Alverca vs Casa Pia — Primeira Liga
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Alverca and Casa Pia meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Alverca have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Casa Pia have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.56 goals scored and 2.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Alverca and 1.04 for Casa Pia. The models give Alverca a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Casa Pia win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Alverca
Casa PiaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alverca | Home | Away | Casa Pia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 75% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 25% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Alverca | Home | Away | Casa Pia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 57% | 75% | 89% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 29% | 50% | 44% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 67% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 43% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alverca | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS | 55% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alverca | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 57% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Alverca (H)
SC Braga1–2
Santa Clara1–1
Estrela2–2
Sporting CP B1–0
Mafra1–0
Estoril2–0Casa Pia (A)
Vitória SC0–0
GIL Vicente0–2
Maritimo0–1
Leixoes2–6
Benfica B0–1Estrela2–1Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Alverca | Casa Pia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 33% | 67% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 33% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 33% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 33% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 33% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Alverca | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.7 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 33% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 17% | 33% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
Casa PiaAlvercaCasa Pia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | SC Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | GIL Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Maritimo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Alverca- ●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Alverca have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
Casa Pia- ●Casa Pia have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Casa Pia have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●80% of Casa Pia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
AlvercaNacional3–1SC Braga1–2Santa Clara1–1Sporting CP1–3Estrela2–2FC Porto0–2Rio Ave19/09Famalicao12/10Arouca24/10Casa PiaFC Porto1–4Vitória SC0–0Moreirense0–1GIL Vicente0–2Benfica0–7Maritimo0–1Estoril20/09Santa Clara10/10Estrela24/10Top Scorers
AlvercaCasa PiaCards Given
AlvercaCasa Pia