MatchPulse

Vitória SC vs Estrela — Primeira Liga

← Back
Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12
Vitória SC
Vitória SC
14º · 0.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 69d 6h
vs
–
–
Estrela
Estrela
8º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 69d 6h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Vitória SC and Estrela meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Vitória SC have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Estrela have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Vitória SC and 1.57 for Estrela. The models give Vitória SC a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Estrela win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Vitória SC
—
Estrela
14º
Position
8º
0.71
PPG
1.43
14%
Win %
29%
0.71
Goals / game
2.00
1.14
Conceded / game
2.00
46%
BTTS %
71%
38%
Clean sheet %
21%
38%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.7
Avg corners
4.0
19.1
Avg shots
13.1
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
14.7
Avg fouls
11.3
55.7%
Avg possession
49.4%

Home vs Away

Vitória SC
Home (4)
—
Estrela
Away (3)
1.25
PPG
1.67
25%
Win %
33%
0.50
Goals / game
2.67
0.50
Conceded / game
2.33
33%
BTTS %
100%
56%
Clean sheet %
0%
22%
Over 2.5 %
100%
5.7
Avg corners
4.0
19.1
Avg shots
13.1
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
55.7%
Avg possession
49.4%

Goals Scored

Vitória SCHomeAwayEstrelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored77%78%75%93%91%100%
Over 1.5 Scored46%44%50%64%55%100%
Over 2.5 Scored23%22%25%21%9%67%
Failed To Score23%22%25%7%9%0%

Goals Conceded

Vitória SCHomeAwayEstrelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded62%44%100%79%73%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded15%0%50%57%45%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%0%25%7%0%33%
Clean Sheets38%56%0%21%27%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Vitória SCEstrela
Over 0.592%100%
Over 1.569%93%
Over 2.538%57%
Over 3.531%43%
Over 4.515%21%
BTTS46%71%
BTTS & Win15%21%
BTTS & Draw15%43%
BTTS & Over 2.531%57%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Vitória SCEstrela
Win 1st Half33%18%
Draw 1st Half50%64%
Loss 1st Half17%18%
Scored 1st Half33%55%
Conceded 1st Half25%55%
Win 2nd Half42%55%
Draw 2nd Half25%45%
Loss 2nd Half33%0%
Scored 2nd Half58%82%
Conceded 2nd Half42%55%
Over 0.5 HT50%73%
Over 1.5 HT25%45%

Recent Venue Form

Vitória SC (H)
DMoreirense1–1
DCasa Pia0–0
WNacional1–0
LArouca0–1
WChaves2–0
DNottingham Forest1–1
Estrela (A)
DRio Ave3–3
WNacional3–2
DAlverca2–2
DSC Braga2–2
LMoreirense2–3
LArouca0–1

Number of Corners

8.6
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
8.5
62 games
8.3
Corners / Match
7 games
Match CornersVitória SCEstrelaLeague Avg
Over 657%86%71%
Over 729%57%58%
Over 829%57%47%
Over 929%29%37%
Over 1029%14%24%
Over 1129%14%19%
Over 1214%14%13%
Over 1314%14%11%

Team Corners

Team CornersVitória SCEstrela
Corners Earned / Match5.74.0
Corners Against / Match2.94.3
Over 2.5 Corners For71%86%
Over 3.5 Corners For57%71%
Over 4.5 Corners For43%71%
Over 2.5 Corners Against57%71%
Over 3.5 Corners Against43%71%
Over 4.5 Corners Against14%29%

Head to Head · 7 matches

5
Vitória SC
71%
1
Draws
14%
1
Estrela
14%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
14/02/26
Vitória SC
2–1
Estrela
14/09/25
Estrela
0–2
Vitória SC
26/07/25
Vitória SC
0–1
Estrela
16/03/25
Vitória SC
2–0
Estrela
27/10/24
Estrela
2–2
Vitória SC
21/01/24
Vitória SC
3–0
Estrela
13/08/23
Estrela
0–1
Vitória SC
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto7700+1521
2Benfica7511+1516
3Sporting CP7430+915
4Santa Clara7430+715
5Arouca7322+311
6SC Braga6321+211
7Academico Viseu7322011
8Estrela7241010
9GIL Vicente622208
10Alverca7223-28
11Maritimo7223-48
12Moreirense7223-68
13Famalicao7142+27
14Vitória SC7124-35
15Nacional7115-84
16Rio Ave7115-104
17Casa Pia7115-134
18Estoril7025-72

Team Insights

Vitória SC
  • ●Vitória SC have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Vitória SC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Vitória SC have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●75% of Vitória SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Estrela
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Estrela have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Estrela have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Estrela have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Vitória SCVitória SC
DHMoreirense12º1–1
LAAcademico Viseu7º1–2
DHCasa Pia17º0–0
LASC Braga6º0–1
WHNacional15º1–0
LASporting CP3º2–3
LHArouca5º0–1
WHChaves2–0
DHNottingham Forest1–1
WAAl-Ahli Jeddah3–1
EstrelaEstrela
LHAcademico Viseu7º0–2
DARio Ave16º3–3
WHSC Braga6º2–1
DHFamalicao13º2–2
WANacional15º3–2
DAAlverca10º2–2
DHSporting CP3º2–2
WHAl-Nassr4–2
WHLusitano Évora 19111–0
DHPortimonense1–1

Season Schedule

Vitória SC
DHMoreirense1–1
LAAcademico Viseu1–2
DHCasa Pia0–0
LASC Braga0–1
WHNacional1–0
LASporting CP2–3
–ABenfica11/10
–HMaritimo23/10
–AGIL Vicente02/11
Estrela
LHAcademico Viseu0–2
DARio Ave3–3
WHSC Braga2–1
DHFamalicao2–2
WANacional3–2
DAAlverca2–2
–AArouca11/10
–HCasa Pia24/10
–AMoreirense31/10

Top Scorers

Vitória SC
2 ⚽
Samu2 ⚽
Gonçalo Nogueira1 ⚽
Gustavo1 ⚽
Maga1 ⚽
A. Ndoye1 ⚽
Estrela
L. Antonetti5 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽
S. van Hooijdonk1 ⚽

Cards Given

Vitória SC
Gustavo Silva2 🟨
M. Nogueira2 🟨
Balieiro Thiago1 🟨
Gustavo1 🟨
G. Nogueira1 🟨
Arnel Jakupović1 🟨
Estrela
Luan Patrick2 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Eddy Doué2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
Max Scholze2 🟨
Joan Jordan1 🟨