Nacional vs Benfica — Primeira Liga
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Nacional and Benfica meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Nacional have recorded 1 wins from 14 matches this season (7% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Benfica have won 75% of their 20 matches, with 3.05 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Nacional and 2.45 for Benfica. The models give Nacional a 14% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Benfica win at 67%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Nacional—
Benfica16º
Position
2º
0.50
PPG
2.38
13%
Win %
75%
1.13
Goals / game
3.00
2.25
Conceded / game
0.88
50%
BTTS %
65%
14%
Clean sheet %
35%
50%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.4
Avg corners
6.8
10.9
Avg shots
19.3
3.1
Avg shots on target
7.5
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.9
11.1
Avg fouls
11.5
49.9%
Avg possession
61.5%
Home vs Away
Nacional
Home (4)
—
Benfica
Away (4)
0.75
PPG
2.25
25%
Win %
75%
1.25
Goals / game
3.75
2.50
Conceded / game
0.75
57%
BTTS %
56%
29%
Clean sheet %
44%
71%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.4
Avg corners
6.8
10.9
Avg shots
19.3
3.1
Avg shots on target
7.5
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.9
49.9%
Avg possession
61.5%
Goals Scored
| Nacional | Home | Away | Benfica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 71% | 43% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 29% | 80% | 91% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 14% | 0% | 55% | 55% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 29% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Nacional | Home | Away | Benfica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 71% | 100% | 65% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 71% | 57% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 57% | 14% | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 29% | 0% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nacional | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 30% |
| BTTS | 50% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nacional | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 65% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 5% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 85% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 85% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Nacional (H)L
Famalicao0–4
Famalicao0–4L
Alverca1–3
Alverca1–3L
Estrela2–3
Estrela2–3W
Estoril2–0
Estoril2–0D
Leganes0–0
Leganes0–0D
Leixoes3–3
Leixoes3–3Benfica (A)W
Omonia Nicosia4–1
Omonia Nicosia4–1L
FC Porto1–3
FC Porto1–3W
AC Milan2–0
AC Milan2–0W
Moreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0W
Maritimo3–0
Maritimo3–0W
Aarhus3–1
Aarhus3–1Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.7
72 games
10.1
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Nacional | Benfica | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 87% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 67% | 47% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 53% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 47% | 26% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 33% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 20% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 20% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nacional | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 6.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 27% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
1
Nacional
5%
2
Draws
9%
19
Benfica
86%
100%
Over 1.5
22/22
77%
Over 2.5
17/22
50%
Over 3.5
11/22
59%
BTTS
13/22
12/04/26Nacional
Benfica
2–0Nacional29/11/25Benfica
Nacional
1–2Benfica08/03/25Nacional
Benfica
3–0Nacional19/12/24Benfica
Nacional
0–2Benfica11/05/21Benfica
Nacional
1–3Benfica25/01/21Nacional
Benfica
1–1Nacional10/02/19Nacional
Benfica
10–0Nacional02/09/18Benfica
Nacional
0–4Benfica05/02/17Nacional
Benfica
3–0Nacional27/08/16Benfica
Nacional
1–3Benfica15/05/16Nacional
Benfica
4–1Nacional11/01/16Benfica
Nacional
1–4Benfica04/04/15Nacional
Benfica
3–1Nacional09/11/14Benfica
Nacional
1–2Benfica17/03/14Benfica
Nacional
2–4Benfica27/10/13Nacional
Benfica
2–0Nacional10/02/13Benfica
Nacional
2–2Benfica02/09/12Nacional
Benfica
3–0Nacional11/02/12Nacional
Benfica
4–1Nacional29/08/11Benfica
Nacional
0–2Benfica| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
Nacional- ●Nacional have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Nacional have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Nacional have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nacional have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Nacional have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nacional have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Benfica- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Benfica have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Benfica's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
NacionalLARio Ave2–3
Rio Ave2–3LHFamalicao0–4
Famalicao0–4LHAlverca1–3
Alverca1–3LASporting CP0–2
Sporting CP0–2LHEstrela2–3
Estrela2–3LAVitória SC0–1
Vitória SC0–1–HSC Braga25/10
SC Braga25/10–AArouca01/11
Arouca01/11–HAcademico Viseu07/11
Academico Viseu07/11BenficaWHVitória SC2–0
Vitória SC2–0LAFC Porto1–3
FC Porto1–3WHGIL Vicente3–1
GIL Vicente3–1WAMoreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0WAMaritimo3–0
Maritimo3–0WHEstoril2–1
Estoril2–1–ASanta Clara26/10
Santa Clara26/10–HAlverca02/11
Alverca02/11–AEstrela08/11
Estrela08/11Top Scorers
NacionalN. Kader2 ⚽
Liziero1 ⚽
M. Baeza1 ⚽
Matchoi Djaló1 ⚽
Pablo Ruan1 ⚽
Wesley Gasolina1 ⚽
BenficaV. Pavlidis13 ⚽
G. Prestianni7 ⚽
Rafa Silva6 ⚽
Vangelis Pavlidis5 ⚽
Gianluca Prestianni4 ⚽
J. Duran3 ⚽
Cards Given
NacionalZe Vitor2 🟨
F. Soares2 🟨
Matheus dos Santos Dias2 🟨
Markus Jensen1 🟨
Matheus Dias1 🟨
D. Dongmo1 🟨
BenficaTomás Araújo4 🟨
João Palhinha4 🟨
L. Barreiro2 🟨
Gianluca Prestianni2 🟨
Alexander Bah2 🟨
Clément Lenglet2 🟨