Arouca vs Rio Ave — Primeira Liga
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Arouca and Rio Ave meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Arouca have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Rio Ave have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Arouca and 1.06 for Rio Ave. The models give Arouca a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Rio Ave win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Arouca—
Rio Ave5º
Position
16º
2.00
PPG
0.70
60%
Win %
20%
1.30
Goals / game
0.90
0.70
Conceded / game
2.30
31%
BTTS %
40%
56%
Clean sheet %
20%
44%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.6
Avg corners
4.0
11.2
Avg shots
8.0
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.3
Avg fouls
10.3
52.4%
Avg possession
46.9%
Home vs Away
Arouca
Home (5)
—
Rio Ave
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
0.60
80%
Win %
20%
1.80
Goals / game
0.60
0.60
Conceded / game
1.60
40%
BTTS %
14%
60%
Clean sheet %
43%
60%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.6
Avg corners
4.0
11.2
Avg shots
8.0
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.9
52.4%
Avg possession
46.9%
Goals Scored
| Arouca | Home | Away | Rio Ave | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 100% | 55% | 60% | 63% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 40% | 27% | 47% | 63% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 20% | 9% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 0% | 45% | 40% | 38% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Arouca | Home | Away | Rio Ave | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 40% | 45% | 80% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 20% | 45% | 53% | 75% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 18% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 60% | 55% | 20% | 0% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arouca | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 13% |
| BTTS | 31% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arouca | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 23% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 15% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Arouca (H)W
Nacional1–0
Nacional1–0W
Estrela1–0
Estrela1–0L
Santa Clara1–2
Santa Clara1–2W
Maritimo2–1
Maritimo2–1W
Moreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0W
Tondela3–1
Tondela3–1Rio Ave (A)L
Academico Viseu1–2
Academico Viseu1–2W
Louletano1–0
Louletano1–0L
Alverca0–1
Alverca0–1LSanta Clara0–4
Santa Clara0–4W
Estoril2–0
Estoril2–0L
GIL Vicente0–1
GIL Vicente0–1Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
8.7
90 games
9.6
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Arouca | Rio Ave | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 70% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 40% | 70% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 40% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 20% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 10% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arouca | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 80% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
7
Arouca
32%
6
Draws
27%
9
Rio Ave
41%
68%
Over 1.5
15/22
41%
Over 2.5
9/22
18%
Over 3.5
4/22
41%
BTTS
9/22
11/07/26Arouca
Rio Ave
2–1Arouca31/01/26Arouca
Rio Ave
0–3Arouca23/08/25Rio Ave
Arouca
3–3Rio Ave10/02/25Rio Ave
Arouca
1–1Rio Ave01/09/24Arouca
Rio Ave
1–0Arouca20/07/24Arouca
Rio Ave
3–2Arouca19/04/24Arouca
Rio Ave
1–1Arouca10/12/23Rio Ave
Arouca
2–2Rio Ave30/07/23Rio Ave
Arouca
2–0Rio Ave28/04/23Arouca
Rio Ave
1–0Arouca12/11/22Rio Ave
Arouca
0–1Rio Ave01/08/21Rio Ave
Arouca
0–1Rio Ave30/05/21Arouca
Rio Ave
0–2Arouca26/05/21Rio Ave
Arouca
3–0Rio Ave21/04/17Arouca
Rio Ave
3–0Arouca12/12/16Rio Ave
Arouca
0–2Rio Ave16/04/16Rio Ave
Arouca
0–0Rio Ave12/12/15Arouca
Rio Ave
3–1Arouca22/02/15Rio Ave
Arouca
1–0Rio Ave21/09/14Arouca
Rio Ave
1–2Arouca| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Arouca- ●Arouca have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Arouca have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Arouca have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Arouca have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Arouca have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Arouca have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arouca have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Arouca's goals have been scored at home.
Rio Ave- ●Rio Ave failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Rio Ave have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Rio Ave failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rio Ave have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Rio Ave failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rio Ave failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Rio Ave have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Rio Ave's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Rio Ave's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
AroucaWHNacional1–0
Nacional1–0WAAlverca1–0
Alverca1–0WHEstrela1–0
Estrela1–0DASporting CP2–2
Sporting CP2–2LHSanta Clara1–2
Santa Clara1–2DAEstoril0–0
Estoril0–0–AFamalicao06/11
Famalicao06/11–HRio Ave28/11
Rio Ave28/11–ASC Braga06/12
SC Braga06/12Rio AveLAAcademico Viseu1–2
Academico Viseu1–2LHFamalicao0–4
Famalicao0–4WHNacional3–2
Nacional3–2LAAlverca0–1
Alverca0–1DHEstrela3–3
Estrela3–3LASanta Clara0–4
Santa Clara0–4–HSC Braga08/11
SC Braga08/11–AArouca28/11
Arouca28/11–HCasa Pia06/12
Casa Pia06/12Top Scorers
AroucaI. Barbero3 ⚽
Iván Barbero2 ⚽
Brian Mansilla2 ⚽
E. van Ee1 ⚽
Fally Mayulu1 ⚽
Ivan Barbero1 ⚽
Rio AveJ. Blesa3 ⚽
Diogo Bezerra2 ⚽
Jalen Blesa2 ⚽
Rafael Lobato1 ⚽
Roland Galcik1 ⚽
Samuel1 ⚽
Cards Given
AroucaPedro Santos4 🟨
Jose Fontán3 🟨
D. Monteiro3 🟨
J. Sanchez2 🟨
D. Nandin2 🟨
Espen van Ee2 🟨
Rio AveFrancisco Petrasso3 🟨
João Tomé Baptista2 🟨
A. Ntoi2 🟨
Jalen Blesa2 🟨
J. Brabec1 🟨
Georgios Liavas1 🟨