SC Braga vs Arouca — Primeira Liga
← BackUnlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
SC Braga and Arouca meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. SC Braga have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Arouca have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for SC Braga and 1.23 for Arouca. The models give SC Braga a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Arouca win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| SC Braga | Home | Away | Arouca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 64% | 64% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 33% | 36% | 36% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 25% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 36% | 36% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| SC Braga | Home | Away | Arouca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 45% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 33% | 27% | 43% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 9% | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 55% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SC Braga | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 7% |
| BTTS | 35% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SC Braga | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 65% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 18% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | SC Braga | Arouca | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 54% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 31% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 31% | 38% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 23% | 38% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 8% | 25% | 26% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 13% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 13% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 13% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | SC Braga | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.8 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 46% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 31% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 15% | 50% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●SC Braga have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●SC Braga have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arouca have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●73% of Arouca's goals have been scored at home.

