Vitória SC vs Estrela — Primeira Liga
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Vitória SC and Estrela meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Vitória SC have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Estrela have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Vitória SC and 1.34 for Estrela. The models give Vitória SC a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Estrela win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Vitória SC—
Estrela13º
Position
12º
0.90
PPG
1.00
20%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.90
33%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
17%
33%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.5
Avg corners
4.4
16.9
Avg shots
13.2
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.1
16.2
Avg fouls
11.4
53.8%
Avg possession
52.0%
Home vs Away
Vitória SC
Home (5)
—
Estrela
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
1.00
40%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.80
0.40
Conceded / game
2.00
30%
BTTS %
83%
60%
Clean sheet %
0%
30%
Over 2.5 %
83%
5.5
Avg corners
4.4
16.9
Avg shots
13.2
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.1
53.8%
Avg possession
52.0%
Goals Scored
| Vitória SC | Home | Away | Estrela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 80% | 63% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 50% | 25% | 56% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 30% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 20% | 38% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Vitória SC | Home | Away | Estrela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 63% | 83% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 38% | 56% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 38% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vitória SC | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS | 33% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vitória SC | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 47% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Vitória SC (H)W
Maritimo5–0
Maritimo5–0D
Moreirense1–1
Moreirense1–1D
Casa Pia0–0
Casa Pia0–0W
Nacional1–0
Nacional1–0L
Arouca0–1
Arouca0–1W
Chaves2–0
Chaves2–0Estrela (A)LMoreirense1–2
Moreirense1–2W
Fazendense2–1
Fazendense2–1LArouca0–1
Arouca0–1D
Rio Ave3–3
Rio Ave3–3WNacional3–2
Nacional3–2D
Alverca2–2
Alverca2–2Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
8.7
90 games
8.7
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Vitória SC | Estrela | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 40% | 60% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 30% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 20% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 10% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 10% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vitória SC | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 30% | 40% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
5
Vitória SC
71%
1
Draws
14%
1
Estrela
14%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
14/02/26Estrela
Vitória SC
2–1Estrela14/09/25Vitória SC
Estrela
0–2Vitória SC26/07/25Estrela
Vitória SC
0–1Estrela16/03/25Estrela
Vitória SC
2–0Estrela27/10/24Vitória SC
Estrela
2–2Vitória SC21/01/24Estrela
Vitória SC
3–0Estrela13/08/23Vitória SC
Estrela
0–1Vitória SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Vitória SC- ●Vitória SC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Vitória SC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vitória SC have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Vitória SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vitória SC have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Vitória SC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Vitória SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●89% of Vitória SC's points have been earned at home.
Estrela- ●Estrela have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Estrela have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Estrela have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Vitória SCDAGIL Vicente0–0
GIL Vicente0–0WHMaritimo5–0
Maritimo5–0LABenfica0–2
Benfica0–2DHMoreirense1–1
Moreirense1–1LAAcademico Viseu1–2
Academico Viseu1–2DHCasa Pia0–0
Casa Pia0–0–HFC Porto08/11
FC Porto08/11–HEstrela28/11
Estrela28/11–AEstoril06/12
Estoril06/12EstrelaLAMoreirense1–2
Moreirense1–2LHCasa Pia0–2
Casa Pia0–2LAArouca0–1
Arouca0–1LHAcademico Viseu0–2
Academico Viseu0–2DARio Ave3–3
Rio Ave3–3WHSC Braga2–1
SC Braga2–1–HBenfica08/11
Benfica08/11–AVitória SC28/11
Vitória SC28/11–HGIL Vicente06/12
GIL Vicente06/12Top Scorers
Vitória SC2 ⚽
Maga2 ⚽
Arnel Jakupović2 ⚽
Samu2 ⚽
Costinha1 ⚽
Gustavo1 ⚽
EstrelaL. Antonetti5 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽
T. Moustier2 ⚽
Cards Given
Vitória SCToni Borevković4 🟨
Gustavo Silva3 🟨
Balieiro Thiago2 🟨
G. Nogueira2 🟨
Gonçalo Nogueira2 🟨
Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva2 🟨
EstrelaMax Scholze3 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Luan Patrick2 🟨
Eddy Doué2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
T. Moustier2 🟨