Estrela vs Benfica — Primeira Liga
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Estrela and Benfica meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Estrela have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Benfica have won 71% of their 17 matches, with 3.00 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Estrela and 2.22 for Benfica. The models give Estrela a 19% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Benfica win at 59%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Estrela—
Benfica8º
Position
2º
1.43
PPG
2.29
29%
Win %
71%
2.00
Goals / game
3.14
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
65%
21%
Clean sheet %
35%
57%
Over 2.5 %
82%
4.0
Avg corners
6.5
13.1
Avg shots
17.7
4.6
Avg shots on target
7.5
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.3
Avg fouls
11.9
49.4%
Avg possession
61.9%
Home vs Away
Estrela
Home (4)
—
Benfica
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
2.25
25%
Win %
75%
1.50
Goals / game
3.75
1.75
Conceded / game
0.75
64%
BTTS %
50%
27%
Clean sheet %
50%
45%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.0
Avg corners
6.5
13.1
Avg shots
17.7
4.6
Avg shots on target
7.5
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
49.4%
Avg possession
61.9%
Goals Scored
| Estrela | Home | Away | Benfica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 91% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 55% | 100% | 76% | 89% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 9% | 67% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Estrela | Home | Away | Benfica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 73% | 100% | 65% | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 45% | 100% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 33% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 27% | 0% | 35% | 22% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estrela | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 24% |
| BTTS | 71% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estrela | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 65% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 6% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 82% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 82% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Estrela (H)L
Academico Viseu0–2
Academico Viseu0–2W
SC Braga2–1
SC Braga2–1D
Famalicao2–2
Famalicao2–2D
Sporting CP2–2
Sporting CP2–2W
Al-Nassr4–2
Al-Nassr4–2W
Lusitano Évora 19111–0
Lusitano Évora 19111–0Benfica (A)L
FC Porto1–3
FC Porto1–3W
AC Milan2–0
AC Milan2–0W
Moreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0W
Maritimo3–0
Maritimo3–0W
Aarhus3–1
Aarhus3–1W
Casa Pia7–0
Casa Pia7–0Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
8.5
62 games
9.3
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Estrela | Benfica | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 75% | 58% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 58% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 50% | 37% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 42% | 24% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 25% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 8% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 8% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Estrela | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 6.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 71% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 17% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
0
Estrela
0%
0
Draws
0%
9
Benfica
100%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
67%
Over 3.5
6/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
25/01/26Estrela
Benfica
4–0Estrela16/08/25Benfica
Estrela
0–1Benfica02/02/25Benfica
Estrela
2–3Benfica23/11/24Estrela
Benfica
7–0Estrela24/08/24Estrela
Benfica
1–0Estrela29/01/24Benfica
Estrela
1–4Benfica19/08/23Estrela
Benfica
2–0Estrela20/11/22Benfica
Estrela
2–3Benfica12/01/21Benfica
Estrela
0–4Benfica| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 2 |
Team Insights
Estrela- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Estrela have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Estrela have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Estrela have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Benfica- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Benfica have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●68% of Benfica's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
EstrelaLHAcademico Viseu0–2
Academico Viseu0–2DARio Ave3–3
Rio Ave3–3WHSC Braga2–1
SC Braga2–1DHFamalicao2–2
Famalicao2–2WANacional3–2
Nacional3–2DAAlverca2–2
Alverca2–2–AArouca11/10
Arouca11/10–HCasa Pia24/10
Casa Pia24/10–AMoreirense31/10
Moreirense31/10BenficaLAFC Porto1–3
FC Porto1–3WHGIL Vicente3–1
GIL Vicente3–1WAMoreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0WAMaritimo3–0
Maritimo3–0WHEstoril2–1
Estoril2–1WACasa Pia7–0
Casa Pia7–0–HVitória SC11/10
Vitória SC11/10–ASanta Clara26/10
Santa Clara26/10–HAlverca02/11
Alverca02/11Top Scorers
EstrelaL. Antonetti5 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽
S. van Hooijdonk1 ⚽
BenficaV. Pavlidis13 ⚽
G. Prestianni7 ⚽
Rafa Silva6 ⚽
J. Duran3 ⚽
Gianluca Prestianni3 ⚽
Vangelis Pavlidis3 ⚽
Cards Given
EstrelaLuan Patrick2 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Eddy Doué2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
Max Scholze2 🟨
Joan Jordan1 🟨
BenficaL. Barreiro2 🟨
Tomás Araújo2 🟨
Clément Lenglet2 🟨
João Palhinha2 🟨
T. Araujo2 🟨
E. Barrenechea1 🟨