Nacional vs Moreirense — Primeira Liga
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Nacional and Moreirense meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 20 December 2026. Nacional have recorded 2 wins from 16 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Moreirense have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 1.31 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Nacional and 1.42 for Moreirense. The models give Nacional a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Moreirense win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Nacional—
Moreirense15º
Position
9º
0.70
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.30
1.90
Conceded / game
1.70
44%
BTTS %
63%
19%
Clean sheet %
13%
44%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.1
Avg corners
2.5
10.0
Avg shots
8.7
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.7
Avg fouls
13.3
46.6%
Avg possession
38.4%
Home vs Away
Nacional
Home (5)
—
Moreirense
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
1.40
40%
Win %
40%
1.20
Goals / game
1.20
2.00
Conceded / game
1.60
50%
BTTS %
67%
38%
Clean sheet %
11%
63%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.1
Avg corners
2.5
10.0
Avg shots
8.7
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
46.6%
Avg possession
38.4%
Goals Scored
| Nacional | Home | Away | Moreirense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 75% | 38% | 75% | 71% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 38% | 25% | 44% | 71% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 25% | 63% | 25% | 29% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Nacional | Home | Away | Moreirense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 63% | 100% | 88% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 63% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 50% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 38% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nacional | Moreirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 0% |
| BTTS | 44% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nacional | Moreirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 31% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Nacional (H)W
SC Braga1–0
SC Braga1–0L
Famalicao0–4
Famalicao0–4L
Alverca1–3
Alverca1–3L
Estrela2–3
Estrela2–3W
Estoril2–0
Estoril2–0D
Leganes0–0
Leganes0–0Moreirense (A)WEstoril3–1
Estoril3–1L
AVS0–1
AVS0–1D
Vitória SC1–1
Vitória SC1–1L
FC Porto1–2
FC Porto1–2W
Casa Pia1–0
Casa Pia1–0L
Arouca0–4
Arouca0–4Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
8.7
90 games
7.3
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Nacional | Moreirense | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 60% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 30% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 0% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nacional | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 60% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
3
Nacional
16%
3
Draws
16%
13
Moreirense
68%
68%
Over 1.5
13/19
47%
Over 2.5
9/19
32%
Over 3.5
6/19
58%
BTTS
11/19
07/03/26Nacional
Moreirense
1–1Nacional04/10/25Moreirense
Nacional
3–2Moreirense27/04/25Nacional
Moreirense
1–1Nacional14/12/24Moreirense
Nacional
1–0Moreirense18/03/23Moreirense
Nacional
0–2Moreirense09/10/22Nacional
Moreirense
3–1Nacional23/07/22Nacional
Moreirense
1–0Nacional06/05/21Nacional
Moreirense
2–2Nacional17/01/21Moreirense
Nacional
0–1Moreirense28/01/19Nacional
Moreirense
2–1Nacional19/08/18Moreirense
Nacional
1–2Moreirense17/04/17Moreirense
Nacional
0–1Moreirense04/12/16Nacional
Moreirense
3–1Nacional24/04/16Moreirense
Nacional
0–1Moreirense20/12/15Nacional
Moreirense
2–0Nacional25/01/15Nacional
Moreirense
2–3Nacional17/08/14Moreirense
Nacional
0–1Moreirense03/02/13Moreirense
Nacional
1–2Moreirense26/08/12Nacional
Moreirense
3–1Nacional| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Nacional- ●Nacional have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Nacional have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●86% of Nacional's points have been earned at home.
- ●Nacional have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Moreirense- ●Moreirense have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Moreirense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Moreirense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Moreirense have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Moreirense failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Moreirense failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Moreirense have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NacionalLAArouca0–1
Arouca0–1WHSC Braga1–0
SC Braga1–0LARio Ave2–3
Rio Ave2–3LHFamalicao0–4
Famalicao0–4LHAlverca1–3
Alverca1–3LASporting CP0–2
Sporting CP0–2–HAcademico Viseu07/11
Academico Viseu07/11–AMaritimo27/11
Maritimo27/11–HBenfica06/12
Benfica06/12MoreirenseWHEstrela2–1
Estrela2–1WAEstoril3–1
Estoril3–1LHGIL Vicente0–1
GIL Vicente0–1DAVitória SC1–1
Vitória SC1–1WHMaritimo3–1
Maritimo3–1LHBenfica0–4
Benfica0–4–ASporting CP07/11
Sporting CP07/11–HSanta Clara28/11
Santa Clara28/11–AAlverca06/12
Alverca06/12Top Scorers
NacionalN. Kader2 ⚽
Liziero1 ⚽
M. Baeza1 ⚽
Matchoi Djaló1 ⚽
Miguel Baeza1 ⚽
Pablo Ruan1 ⚽
MoreirenseManuel Mendonça2 ⚽
Nile John2 ⚽
Tiago Andrade2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Landerson Costa Araújo1 ⚽
Alexandre Parsemain1 ⚽
Cards Given
NacionalZe Vitor2 🟨
F. Soares2 🟨
Matheus dos Santos Dias2 🟨
Danel Dongmo1 🟨
Markus Jensen1 🟨
Daniel Junior1 🟨
MoreirenseGilberto Batista3 🟨
Guilherme Liberato3 🟨
N. John2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
Maracas2 🟨
Dinis Pinto1 🟨