MatchPulse

Estrela vs GIL Vicente — Primeira Liga

← Back
Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13
Estrela
Estrela
10º · 1.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 43d 1h
vs
–
–
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
7º · 1.56 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 20h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Estrela and GIL Vicente meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Estrela have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. GIL Vicente have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 31%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Estrela and 1.39 for GIL Vicente. The models give Estrela a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an GIL Vicente win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Estrela
—
GIL Vicente
10º
Position
7º
1.11
PPG
1.56
22%
Win %
44%
1.56
Goals / game
0.89
1.89
Conceded / game
0.78
65%
BTTS %
46%
18%
Clean sheet %
38%
53%
Over 2.5 %
31%
4.6
Avg corners
3.2
13.4
Avg shots
12.9
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
11.0
Avg fouls
13.6
52.4%
Avg possession
51.7%

Home vs Away

Estrela
Home (5)
—
GIL Vicente
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.75
20%
Win %
50%
1.20
Goals / game
1.00
1.80
Conceded / game
1.00
58%
BTTS %
60%
25%
Clean sheet %
40%
42%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.6
Avg corners
3.2
13.4
Avg shots
12.9
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
52.4%
Avg possession
51.7%

Goals Scored

EstrelaHomeAwayGIL VicenteHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%83%80%77%75%80%
Over 1.5 Scored59%50%80%31%25%40%
Over 2.5 Scored18%8%40%8%0%20%
Failed To Score18%17%20%23%25%20%

Goals Conceded

EstrelaHomeAwayGIL VicenteHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%75%100%62%63%60%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%50%60%23%13%40%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%0%20%8%0%20%
Clean Sheets18%25%0%38%38%40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

EstrelaGIL Vicente
Over 0.5100%92%
Over 1.588%54%
Over 2.553%31%
Over 3.535%23%
Over 4.518%8%
BTTS65%46%
BTTS & Win24%15%
BTTS & Draw35%23%
BTTS & Over 2.553%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

EstrelaGIL Vicente
Win 1st Half14%18%
Draw 1st Half57%64%
Loss 1st Half29%18%
Scored 1st Half43%27%
Conceded 1st Half57%27%
Win 2nd Half50%45%
Draw 2nd Half43%27%
Loss 2nd Half7%27%
Scored 2nd Half71%45%
Conceded 2nd Half57%36%
Over 0.5 HT71%45%
Over 1.5 HT36%18%

Recent Venue Form

Estrela (H)
LCasa Pia0–2
LAcademico Viseu0–2
WSC Braga2–1
DFamalicao2–2
DSporting CP2–2
WAl-Nassr4–2
GIL Vicente (A)
WSC Braga2–1
WUnião Santarém3–2
WMoreirense1–0
LBenfica1–3
DFamalicao0–0
LSporting CP0–3

Number of Corners

9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
8.3
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersEstrelaGIL VicenteLeague Avg
Over 689%89%74%
Over 767%44%61%
Over 867%33%49%
Over 944%22%41%
Over 1033%22%29%
Over 1122%11%20%
Over 1211%11%13%
Over 1311%11%12%

Team Corners

Team CornersEstrelaGIL Vicente
Corners Earned / Match4.63.2
Corners Against / Match4.45.1
Over 2.5 Corners For89%78%
Over 3.5 Corners For78%33%
Over 4.5 Corners For78%22%
Over 2.5 Corners Against78%78%
Over 3.5 Corners Against78%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against44%33%

Head to Head · 6 matches

1
Estrela
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
GIL Vicente
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
08/03/26
Estrela
2–2
GIL Vicente
04/10/25
GIL Vicente
2–0
Estrela
07/03/25
Estrela
1–1
GIL Vicente
05/10/24
GIL Vicente
3–0
Estrela
18/05/24
Estrela
1–0
GIL Vicente
14/01/24
GIL Vicente
1–1
Estrela
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto9900+1727
2Benfica8611+1719
3Sporting CP8530+1118
4Santa Clara8530+818
5Arouca9522+517
6Academico Viseu8422+114
7GIL Vicente9423+114
8Alverca9324011
9SC Braga8323-111
10Estrela9243-310
11Vitória SC922508
12Moreirense8224-78
13Maritimo9225-108
14Famalicao8143-17
15Rio Ave8215-97
16Casa Pia9216-127
17Nacional8116-94
18Estoril8026-82

Team Insights

Estrela
  • ●Estrela have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Estrela have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
GIL Vicente
  • ●GIL Vicente have won their last 2 away matches.
EstrelaEstrela
LHCasa Pia16º0–2
WAFazendense2–1
LAArouca5º0–1
LHAcademico Viseu6º0–2
DARio Ave15º3–3
WHSC Braga9º2–1
DHFamalicao14º2–2
WANacional17º3–2
DAAlverca8º2–2
DHSporting CP3º2–2
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
LHFC Porto1º0–1
WASC Braga9º2–1
WAUnião Santarém3–2
WAMoreirense12º1–0
DHMaritimo13º1–1
LABenfica2º1–3
LHAcademico Viseu6º0–1
DAFamalicao14º0–0
WHCasa Pia16º2–0
WHRio Ave15º1–0

Season Schedule

Estrela
LHCasa Pia0–2
LAArouca0–1
LHAcademico Viseu0–2
DARio Ave3–3
WHSC Braga2–1
DHFamalicao2–2
–AMoreirense31/10
–HBenfica08/11
–AVitória SC28/11
GIL Vicente
LHFC Porto0–1
WASC Braga2–1
WAMoreirense1–0
DHMaritimo1–1
LABenfica1–3
LHAcademico Viseu0–1
–HVitória SC02/11
–ASanta Clara08/11
–HEstoril29/11

Top Scorers

Estrela
L. Antonetti5 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
T. Moustier2 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽
GIL Vicente
Walace França2 ⚽
H. Hernandez2 ⚽
G. Pinto Martins1 ⚽
Hector Hernandez1 ⚽
Murilo Souza1 ⚽
S. Garcia1 ⚽

Cards Given

Estrela
Max Scholze3 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Luan Patrick2 🟨
Eddy Doué2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
T. Moustier2 🟨
GIL Vicente
Mohamed Kaba2 🟨
Ricardo Esgaio2 🟨
F. Caseres2 🟨
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert2 🟨
R. Esgaio2 🟨
H. Hernandez1 🟨