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Maritimo vs Nacional — Primeira Liga

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Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12
Maritimo
Maritimo
11º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 48d 3h
vs
–
–
Nacional
Nacional
16º · 0.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 47d 5h
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Maritimo and Nacional meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Maritimo have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Nacional have won 8% of their 13 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 15%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Maritimo and 1.32 for Nacional. The models give Maritimo a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Nacional win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Maritimo
—
Nacional
11º
Position
16º
1.00
PPG
0.50
25%
Win %
13%
1.13
Goals / game
1.13
1.75
Conceded / game
2.25
57%
BTTS %
54%
29%
Clean sheet %
15%
50%
Over 2.5 %
54%
2.9
Avg corners
4.4
10.0
Avg shots
10.9
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.1
15.4
Avg fouls
11.1
44.6%
Avg possession
49.9%

Home vs Away

Maritimo
Home (4)
—
Nacional
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
0.25
25%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.75
Conceded / game
2.00
40%
BTTS %
50%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
40%
Over 2.5 %
33%
2.9
Avg corners
4.4
10.0
Avg shots
10.9
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.1
44.6%
Avg possession
49.9%

Goals Scored

MaritimoHomeAwayNacionalHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%70%100%62%71%50%
Over 1.5 Scored29%30%25%38%43%33%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%8%14%0%
Failed To Score21%30%0%38%29%50%

Goals Conceded

MaritimoHomeAwayNacionalHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded71%60%100%85%71%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded43%40%50%69%71%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded21%20%25%38%57%17%
Clean Sheets29%40%0%15%29%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MaritimoNacional
Over 0.593%92%
Over 1.579%85%
Over 2.550%54%
Over 3.521%46%
Over 4.57%23%
BTTS57%54%
BTTS & Win7%0%
BTTS & Draw21%23%
BTTS & Over 2.543%46%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MaritimoNacional
Win 1st Half0%0%
Draw 1st Half60%50%
Loss 1st Half40%50%
Scored 1st Half30%30%
Conceded 1st Half70%80%
Win 2nd Half50%20%
Draw 2nd Half20%30%
Loss 2nd Half30%50%
Scored 2nd Half60%40%
Conceded 2nd Half40%50%
Over 0.5 HT70%80%
Over 1.5 HT50%50%

Recent Venue Form

Maritimo (H)
LFC Porto1–2
LBenfica0–3
DAcademico Viseu2–2
WCasa Pia1–0
DEstrela Calheta1–1
DMachico0–0
Nacional (A)
LRio Ave2–3
LSporting CP0–2
LVitória SC0–1
DSanta Clara2–2
LEstrela0–2
DTondela1–1

Number of Corners

7.4
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
71 games
9.1
Corners / Match
8 games
Match CornersMaritimoNacionalLeague Avg
Over 675%88%75%
Over 763%63%61%
Over 813%50%48%
Over 90%50%39%
Over 100%38%27%
Over 110%25%20%
Over 120%13%14%
Over 130%13%13%

Team Corners

Team CornersMaritimoNacional
Corners Earned / Match2.94.4
Corners Against / Match4.54.8
Over 2.5 Corners For63%75%
Over 3.5 Corners For25%63%
Over 4.5 Corners For13%38%
Over 2.5 Corners Against88%88%
Over 3.5 Corners Against75%63%
Over 4.5 Corners Against63%25%

Head to Head · 24 matches

10
Maritimo
42%
7
Draws
29%
7
Nacional
29%
75%
Over 1.5
18/24
46%
Over 2.5
11/24
25%
Over 3.5
6/24
46%
BTTS
11/24
03/08/25
Maritimo
3–0
Nacional
23/07/24
Maritimo
2–0
Nacional
21/01/24
Maritimo
3–1
Nacional
12/08/23
Nacional
1–2
Maritimo
30/07/22
Maritimo
1–0
Nacional
16/07/22
Nacional
0–1
Maritimo
12/03/21
Nacional
1–2
Maritimo
31/10/20
Maritimo
0–0
Nacional
31/03/19
Maritimo
3–2
Nacional
10/11/18
Nacional
1–0
Maritimo
20/02/17
Maritimo
0–0
Nacional
16/09/16
Nacional
2–0
Maritimo
02/04/16
Maritimo
2–0
Nacional
27/11/15
Nacional
3–1
Maritimo
20/04/15
Maritimo
1–1
Nacional
08/12/14
Nacional
3–0
Maritimo
12/04/14
Nacional
2–0
Maritimo
08/12/13
Maritimo
2–2
Nacional
21/04/13
Nacional
2–1
Maritimo
09/12/12
Maritimo
2–0
Nacional
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto8800+1624
2Benfica8611+1719
3Sporting CP8530+1118
4Santa Clara8530+818
5Arouca8422+414
6Academico Viseu8422+114
7GIL Vicente7322+111
8Alverca8323+111
9SC Braga7322011
10Estrela8242-110
11Maritimo8224-58
12Moreirense8224-78
13Famalicao8143-17
14Rio Ave8215-97
15Vitória SC8125-55
16Nacional8116-94
17Casa Pia8116-144
18Estoril8026-82

Team Insights

Maritimo
  • ●Maritimo have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Maritimo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Maritimo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Maritimo have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Nacional
  • ●Nacional have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Nacional have lost their last 6 matches.
  • ●Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Nacional have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Nacional have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Nacional have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Nacional have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
MaritimoMaritimo
LHFC Porto1º1–2
DAGIL Vicente7º1–1
LAMoreirense12º1–3
LHBenfica2º0–3
LAArouca5º1–2
DHAcademico Viseu6º2–2
WAFamalicao13º2–1
WHCasa Pia17º1–0
DHEstrela Calheta1–1
DHMachico0–0
NacionalNacional
LARio Ave14º2–3
LHFamalicao13º0–4
LHAlverca8º1–3
LASporting CP3º0–2
LHEstrela10º2–3
LAVitória SC15º0–1
WHEstoril18º2–0
DASanta Clara4º2–2
LAEstrela0–2
DHLeganes0–0

Season Schedule

Maritimo
LHFC Porto1–2
DAGIL Vicente1–1
LAMoreirense1–3
LHBenfica0–3
LAArouca1–2
DHAcademico Viseu2–2
–AVitória SC23/10
–HSanta Clara01/11
–AEstoril08/11
Nacional
LARio Ave2–3
LHFamalicao0–4
LHAlverca1–3
LASporting CP0–2
LHEstrela2–3
LAVitória SC0–1
–HSC Braga25/10
–AArouca01/11
–HAcademico Viseu07/11

Top Scorers

Maritimo
A. Butzke1 ⚽
Gábor Szalai1 ⚽
Israel Isaac Ayuma1 ⚽
M. Boakye1 ⚽
M. Tejon1 ⚽
P. Henrique1 ⚽
Nacional
N. Kader2 ⚽
Liziero1 ⚽
M. Baeza1 ⚽
Matchoi Djaló1 ⚽
Pablo Ruan1 ⚽
Wesley Gasolina1 ⚽

Cards Given

Maritimo
Raphael Guzzo3 🟨
Rodri Andrade2 🟨
Igor Juliao2 🟨
Igor Julião2 🟨
A. Butzke1 🟨
Vladan Danilović1 🟨
Nacional
F. Soares2 🟨
Matheus dos Santos Dias2 🟨
Matheus Dias1 🟨
W. Kokolo1 🟨
Wesley Gasolina1 🟨
Williams Kokolo1 🟨