloso1 ⚽
Kiko1 ⚽
Alexandre Parsemain1 ⚽
Manuel Mendonça1 ⚽
Estrela
L. Antonetti5 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽
S. van Hooijdonk1 ⚽

Cards Given

Moreirense
Guilherme Liberato2 🟨
N. John2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
Dinis Pinto1 🟨
Gilberto Batista1 🟨
G. Batista1 🟨
Estrela
Max Scholze2 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Luan Patrick2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
L. Antonetti1 🟨
E. Pedro Vanga1 🟨