Arouca vs Rio Ave — Primeira Liga
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Arouca and Rio Ave meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Arouca have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Rio Ave have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Arouca and 1.16 for Rio Ave. The models give Arouca a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Rio Ave win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Arouca—
Rio Ave5º
Position
16º
1.57
PPG
0.57
43%
Win %
14%
1.43
Goals / game
0.71
1.00
Conceded / game
2.14
33%
BTTS %
36%
50%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
64%
2.9
Avg corners
3.1
10.9
Avg shots
7.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
2.6
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.4
Avg fouls
9.0
50.6%
Avg possession
42.9%
Home vs Away
Arouca
Home (3)
—
Rio Ave
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
0.75
67%
Win %
25%
2.33
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
67%
BTTS %
0%
33%
Clean sheet %
40%
100%
Over 2.5 %
40%
2.9
Avg corners
3.1
10.9
Avg shots
7.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
2.6
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.7
50.6%
Avg possession
42.9%
Goals Scored
| Arouca | Home | Away | Rio Ave | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 100% | 44% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 67% | 22% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 33% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 0% | 56% | 45% | 33% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Arouca | Home | Away | Rio Ave | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 44% | 82% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 44% | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 11% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 33% | 56% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arouca | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS | 33% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arouca | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 67% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 78% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Arouca (H)L
Santa Clara1–2
Santa Clara1–2W
Maritimo2–1
Maritimo2–1W
Moreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0W
Tondela3–1
Tondela3–1DSanta Clara2–2
Santa Clara2–2W
Estrela1–0
Estrela1–0Rio Ave (A)L
Alverca0–1
Alverca0–1LSanta Clara0–4
Santa Clara0–4W
Estoril2–0
Estoril2–0L
GIL Vicente0–1
GIL Vicente0–1W
Portimonense3–0
Portimonense3–0D
Casa Pia1–1
Casa Pia1–1Number of Corners
8.1
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
8.6
57 games
9.0
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Arouca | Rio Ave | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 86% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 43% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 29% | 71% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 43% | 37% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 14% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arouca | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 29% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 86% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
7
Arouca
32%
6
Draws
27%
9
Rio Ave
41%
68%
Over 1.5
15/22
41%
Over 2.5
9/22
18%
Over 3.5
4/22
41%
BTTS
9/22
11/07/26Arouca
Rio Ave
2–1Arouca31/01/26Arouca
Rio Ave
0–3Arouca23/08/25Rio Ave
Arouca
3–3Rio Ave10/02/25Rio Ave
Arouca
1–1Rio Ave01/09/24Arouca
Rio Ave
1–0Arouca20/07/24Arouca
Rio Ave
3–2Arouca19/04/24Arouca
Rio Ave
1–1Arouca10/12/23Rio Ave
Arouca
2–2Rio Ave30/07/23Rio Ave
Arouca
2–0Rio Ave28/04/23Arouca
Rio Ave
1–0Arouca12/11/22Rio Ave
Arouca
0–1Rio Ave01/08/21Rio Ave
Arouca
0–1Rio Ave30/05/21Arouca
Rio Ave
0–2Arouca26/05/21Rio Ave
Arouca
3–0Rio Ave21/04/17Arouca
Rio Ave
3–0Arouca12/12/16Rio Ave
Arouca
0–2Rio Ave16/04/16Rio Ave
Arouca
0–0Rio Ave12/12/15Arouca
Rio Ave
3–1Arouca22/02/15Rio Ave
Arouca
1–0Rio Ave21/09/14Arouca
Rio Ave
1–2Arouca| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Estrela | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  SC Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Arouca- ●Arouca have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●70% of Arouca's goals have been scored at home.
Rio Ave- ●Rio Ave have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Rio Ave have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
AroucaDASporting CP2–2
Sporting CP2–2LHSanta Clara1–2
Santa Clara1–2DAEstoril0–0
Estoril0–0WHMaritimo2–1
Maritimo2–1LAFC Porto0–2
FC Porto0–2WHMoreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0–HEstrela11/10
Estrela11/10–AAlverca24/10
Alverca24/10–HNacional01/11
Nacional01/11Rio AveLAAlverca0–1
Alverca0–1DHEstrela3–3
Estrela3–3LASanta Clara0–4
Santa Clara0–4LHSporting CP0–4
Sporting CP0–4WAEstoril2–0
Estoril2–0LHFC Porto0–2
FC Porto0–2–HNacional11/10
Nacional11/10–HFamalicao25/10
Famalicao25/10–AAcademico Viseu01/11
Academico Viseu01/11Top Scorers
AroucaI. Barbero3 ⚽
Dylan Nandín1 ⚽
E. van Ee1 ⚽
D. Nandin1 ⚽
Iván Barbero1 ⚽
J. Fontan1 ⚽
Rio AveJ. Blesa2 ⚽
Diogo Bezerra1 ⚽
Francisco Petrasso1 ⚽
Jalen Blesa1 ⚽
Rafael Lobato1 ⚽
Roland Galcik1 ⚽
Cards Given
AroucaD. Monteiro3 🟨
J. Sanchez2 🟨
Brian Mansilla2 🟨
Espen van Ee2 🟨
D. Nandin2 🟨
H. Lee1 🟨
Rio AveA. Ntoi2 🟨
Francisco Petrasso2 🟨
G. Liavas1 🟨
J. Brabec1 🟨
N. Abbey1 🟨
Simón García1 🟨