Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Estoril

18º · 0.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 56d 19h

–

Alverca

11º · 1.09 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 49d 22h

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota·Estoril·Portugal·8,015

🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

From€8.99/Mo

Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime

Start 14-Day Free Trial Upgrade To Pro →

Estoril and Alverca meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 27 December 2026. Estoril have recorded 1 wins from 15 matches this season (7% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Alverca have won 41% of their 17 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 24%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Estoril and 1.47 for Alverca. The models give Estoril a 29% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Alverca win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Estoril

—

Alverca

18º

Position

11º

0.20

PPG

1.09

Win %

27%

0.50

Goals / game

1.27

1.90

Conceded / game

1.36

47%

BTTS %

47%

20%

Clean sheet %

24%

40%

Over 2.5 %

35%

4.5

Avg corners

4.6

13.7

Avg shots

11.2

4.7

Avg shots on target

3.7

2.0

Avg yellow cards

2.2

11.2

Avg fouls

13.5

46.3%

Avg possession

41.0%

Home vs Away

Estoril

Home (5)

—

Alverca

Away (5)

0.40

PPG

1.20

Win %

40%

0.60

Goals / game

1.60

Conceded / game

1.60

43%

BTTS %

38%

43%

Clean sheet %

13%

43%

Over 2.5 %

38%

4.5

Avg corners

4.6

13.7

Avg shots

11.2

4.7

Avg shots on target

3.7

2.0

Avg yellow cards

2.2

46.3%

Avg possession

41.0%

Goals Scored

	Estoril	Home	Away	Alverca	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	53%	57%	50%	71%	89%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	7%	14%	0%	29%	33%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	7%	14%	0%	12%	0%	25%
Failed To Score	47%	43%	50%	29%	11%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Estoril	Home	Away	Alverca	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	80%	57%	100%	76%	67%	88%
Over 1.5 Conceded	53%	43%	63%	29%	22%	38%
Over 2.5 Conceded	13%	14%	13%	6%	0%	13%
Clean Sheets	20%	43%	0%	24%	33%	13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Estoril	Alverca
Over 0.5	87%	100%
Over 1.5	80%	65%
Over 2.5	40%	35%
Over 3.5	13%	24%
Over 4.5	0%	6%
BTTS	47%	47%
BTTS & Win	0%	18%
BTTS & Draw	20%	18%
BTTS & Over 2.5	27%	35%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	13%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Estoril	Alverca
Win 1st Half	0%	23%
Draw 1st Half	46%	38%
Loss 1st Half	54%	38%
Scored 1st Half	0%	31%
Conceded 1st Half	54%	46%
Win 2nd Half	23%	15%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	46%
Loss 2nd Half	38%	38%
Scored 2nd Half	54%	38%
Conceded 2nd Half	62%	54%
Over 0.5 HT	54%	69%
Over 1.5 HT	8%	23%

Recent Venue Form

Estoril (H)

Moreirense1–3

Casa Pia1–2

Arouca0–0

Rio Ave0–2

Famalicao1–1

Torreense0–0

Alverca (A)

Benfica0–1

Tondela0–2

Famalicao4–1

Nacional3–1

Sporting CP1–3

FC Porto0–2

Number of Corners

9.4

Corners / Match

10 games

League Avg

8.8

98 games

8.3

Corners / Match

11 games

Match Corners	Estoril	Alverca	League Avg
Over 6	90%	55%	76%
Over 7	90%	55%	63%
Over 8	70%	55%	51%
Over 9	40%	55%	43%
Over 10	30%	55%	31%
Over 11	10%	27%	17%
Over 12	10%	27%	11%
Over 13	0%	18%	9%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Estoril	Alverca
Corners Earned / Match	4.5	4.6
Corners Against / Match	4.9	3.6
Over 2.5 Corners For	70%	64%
Over 3.5 Corners For	70%	45%
Over 4.5 Corners For	60%	45%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	90%	55%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	60%	36%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	40%	27%

Head to Head · 4 matches

Estoril

25%

Draws

25%

Alverca

50%

100%

Over 1.5

4/4

50%

Over 2.5

2/4

25%

Over 3.5

1/4

75%

BTTS

3/4

22/07/26

Alverca

2–0

Estoril

10/05/26

Alverca

1–1

Estoril

27/12/25

Estoril

4–1

Alverca

19/07/25

Estoril

1–2

Alverca

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	11	11	0	0	+22	33
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+20	28
3	Sporting CP	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Santa Clara	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	Arouca	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Academico Viseu	11	6	2	3	+2	20
7	GIL Vicente	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	SC Braga	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Famalicao	11	3	4	4	+1	13
11	Alverca	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Estrela	11	2	4	5	-5	10
13	Nacional	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Vitória SC	11	2	3	6	-1	9
15	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-12	8
16	Casa Pia	11	2	2	7	-14	8
17	Rio Ave	11	2	1	8	-15	7
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	-14	2

Team Insights

Estoril

●Estoril have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
●Estoril have lost their last 5 matches.
●Estoril failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
●Estoril have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Estoril have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
●Estoril have lost their last 5 away matches.
●Estoril failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Estoril failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
●Estoril failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●Estoril have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.

Alverca

●Alverca have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.

Estoril

LAFC Porto1º0–4

LHMoreirense9º1–3

DASalgueiros1–1

LAAcademico Viseu6º1–2

LHCasa Pia16º1–2

LASC Braga8º0–1

DHArouca5º0–0

LABenfica2º1–2

LHRio Ave17º0–2

LANacional13º0–2

Alverca

DHCasa Pia16º1–1

LABenfica2º0–1

LHArouca5º0–1

LATondela0–2

WAFamalicao10º4–1

WHRio Ave17º1–0

WANacional13º3–1

LHSC Braga8º1–2

DHSanta Clara4º1–1

LASporting CP3º1–3

Season Schedule

Estoril

FC Porto0–4

Moreirense1–3

Academico Viseu1–2

Casa Pia1–2

SC Braga0–1

Arouca0–0

–A

GIL Vicente29/11

–H

Vitória SC06/12

–H

Santa Clara13/12

Alverca

Casa Pia1–1

Benfica0–1

Arouca0–1

Famalicao4–1

Rio Ave1–0

Nacional3–1

–A

Academico Viseu28/11

–H

Moreirense06/12

–A

Vitória SC13/12

Top Scorers

Estoril

Y. Begraoui2 ⚽

R. Guitane2 ⚽

J. Carvalho1 ⚽

J. Holsgrove1 ⚽

Rafik Guitane1 ⚽

Ricard Sanchez Sendra1 ⚽

Alverca

Dawda Camara Sankharé3 ⚽

Ian Luccas2 ⚽

Francisco Chiquinho2 ⚽

V. Semedo2 ⚽

André Vidigal1 ⚽

Vivaldo Semedo1 ⚽

Cards Given

Estoril

Francisco Reis Ferreira3 🟨

Xeka3 🟨

Antef Tsoungui2 🟨

João Carvalho2 🟨

Jordan Arnolin2 🟨

Ferro1 🟨

Alverca

Ian Luccas3 🟨

Francisco Chiquinho3 🟨

D. Gui2 🟨

Chiquinho2 🟨

Diogo Spencer2 🟨

Davy Gui2 🟨

Estoril vs Alverca — Primeira Liga

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 4 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given