Estrela vs Benfica — Primeira Liga
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Estrela and Benfica meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Estrela have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Benfica have won 78% of their 23 matches, with 2.96 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Estrela and 2.23 for Benfica. The models give Estrela a 18% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Benfica win at 62%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Estrela—
Benfica12º
Position
2º
1.00
PPG
2.50
20%
Win %
80%
1.50
Goals / game
2.70
1.90
Conceded / game
0.80
67%
BTTS %
65%
17%
Clean sheet %
35%
56%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.4
Avg corners
6.6
13.2
Avg shots
18.6
4.1
Avg shots on target
7.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.4
Avg fouls
11.5
52.0%
Avg possession
61.7%
Home vs Away
Estrela
Home (5)
—
Benfica
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
2.40
20%
Win %
80%
1.20
Goals / game
3.40
1.80
Conceded / game
0.80
58%
BTTS %
60%
25%
Clean sheet %
40%
42%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.4
Avg corners
6.6
13.2
Avg shots
18.6
4.1
Avg shots on target
7.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.1
52.0%
Avg possession
61.7%
Goals Scored
| Estrela | Home | Away | Benfica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 83% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 67% | 78% | 85% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 8% | 33% | 52% | 54% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Estrela | Home | Away | Benfica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 100% | 65% | 69% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 67% | 17% | 15% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 0% | 35% | 31% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estrela | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 30% |
| BTTS | 67% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estrela | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 61% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 65% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 87% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Estrela (H)L
Casa Pia0–2
Casa Pia0–2L
Academico Viseu0–2
Academico Viseu0–2W
SC Braga2–1
SC Braga2–1D
Famalicao2–2
Famalicao2–2D
Sporting CP2–2
Sporting CP2–2W
Al-Nassr4–2
Al-Nassr4–2Benfica (A)W
Santa Clara2–1
Santa Clara2–1W
Omonia Nicosia4–1
Omonia Nicosia4–1L
FC Porto1–3
FC Porto1–3W
AC Milan2–0
AC Milan2–0W
Moreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0W
Maritimo3–0
Maritimo3–0Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
8.7
90 games
10.0
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | Estrela | Benfica | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 82% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 76% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 65% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 53% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 47% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 35% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 24% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 18% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Estrela | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 6.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 70% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 29% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
0
Estrela
0%
0
Draws
0%
9
Benfica
100%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
67%
Over 3.5
6/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
25/01/26Estrela
Benfica
4–0Estrela16/08/25Benfica
Estrela
0–1Benfica02/02/25Benfica
Estrela
2–3Benfica23/11/24Estrela
Benfica
7–0Estrela24/08/24Estrela
Benfica
1–0Estrela29/01/24Benfica
Estrela
1–4Benfica19/08/23Estrela
Benfica
2–0Estrela20/11/22Benfica
Estrela
2–3Benfica12/01/21Benfica
Estrela
0–4Benfica| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Estrela- ●Estrela have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Estrela have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Estrela have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Benfica- ●Benfica have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Benfica have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Benfica have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Benfica have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Benfica have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Benfica's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
EstrelaLAMoreirense1–2
Moreirense1–2LHCasa Pia0–2
Casa Pia0–2LAArouca0–1
Arouca0–1LHAcademico Viseu0–2
Academico Viseu0–2DARio Ave3–3
Rio Ave3–3WHSC Braga2–1
SC Braga2–1–HBenfica08/11
Benfica08/11–AVitória SC28/11
Vitória SC28/11–HGIL Vicente06/12
GIL Vicente06/12BenficaWHAlverca1–0
Alverca1–0WASanta Clara2–1
Santa Clara2–1WHVitória SC2–0
Vitória SC2–0LAFC Porto1–3
FC Porto1–3WHGIL Vicente3–1
GIL Vicente3–1WAMoreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0–AEstrela08/11
Estrela08/11–HFamalicao30/11
Famalicao30/11–ANacional06/12
Nacional06/12Top Scorers
EstrelaL. Antonetti5 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽
T. Moustier2 ⚽
BenficaV. Pavlidis13 ⚽
Vangelis Pavlidis7 ⚽
G. Prestianni7 ⚽
Rafa Silva6 ⚽
Gianluca Prestianni5 ⚽
D. Lukebakio4 ⚽
Cards Given
EstrelaMax Scholze3 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Luan Patrick2 🟨
Eddy Doué2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
T. Moustier2 🟨
BenficaJoão Palhinha4 🟨
Tomás Araújo4 🟨
Alexander Bah3 🟨
Jhon Durán3 🟨
Clément Lenglet3 🟨
Gianluca Prestianni2 🟨