Vitória SC vs Alverca — Primeira Liga
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Vitória SC and Alverca meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Vitória SC have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Alverca have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Vitória SC and 1.32 for Alverca. The models give Vitória SC a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alverca win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vitória SC | Home | Away | Alverca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 80% | 71% | 73% | 88% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 30% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 20% | 29% | 27% | 13% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Vitória SC | Home | Away | Alverca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 40% | 71% | 73% | 63% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 14% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 60% | 29% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vitória SC | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 7% |
| BTTS | 35% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vitória SC | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Vitória SC | Alverca | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 50% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 44% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 50% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 25% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 25% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 25% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vitória SC | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 25% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Vitória SC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vitória SC have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Vitória SC have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Vitória SC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Vitória SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Vitória SC's points have been earned at home.
- ●Alverca have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●62% of Alverca's goals have been scored away.